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Transformers have gained popularity in time series forecasting for their ability to capture long-sequence interactions. However, their high memory and computing requirements pose a critical bottleneck for long-term forecasting. To address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Vijay Ekambaram , Arindam Jati , Nam Nguyen , Phanwadee Sinthong , Jayant Kalagnanam

Spatiotemporal time series forecasting plays a key role in a wide range of real-world applications. While significant progress has been made in this area, fully capturing and leveraging spatiotemporal heterogeneity remains a fundamental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Zheng Dong , Renhe Jiang , Haotian Gao , Hangchen Liu , Jinliang Deng , Qingsong Wen , Xuan Song

Multi-horizon forecasting problems often contain a complex mix of inputs -- including static (i.e. time-invariant) covariates, known future inputs, and other exogenous time series that are only observed historically -- without any prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Sercan O. Arik , Nicolas Loeff , Tomas Pfister

While classical time series forecasting considers individual time series in isolation, recent advances based on deep learning showed that jointly learning from a large pool of related time series can boost the forecasting accuracy. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Riccardo Grazzi , Valentin Flunkert , David Salinas , Tim Januschowski , Matthias Seeger , Cedric Archambeau

The estimation of time-varying quantities is a fundamental component of decision making in fields such as healthcare and finance. However, the practical utility of such estimates is limited by how accurately they quantify predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Alexandre Drouin , Étienne Marcotte , Nicolas Chapados

Although it has been extensively explored in theory, decentralized learning is not yet green-lighted for production use, largely due to a lack of stability, scalability, and generality in large scale DNN training. To shed light on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Bing Xie , Junqi Yin , Zhenyu Zhou , Sarp Oral , Feiyi Wang

Modern data analytics take advantage of ensemble learning and transfer learning approaches to tackle some of the most relevant issues in data analysis, such as lack of labeled data to use to train the analysis models, sparsity of the…

Spatio-temporal modeling as a canonical task of multivariate time series forecasting has been a significant research topic in AI community. To address the underlying heterogeneity and non-stationarity implied in the graph streams, in this…

The widespread application of Electronic Health Records (EHR) data in the medical field has led to early successes in disease risk prediction using deep learning methods. These methods typically require extensive data for training due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Shibo Li , Hengliang Cheng , Weihua Li

Recent research in time series forecasting has explored integrating multimodal features into models to improve accuracy. However, the accuracy of such methods is constrained by three key challenges: inadequate extraction of fine-grained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Shule Hao , Junpeng Bao , Wenli Li

Multivariate long-term time series forecasting is of great application across many domains, such as energy consumption and weather forecasting. With the development of transformer-based methods, the performance of multivariate long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Zheng Sun , Yi Wei , Wenxiao Jia , Long Yu

Rapid expansion of model size has emerged as a key challenge in time series forecasting. From early Transformer with tens of megabytes to recent architectures like TimesNet with thousands of megabytes, performance gains have often come at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Zeyan Li , Libing Chen , Yin Tang

The recent boom of linear forecasting models questions the ongoing passion for architectural modifications of Transformer-based forecasters. These forecasters leverage Transformers to model the global dependencies over temporal tokens of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Yong Liu , Tengge Hu , Haoran Zhang , Haixu Wu , Shiyu Wang , Lintao Ma , Mingsheng Long

Time series forecasting has received wide interest from existing research due to its broad applications and inherent challenging. The research challenge lies in identifying effective patterns in historical series and applying them to future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Tianlong Zhao , Xiang Ma , Xuemei Li , Caiming Zhang

Predicting crowd intentions and trajectories is critical for a range of real-world applications, involving social robotics and autonomous driving. Accurately modeling such behavior remains challenging due to the complexity of pairwise…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Weizheng Wang , Baijian Yang , Sungeun Hong , Wenhai Sun , Byung-Cheol Min

Many important problems require modelling large-scale spatio-temporal datasets, with one prevalent example being weather forecasting. Recently, transformer-based approaches have shown great promise in a range of weather forecasting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-11 Matthew Ashman , Cristiana Diaconu , Eric Langezaal , Adrian Weller , Richard E. Turner

Multivariate time series long-term prediction, which aims to predict the change of data in a long time, can provide references for decision-making. Although transformer-based models have made progress in this field, they usually do not make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Chengqing Yu , Fei Wang , Zezhi Shao , Tao Sun , Lin Wu , Yongjun Xu

Environmental crisis remains a global challenge that affects public health and environmental quality. Despite extensive research, accurately forecasting environmental change trends to inform targeted policies and assess prediction…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-04 Ning Xin , Jionglong Su , Md Maruf Hasan

Pre-trained foundation models (FMs) have shown exceptional performance in univariate time series forecasting tasks. However, several practical challenges persist, including managing intricate dependencies among features and quantifying…

Adaptively forecasting human behavior in social settings is an important step toward achieving Artificial General Intelligence. Most existing research in social forecasting has focused either on unfocused interactions, such as pedestrian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-06 Augustinas Jučas , Chirag Raman
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