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In this work, we propose and analyze a new local time-decoupled squared Wasserstein-2 method for reconstructing the distribution of unknown parameters in dynamical systems. Specifically, we show that a stochastic neural network model, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Mingtao Xia , Qijing Shen , Philip Maini , Eamonn Gaffney , Alex Mogilner

Model predictive control (MPC) is an effective approach to control multivariable dynamic systems with constraints. Most real dynamic models are however affected by plant-model mismatch and process uncertainties, which can lead to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-29 Zhengang Zhong , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio-Chanona , Panagiotis Petsagkourakis

We introduce a new framework, Bayesian Distributionally Robust Optimization (Bayesian-DRO), for data-driven stochastic optimization where the underlying distribution is unknown. Bayesian-DRO contrasts with most of the existing DRO…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-10 Alexander Shapiro , Enlu Zhou , Yifan Lin

We investigate the Distributionally Robust Regret-Optimal (DR-RO) control of discrete-time linear dynamical systems with quadratic cost over an infinite horizon. Regret is the difference in cost obtained by a causal controller and a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-01 Taylan Kargin , Joudi Hajar , Vikrant Malik , Babak Hassibi

We tackle the data-driven chance-constrained density steering problem using the Gromov-Wasserstein metric. The underlying dynamical system is an unknown linear controlled recursion, with the assumption that sufficiently rich input-output…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Haruto Nakashima , Siddhartha Ganguly , Kenji Kashima

Discrete-time stochastic systems with continuous spaces are hard to verify and control, even with MDP abstractions due to the curse of dimensionality. We propose an abstraction-based framework with robust dynamic programming mappings that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-13 Ruohan Wang , Siyuan Liu , Zhiyong Sun , Sofie Haesaert

We consider the stochastic optimal control problem of nonlinear mean-field systems in discrete time. We reformulate the problem into a deterministic control problem with marginal distribution as controlled state variable, and prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-01 Huyên Pham , Xiaoli Wei

We introduce a robust variant of the Kelly portfolio optimization model, called the Wasserstein-Kelly portfolio optimization. Our model, taking a Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (DRO) formulation, addresses the fundamental…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-28 Jonathan Yu-Meng Li

We present a Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) approach to estimate a robustified regression plane in a linear regression setting, when the observed samples are potentially contaminated with adversarially corrupted outliers. Our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-14 Ruidi Chen , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

In contextual optimization, a decision-maker leverages contextual information, often referred to as covariates, to better resolve uncertainty and make informed decisions. In this paper, we examine the challenges of contextual…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-26 Tianyu Wang , Ningyuan Chen , Chun Wang

Given a Brownian motion $W$ and a stationary Poisson point process $p$ with values in ${\mathbb R}^d$, we prove a Dynamic Programming Principle (DPP) in a strong formulation for a stochastic control problem involving controlled SDEs of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Alessandro Bondi , Enrico Priola

We present a computationally efficient framework, called $\texttt{FlowDRO}$, for solving flow-based distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems with Wasserstein uncertainty sets while aiming to find continuous worst-case…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Chen Xu , Jonghyeok Lee , Xiuyuan Cheng , Yao Xie

In this paper, we present new results on the covariance steering problem with Wasserstein distance terminal cost. We show that the state history feedback control policy parametrization, which has been used before to solve this class of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Isin M. Balci , Efstathios Bakolas

This article aims to introduce the paradigm of distributional robustness from the field of convex optimization to tackle optimal design problems under uncertainty. We consider realistic situations where the physical model, and thereby the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Charles Dapogny , Julien Prando , Boris Thibert

Classical stability theory for stochastic programming relies on the Wasserstein-Fortet-Mourier duality, which requires the ground cost to be a distance. When using problem-dependent costs instead of metrics, this duality no longer yields…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Nils Peyrousset , Benoît Tran

This paper focuses on the Wasserstein distributionally robust mean-lower semi-absolute deviation (DR-MLSAD) model, where the ambiguity set is a Wasserstein ball centered on the empirical distribution of the training sample. This model can…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-04 Weimi Zhou , Yong-Jin Liu

Data-driven machine learning methodologies have attracted considerable attention for the control and estimation of dynamical systems. However, such implementations suffer from a lack of predictability and robustness. Thus, adoption of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-08 Aditya Gahlawat , Sambhu H. Karumanchi , Naira Hovakimyan

We consider a data-driven robust hypothesis test where the optimal test will minimize the worst-case performance regarding distributions that are close to the empirical distributions with respect to the Wasserstein distance. This leads to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Liyan Xie , Rui Gao , Yao Xie

We present a novel approach for the control of uncertain, linear time-invariant systems, which are perturbed by potentially unbounded, additive disturbances. We propose a \emph{doubly robust} data-driven state-feedback controller to ensure…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-29 Francesco Micheli , Anastasios Tsiamis , John Lygeros

This paper studies data-driven distributionally robust bottleneck combinatorial problems (DRBCP) with stochastic costs, where the probability distribution of the cost vector is contained in a ball of distributions centered at the empirical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Weijun Xie , Jie Zhang , Shabbir Ahmed