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Dynamic graphs capture evolving interactions between entities, such as in social networks, online learning platforms, and crowdsourcing projects. For dynamic graph modeling, dynamic graph neural networks (DGNNs) have emerged as a mainstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Xingtong Yu , Zhenghao Liu , Xinming Zhang , Yuan Fang

Volatility forecasting is essential for risk management and decision-making in financial markets. Traditional models like Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) effectively capture volatility clustering but often…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Pulikandala Nithish Kumar , Nneka Umeorah , Alex Alochukwu

In recent years, Dynamic Graph (DG) representations have been increasingly used for modeling dynamic systems due to their ability to integrate both topological and temporal information in a compact representation. Dynamic graphs allow to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Leshanshui Yang , Sébastien Adam , Clément Chatelain

Time series forecasting lies at the core of important real-world applications in many fields of science and engineering. The abundance of large time series datasets that consist of complex patterns and long-term dependencies has led to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Nancy Xu , Chrysoula Kosma , Michalis Vazirgiannis

In the current context of accelerated globalization and digitalization, the complexity and uncertainty of financial markets are increasing, and the identification and prevention of economic risks have become a key link in maintaining the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-20 Xin Zhang , Zhen Xu , Yue Liu , Mengfang Sun , Tong Zhou , Wenying Sun

Graph neural networks (GNNs), especially dynamic GNNs, have become a research hotspot in spatio-temporal forecasting problems. While many dynamic graph construction methods have been developed, relatively few of them explore the causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Guojun Liang , Prayag Tiwari , Sławomir Nowaczyk , Stefan Byttner , Fernando Alonso-Fernandez

This paper proposes a new algorithm -- Trading Graph Neural Network (TGNN) that can structurally estimate the impact of asset features, dealer features and relationship features on asset prices in trading networks. It combines the strength…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-11 Xian Wu

Traditional methods for demand forecasting only focus on modeling the temporal dependency. However, forecasting on spatio-temporal data requires modeling of complex nonlinear relational and spatial dependencies. In addition, dynamic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Hongjie Chen , Ryan A. Rossi , Kanak Mahadik , Hoda Eldardiry

Graphs are essential representations of many real-world data such as social networks. Recent years have witnessed the increasing efforts made to extend the neural network models to graph-structured data. These methods, which are usually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Yao Ma , Ziyi Guo , Zhaochun Ren , Eric Zhao , Jiliang Tang , Dawei Yin

Dynamic graphs provide a flexible data abstraction for modelling many sorts of real-world systems, such as transport, trade, and social networks. Graph neural networks (GNNs) are powerful tools allowing for different kinds of prediction and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-27 Ed Davis , Ian Gallagher , Daniel John Lawson , Patrick Rubin-Delanchy

Temporal Graph Neural Networks (TGNNs) are pivotal in processing dynamic graphs. However, existing TGNNs primarily target one-time predictions for a given temporal span, whereas many practical applications require continuous predictions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Zulun Zhu , Siqiang Luo

Optimal decision-making in social settings is often based on forecasts from time series (TS) data. Recently, several approaches using deep neural networks (DNNs) such as recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have been introduced for TS…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Philippe Chatigny , Jean-Marc Patenaude , Shengrui Wang

The price movement prediction of stock market has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention of both economists and computer scientists. In recent years, graph neural network has significantly improved the prediction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 Sheng Xiang , Dawei Cheng , Chencheng Shang , Ying Zhang , Yuqi Liang

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) have recently gained popularity in the forecasting domain due to their ability to model complex spatial and temporal patterns in tasks such as traffic forecasting and region-based demand forecasting. Most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Abishek Sriramulu , Nicolas Fourrier , Christoph Bergmeir

Accurately forecasting dynamic processes on graphs, such as traffic flow or disease spread, remains a challenge. While Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) excel at modeling and forecasting spatio-temporal data, they often lack the ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Zakaria Elabid , Lena Sasal , Daniel Busby , Abdenour Hadid

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have recently become increasingly popular due to their ability to learn complex systems of relations or interactions arising in a broad spectrum of problems ranging from biology and particle physics to social…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Emanuele Rossi , Ben Chamberlain , Fabrizio Frasca , Davide Eynard , Federico Monti , Michael Bronstein

Leveraging network information for predictive modeling has become widespread in many domains. Within the realm of referral and targeted marketing, influencer detection stands out as an area that could greatly benefit from the incorporation…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Elena Tiukhova , Emiliano Penaloza , María Óskarsdóttir , Bart Baesens , Monique Snoeck , Cristián Bravo

Weather Forecasting is an attractive challengeable task due to its influence on human life and complexity in atmospheric motion. Supported by massive historical observed time series data, the task is suitable for data-driven approaches,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Minbo Ma , Peng Xie , Fei Teng , Tianrui Li , Bin Wang , Shenggong Ji , Junbo Zhang

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have emerged as potent tools for predicting outcomes in graph-structured data. Despite their efficacy, a significant drawback of GNNs lies in their limited ability to provide robust uncertainty estimates, posing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-26 S. Akansha

Dynamic Graph Neural Networks (DGNNs) have emerged as the predominant approach for processing dynamic graph-structured data. However, the influence of temporal information on model performance and robustness remains insufficiently explored,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Xiangjian Jiang , Yanyi Pu
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