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Incomplete observability of data generates an identification problem. There is no panacea for missing data. What one can learn about a population parameter depends on the assumptions one finds credible to maintain. The credibility of…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-17 Charles F. Manski

We present numerical studies of wetting on various topographic substrates, including random topographies. We find good agreement with recent predictions based on an analytical interface-displacement-type theory \cite{Herminghaus2012,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2016-03-23 Renaud Dufour , Ciro Semprebon , Stephan Herminghaus

Spatial statistics is concerned with the analysis of data that have spatial locations associated with them, and those locations are used to model statistical dependence between the data. The spatial data are treated as a single realisation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-09 Noel Cressie , Matthew Sainsbury-Dale , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

We present a fully Bayesian sequential strategy for predicting the mean response surface of heteroscedastic stochastic simulation functions. Leveraging dual Gaussian processes as the surrogate model and a criterion based on empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-12 Yuying Huang , Samuel W. K. Wong

Guided wave-based techniques have been used extensively in Structural Health Monitoring (SHM). Models using guided waves can provide information from both time and frequency domains to make themselves accurate and robust. Probabilistic SHM…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-06 Yiming Fan , Fotis Kopsaftopoulos

A common problem faced by statistical institutes is that data may be missing from collected data sets. The typical way to overcome this problem is to impute the missing data. The problem of imputing missing data is complicated by the fact…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-09 Jeroen Pannekoek , Natalie Shlomo , Ton De Waal

For uncertainty propagation of highly complex and/or nonlinear problems, one must resort to sample-based non-intrusive approaches [1]. In such cases, minimizing the number of function evaluations required to evaluate the response surface is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Anindya Bhaduri , Lori Graham-Brady

The estimation of covariance operators of spatio-temporal data is in many applications only computationally feasible under simplifying assumptions, such as separability of the covariance into strictly temporal and spatial factors.Powerful…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-30 Holger Dette , Gauthier Dierickx , Tim Kutta

Multiple imputation has become one of the standard methods in drawing inferences in many incomplete data applications. Applications of multiple imputation in relatively more complex settings, such as high-dimensional clustered data, require…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Qiushuang Li , Recai Yucel

Implicit sampling is a weighted sampling method that is used in data assimilation, where one sequentially updates estimates of the state of a stochastic model based on a stream of noisy or incomplete data. Here we describe how to use…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Jon Wilkening , Alexandre J. Chorin

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

Scientific and commercial data is often incomplete. Recovery of the missing information is an important pre-processing step in data analysis. Real-world data can in many cases be represented as a superposition of two or more different types…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-31 Emily J. King , James M. Murphy

Model uncertainty quantification is an essential component of effective data assimilation. Model errors associated with sub-grid scale processes are often represented through stochastic parameterizations of the unresolved process. Many…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Sahani Pathiraja , Peter Jan van Leeuwen

We propose a robust optimization approach for constructing confidence bands for stochastic processes using a finite number of simulated sample paths. Our approach can be used to quantify uncertainty in realizations of stochastic processes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Timothy Chan , Jangwon Park , Vahid Sarhangian

The imputation of missing values in multivariate time series (MTS) data is critical in ensuring data quality and producing reliable data-driven predictive models. Apart from many statistical approaches, a few recent studies have proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-17 Maksims Kazijevs , Manar D. Samad

Endogeneity and missing data are common issues in empirical research. We investigate how both jointly affect inference on causal parameters. Conventional methods to estimate the variance, which treat the imputed data as if it was observed…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-03-27 Helmut Farbmacher , Alexander Kann

We consider the problem of calibrating an imperfect computer model using experimental data. To compensate the misspecification of the computer model and make more accurate predictions, a discrepancy function is often included and modeled…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-04 Mengyang Gu , Long Wang

We propose modeling raw functional data as a mixture of a smooth function and a high-dimensional factor component. The conventional approach to retrieving the smooth function from the raw data is through various smoothing techniques.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-13 Yuan Gao , Han Lin Shang , Yanrong Yang

Effective management of environmental resources and agricultural sustainability heavily depends on accurate soil moisture data. However, datasets like the SMAP/Sentinel-1 soil moisture product often contain missing values across their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Kehui Yao , Jingyi Huang , Jun Zhu

Nonstationary Gaussian process models can capture complex spatially varying dependence structures in spatial datasets. However, the large number of observations in modern datasets makes fitting such models computationally intractable with…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-13 Paul G. Beckman , Christopher J. Geoga , Michael L. Stein , Mihai Anitescu
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