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We develop a stochastic epidemic model progressing over dynamic networks, where infection rates are heterogeneous and may vary with individual-level covariates. The joint dynamics are modeled as a continuous-time Markov chain such that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-16 Fan Bu , Allison E. Aiello , Alexander Volfovsky , Jason Xu

We propose a new paradigm to design a network-based self-adaptive epidemic model that relies on the interplay between the network and its line graph. We implement this proposal on a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model in which both nodes…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2024-03-05 Paolo Bartesaghi , Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi

We study continuous-time Markov chains on the non-negative integers under mild regularity conditions (in particular, the set of jump vectors is finite and both forward and backward jumps are possible). Based on the so-called flux balance…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Mads Chr Hansen , Carsten Wiuf , Chuang Xu

Stochastic Chemical Reaction Networks are continuous time Markov chain models that describe the time evolution of the molecular counts of species interacting stochastically via discrete reactions. Such models are ubiquitous in systems and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-01 Theodore W. Grunberg , Domitilla Del Vecchio

Epidemic dynamics in a stochastic network of interacting epidemic centers is considered. The epidemic and migration processes are modelled by Markov's chains. Explicit formulas for probability distribution of the migration process are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-05 Igor Sazonov , Mark Kelbert

Multi-agent coordination algorithms with randomized interactions have seen use in a variety of settings in the multi-agent systems literature. In some cases, these algorithms can be random by design, as in a gossip-like algorithm, and in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-22 Matthew T. Hale , Magnus Egerstedt

In the last decade, stochastic models have shown to be very useful for quantitative modelling of social processes. Here, a configurational master equation for the description of behavioral changes by pair interactions of individuals is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dirk Helbing

In this paper consensus in second-order multi-agent systems with a non-periodic sampled-data exchange among agents is investigated. The sampling is random with bounded inter-sampling intervals. It is assumed that each agent has exact…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-09-09 Mehran Zareh , Dimos V. Dimarogonas , Mauro Franceschelli , Karl Henrik Johansson , Carla Seatzu

Stochastic models of reaction networks are becoming increasingly important in Systems Biology. In these models, the dynamics is generally represented by a continuous-time Markov chain whose states denote the copy-numbers of the constituent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-12 Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

Studies on how to model the interplay between diseases and behavioral responses (so-called coupled disease-behavior interaction) have attracted increasing attention. Owing to the lack of obvious clinical evidence of diseases, or the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-08-24 Hai-Feng Zhang , Jia-Rong Xie , Han-Shuang Chen , Can Liu , Michael Small

Throughout the course of an epidemic, the rate at which disease spreads varies with behavioral changes, the emergence of new disease variants, and the introduction of mitigation policies. Estimating such changes in transmission rates can…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Jenny Huang , Raphaël Morsomme , David Dunson , Jason Xu

To model recurrent interaction events in continuous time, an extension of the stochastic block model is proposed where every individual belongs to a latent group and interactions between two individuals follow a conditional inhomogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-30 Catherine Matias , Tabea Rebafka , Fanny Villers

The paper deals with non-linear Poisson neuron network models with bounded memory dynamics, that can include both Hebbian learning mechanisms and refractory periods. The state of a network is described by the times elapsed since its neurons…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-21 Konstantin Borovkov , Geoffrey Decrouez , Matthieu Gilson

We introduce a probabilistic pairwise \emph{attraction--repulsion} model for opinion dynamics on multilayer social networks, in which agents hold layer-specific states and interact through random matchings that couple multiple, time-varying…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Hsin-Lun Li

Polyadic (or higher-order) interactions can significantly impact the dynamics of interacting particle systems. However, previous studies have often assumed group sizes to be relatively small. In this work, we examine the influence of…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-10-13 Pia Steinmeyer , Jan Mölter , Christian Kuehn

We consider discrete-time distributed averaging algorithms over multi-agent networks with measurement noises and time-varying random graph flows. Each agent updates its state by relative states between neighbours with both additive and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-02-14 Tao Li , Jiexiang Wang

We study the concentration phenomenon for discrete-time random dynamical systems with an unbounded state space. We develop a heuristic approach towards obtaining exponential concentration inequalities for dynamical systems using an entirely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-08 Muhammad Abdullah Naeem , Miroslav Pajic

We introduce a kinetic framework for modeling the time evolution of the statistical distributions of the population densities in the three compartments of susceptible, infectious, and recovered individuals, under epidemic spreading driven…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Giorgio Martalò , Giuseppe Toscani , Mattia Zanella

We investigate saturation effects in susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) models of the spread of epidemics in heterogeneous populations. The structure of interactions in the population is represented by networks with connectivity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Jaewook Joo , Joel L. Lebowitz

We study the long-time behavior of stochastic models with an absorbing state, conditioned on survival. For a large class of processes, in which saturation prevents unlimited growth, statistical properties of the surviving sample attain…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ronald Dickman , Ronaldo Vidigal