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The growing prevalence of unauthorized model usage and misattribution has increased the need for reliable model provenance analysis. However, existing methods largely rely on heuristic fingerprint-matching rules that lack provable error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Xiaoqi Qiu , Hao Zeng , Zhiyu Hou , Hongxin Wei

As animals interact with their environments, they must infer properties of their surroundings. Some animals, including humans, can represent uncertainty about those properties. But when, if ever, do they use probability distributions to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-15 Samuel Lippl , Raphael Gerraty , John Morrison , Nikolaus Kriegeskorte

By analyzing the relationships among chance, weight of evidence and degree of beliefwe show that the assertion "probability functions are special cases of belief functions" and the assertion "Dempster's rule can be used to combine belief…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Pei Wang

Hypothesis testing methods that do not rely on exact distribution assumptions have been emerging lately. The method of sign-perturbed sums (SPS) is capable of characterizing confidence regions with exact confidence levels for linear…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-07-03 Sándor Kolumbán , István Vajk , Johan Schoukens

The belief function approach to uncertainty quantification as proposed in the Demspter-Shafer theory of evidence is established upon the general mathematical models for set-valued observations, called random sets. Set-valued predictions are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Shireen Kudukkil Manchingal , Fabio Cuzzolin

In this paper, we propose in Dezert-Smarandache Theory (DSmT) framework, a new probabilistic transformation, called DSmP, in order to build a subjective probability measure from any basic belief assignment defined on any model of the frame…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2008-07-24 Jean Dezert , Florentin Smarandache

The total uncertainty measurement of basic probability assignment (BPA) in Dempster-Shafer evidence theory (DSET) has always been an open issue. Although some scholars put forward various measurements and entropies of BPA, due to the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Qianli Zhou , Yong Deng

The computational complexity of reasoning within the Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence is one of the main points of criticism this formalism has to face. To overcome this difficulty various approximation algorithms have been suggested that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Mathias Bauer

Random forest is a popular prediction approach for handling high dimensional covariates. However, it often becomes infeasible to interpret the obtained high dimensional and non-parametric model. Aiming for obtaining an interpretable…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-12 Jasper Velthoen , Juan-Juan Cai , Geurt Jongbloed

We study statistical inference and distributionally robust solution methods for stochastic optimization problems, focusing on confidence intervals for optimal values and solutions that achieve exact coverage asymptotically. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 John Duchi , Peter Glynn , Hongseok Namkoong

Computational image reconstruction algorithms generally produce a single image without any measure of uncertainty or confidence. Regularized Maximum Likelihood (RML) and feed-forward deep learning approaches for inverse problems typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 He Sun , Katherine L. Bouman

Certified robustness in machine learning has primarily focused on adversarial perturbations of the input with a fixed attack budget for each point in the data distribution. In this work, we present provable robustness guarantees on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Aounon Kumar , Alexander Levine , Tom Goldstein , Soheil Feizi

This paper describes recent work on an ongoing project in medical diagnosis at the University of Guelph. A domain on which experts are not very good at pinpointing a single disease outcome is explored. On-line medical data is available over…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Mary McLeish , P. Yao , T. Stirtzinger

We explore the interplay between random and deterministic phenomena using a representation of uncertainty based on the measure-theoretic concept of outer measure. The meaning of the analogues of different probabilistic concepts is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-21 Jeremie Houssineau

Machine learning algorithms often assume that training samples are independent. When data points are connected by a network, the induced dependency between samples is both a challenge, reducing effective sample size, and an opportunity to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-22 Tiffany M. Tang , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

Dempster-Shafer theory is widely applied to uncertainty modelling and knowledge reasoning due to its ability of expressing uncertain information. However, some conditions, such as exclusiveness hypothesis and completeness constraint, limit…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-05-13 Xinyang Deng , Yong Deng

Spatial Transformer Networks (STN) can generate geometric transformations which modify input images to improve the classifier's performance. In this work, we combine the idea of STN with Reinforcement Learning (RL). To this end, we break…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Fatemeh Azimi , Federico Raue , Joern Hees , Andreas Dengel

The Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence has been widely applied in the field of information fusion under uncertainty. Most existing research focuses on combining evidence within the same frame of discernment. However, in real-world…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Meishen He , Wenjun Ma , Jiao Wang , Huijun Yue , Xiaoma Fan

Nowadays, using vibration data in conjunction with pattern recognition methods is one of the most common fault detection strategies for structures. However, their performances depend on the features extracted from vibration data, the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-25 Vahid Yaghoubi , Liangliang Cheng , Wim Van Paepegem , Mathias Kersemans

Learning-based approaches to verifying unknown Markov decision processes (MDPs) often employ uncertain MDPs. These models use, for example, confidence intervals to capture transition uncertainty and allow synthesis of policies that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Yannik Schnitzer , Alessandro Abate , David Parker
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