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This paper presents performance analysis of hybrid model comprise of concordance and Genetic Programming (GP) to forecast financial market with some existing models. This scheme can be used for in depth analysis of stock market. Different…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-16 Mahesh S. Khadka , K. M. George , N. Park , J. B. Kim

The paper proposes a time-varying parameter global vector autoregressive (TVP-GVAR) framework for predicting and analysing developed region economic variables. We want to provide an easily accessible approach for the economy application…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-14 Yukang Jiang , Xueqin Wang , Zhixi Xiong , Haisheng Yang , Ting Tian

The key problem in multivariate time series (MTS) analysis and forecasting aims to disclose the underlying couplings between variables that drive the co-movements. Considerable recent successful MTS methods are built with graph neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Kun Yi , Qi Zhang , Liang Hu , Hui He , Ning An , LongBing Cao , ZhenDong Niu

Volatility forecasting becomes challenging when market conditions shift and model performance varies across market states. Motivated by this instability, we develop a risk-sensitive specialist routing framework for ETF volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-17 Tenghan Zhong

Technical and fundamental analysis are traditional tools used to analyze individual stocks; however, the finance literature has shown that the price movement of each individual stock correlates heavily with other stocks, especially those…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-03-11 Ran Zhao , Yuntian Deng , Mark Dredze , Arun Verma , David Rosenberg , Amanda Stent

Graph-based representations for samples of computational mechanics-related datasets can prove instrumental when dealing with problems like irregular domains or molecular structures of materials, etc. To effectively analyze and process such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Isha Jain , Shailesh Garg , Shaurya Shriyam , Souvik Chakraborty

In an environment of increasingly volatile financial markets, the accurate estimation of risk remains a major challenge. Traditional econometric models, such as GARCH and its variants, are based on assumptions that are often too rigid to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Fredy Pokou , Jules Sadefo Kamdem , François Benhmad

Accurate forecasting of volatility and return quantiles is essential for evaluating financial tail risks such as value-at-risk and expected shortfall. This study proposes an extension of the traditional stochastic volatility model, termed…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-02 Makoto Takahashi , Yuta Yamauchi , Toshiaki Watanabe , Yasuhiro Omori

Several novel statistical methods have been developed to estimate large integrated volatility matrices based on high-frequency financial data. To investigate their asymptotic behaviors, they require a sub-Gaussian or finite high-order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Minseok Shin , Donggyu Kim , Jianqing Fan

Complex networks lend themselves to the modeling of multidimensional data, such as relational and/or temporal data. In particular, when such complex data and their inherent relationships need to be formalized, complex network modeling and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-13 Stefan Bloemheuvel , Jurgen van den Hoogen , Martin Atzmueller

Volt-var control (VVC) is the problem of operating power distribution systems within healthy regimes by controlling actuators in power systems. Existing works have mostly adopted the conventional routine of representing the power systems (a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Xian Yeow Lee , Soumik Sarkar , Yubo Wang

The effective representation, processing, analysis, and visualization of large-scale structured data, especially those related to complex domains such as networks and graphs, are one of the key questions in modern machine learning. Graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-02 Xiaowen Dong , Dorina Thanou , Laura Toni , Michael Bronstein , Pascal Frossard

Multivariate time-series forecasting is a critical task for many applications, and graph time-series network is widely studied due to its capability to capture the spatial-temporal correlation simultaneously. However, most existing works…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Hongyuan Yu , Ting Li , Weichen Yu , Jianguo Li , Yan Huang , Liang Wang , Alex Liu

This study proposes a portfolio optimization framework that integrates advanced deep learning architectures with traditional financial models to enhance risk-adjusted performance. Using historical data from 2015-2023 across equities, ETFs,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Samuel Ozechi , Banjo Francis , Wisdom Yakanu , Joe Wayne Byers

We applied Deep Q-Network with a Convolutional Neural Network function approximator, which takes stock chart images as input, for making global stock market predictions. Our model not only yields profit in the stock market of the country…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-27 Jinho Lee , Raehyun Kim , Yookyung Koh , Jaewoo Kang

Graph models provide efficient tools to capture the underlying structure of data defined over networks. Many real-world network topologies are subject to change over time. Learning to model the dynamic interactions between entities in such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Amirhossein Javaheri , Jiaxi Ying , Daniel P. Palomar , Farokh Marvasti

As the increasing application of AI in finance, this paper will leverage AI algorithms to examine tail risk and develop a model to alter tail risk to promote the stability of US financial markets, and enhance the resilience of the US…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-08 Zong Ke , Yuchen Yin

Graph signal processing (GSP) generalizes signal processing (SP) tasks to signals living on non-Euclidean domains whose structure can be captured by a weighted graph. Graphs are versatile, able to model irregular interactions, easy to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-21 Geert Leus , Antonio G. Marques , José M. F. Moura , Antonio Ortega , David I Shuman

Volatility clustering is an important characteristic that has a significant effect on the behavior of stock markets. However, designing robust models for accurate prediction of future volatilities of stock prices is a very challenging…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-11 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab , Abhishek Dutta

With the growing demand for non-Euclidean data analysis, graph signal processing (GSP) has gained significant attention for its capability to handle complex time-varying data. This paper introduces a novel sampling method based on the joint…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Yu Zhang , Bing-Zhao Li