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We propose a hybrid meta-learning framework for forecasting and anomaly detection in nonlinear dynamical systems characterized by nonstationary and stochastic behavior. The approach integrates a physics-inspired simulator that captures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Abdullah Burkan Bereketoglu

The dynamics of non-equilibrium Ising model with parallel updates is investigated using a generalized mean field approximation that incorporates multiple two-site correlations at any two time steps, which can be obtained recursively. The…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-17 Hamed Mahmoudi , David Saad

Brute-force simulations for dynamics on very large networks are quite expensive. While phenomenological treatments may capture some macroscopic properties, they often ignore important microscopic details. Fortunately, one may be only…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-17 Chuansheng Shen , Hanshuang Chen , Zhonghuai Hou , Jürgen Kurths

Given a target Gibbs distribution $\pi^0_{\beta} \propto e^{-\beta \mathcal{H}}$ to sample from in the low-temperature regime on $\Sigma_N := \{-1,+1\}^N$, in this paper we propose and analyze Metropolis dynamics that instead target an…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-23 Michael C. H. Choi

Entropy is a central concept in physics, but can be challenging to calculate even for systems that are easily simulated. This is exacerbated out of equilibrium, where generally little is known about the distribution characterizing simulated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-09 Samuel D. Gelman , Guy Cohen

We develop an algorithm for automatic differentiation of Metropolis-Hastings samplers, allowing us to differentiate through probabilistic inference, even if the model has discrete components within it. Our approach fuses recent advances in…

We address the inverse problem for the mean-field Ising model with two- and three-body interactions using a Bayesian framework. Parameter recovery in this setting is notoriously difficult, particularly near phase transitions, at…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-03 Godwin Osabutey , Robert Richardson , Garritt L. Page

We present a data-driven approach to efficiently approximate nonlinear transient dynamics in solid-state systems. Our proposed machine-learning model combines a dimensionality reduction stage with a nonlinear vector autoregression scheme.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-02-22 Stefan Meinecke , Felix Köster , Dominik Christiansen , Kathy Lüdge , Andreas Knorr , Malte Selig

We propose a class of discrete state sampling algorithms based on Nesterov's accelerated gradient method, which extends the classical Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm. The evolution of the discrete states probability distribution governed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Bohan Zhou , Shu Liu , Xinzhe Zuo , Wuchen Li

We develop a multi-state generalisation of the recently proposed mapping approach to surface hopping (MASH) for the simulation of electronically nonadiabatic dynamics. This new approach extends the original MASH method to be able to treat…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-03-19 Joseph E. Lawrence , Jonathan R. Mannouch , Jeremy O. Richardson

We investigate a kinetic Ising model with several single-spin flip dynamics (including Metropolis and heat-bath) on quenched and annealed random regular graphs. As expected, on the quenched structures all proposed algorithms reproduce the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-26 Arkadiusz Jędrzejewski , Anna Chmiel , Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron

We study novel robust zero-order algorithms with acceleration for the solution of real-time optimization problems. In particular, we propose a family of extremum seeking dynamics that can be universally modeled as singularly perturbed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-17 Jorge I. Poveda , Na Li

The multiple-try Metropolis (MTM) algorithm is an extension of the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm by selecting the proposed state among multiple trials according to some weight function. Although MTM has gained great popularity owing to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-17 Hyunwoong Chang , Changwoo J. Lee , Zhao Tang Luo , Huiyan Sang , Quan Zhou

Modeling a high-dimensional Hamiltonian system in reduced dimensions with respect to coarse-grained (CG) variables can greatly reduce computational cost and enable efficient bottom-up prediction of main features of the system for many…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Shu Wang , Zhan Ma , Wenxiao Pan

Effective control and prediction of dynamical systems often require appropriate handling of continuous-time and discrete, event-triggered processes. Stochastic hybrid systems (SHSs), common across engineering domains, provide a formalism…

We introduce a Monte Carlo algorithm to efficiently compute transport properties of chaotic dynamical systems. Our method exploits the importance sampling technique that favors trajectories in the tail of the distribution of displacements,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-25 Diego Tapias , David P. Sanders , Eduardo G. Altmann

Various Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are studied to improve upon random walk Metropolis sampling, for simulation from complex distributions. Examples include Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithms, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, and…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-19 Zexi Song , Zhiqiang Tan

We analyze networked heterogeneous nonlinear systems, with diffusive coupling and interconnected over a generic static directed graph. Due to the network's hetereogeneity, complete synchronization is impossible, in general, but an emergent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-01 Mohamed Maghenem , Elena Panteley , Antonio Loria

Hybrid dynamical systems with nonlinear dynamics are one of the most general modeling tools for representing robotic systems, especially contact-rich systems. However, providing guarantees regarding the safety or performance of nonlinear…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Javier Borquez , Shuang Peng , Yiyu Chen , Quan Nguyen , Somil Bansal

Traditional MCMC algorithms are computationally intensive and do not scale well to large data. In particular, the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm requires passing over the entire dataset to evaluate the likelihood ratio in each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-29 Tung-Yu Wu , Y. X. Rachel Wang , Wing H. Wong