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Finding the factors contributing to criminal activities and their consequences is essential to improve quantitative crime research. To respond to this concern, we examine an extensive set of features from different perspectives and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Fateha Khanam Bappee , Lucas May Petry , Amilcar Soares , Stan Matwin

Anticipating price developments in financial markets is a topic of continued interest in forecasting. Funneled by advancements in deep learning and natural language processing (NLP) together with the availability of vast amounts of textual…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-21 Duygu Ider , Stefan Lessmann

Floods can be very destructive causing heavy damage to life, property, and livelihoods. Global climate change and the consequent sea-level rise have increased the occurrence of extreme weather events, resulting in elevated and frequent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Jimeng Shi , Vitalii Stebliankin , Zhaonan Wang , Shaowen Wang , Giri Narasimhan

Lightning strikes are a well-known danger, and are a leading cause of accidental fatality worldwide. Unfortunately, lightning hazards seldom make headlines in international media coverage because of their infrequency and the low number of…

Skillful seasonal prediction of lightning is crucial over several global hotspot regions, as it causes severe damages to infrastructures and losses of human life. While major emphasis has been given for predicting rainfall, prediction of…

Traffic prediction during hurricane evacuation is essential for optimizing the use of transportation infrastructures. It can reduce evacuation time by providing information on future congestion in advance. However, evacuation traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Md Mobasshir Rashid , Rezaur Rahman , Samiul Hasan

Atmospheric environments favorable for lightning and convection are commonly represented by proxies or parameterizations based on expert knowledge such as CAPE, wind shears, charge separation, or combinations thereof. Recent developments in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-26 Gregor Ehrensperger , Thorsten Simon , Georg J. Mayr , Tobias Hell

Numerical weather forecasting using high-resolution physical models often requires extensive computational resources on supercomputers, which diminishes their wide usage in most real-life applications. As a remedy, applying deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Selim Furkan Tekin , Arda Fazla , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Machine learning for time-series forecasting remains a key area of research. Despite successful application of many machine learning techniques, relating computational efficiency to forecast error remains an under-explored domain. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Elin Törnquist , Wagner Costa Santos , Timothy Pogue , Nicholas Wingle , Robert A. Caulk

The Texan electric network in the Gulf Coast of the United States is frequently hit by Tropical Cyclones (TC) causing widespread power outages, a risk that is expected to substantially increase under global warming. Here, we introduce a new…

This paper proposes a few-shot classification framework based on Large Language Models (LLMs) to predict whether the next day will have spikes in real-time electricity prices. The approach aggregates system state information, including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Saud Alghumayjan , Ming Yi , Bolun Xu

Electricity price forecasting is an essential task in all the deregulated markets of the world. The accurate prediction of the day-ahead electricity prices is an active research field and available data from various markets can be used as…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-18 Salih Gunduz , Umut Ugurlu , Ilkay Oksuz

Predicting future events is an important activity with applications across multiple fields and domains. For example, the capacity to foresee stock market trends, natural disasters, business developments, or political events can facilitate…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Petraq Nako , Adam Jatowt

Thunderstorms have significant social and economic impacts due to heavy precipitation, hail, lightning, and strong winds, necessitating reliable forecasts. Thunderstorm forecasts based on numerical weather prediction (NWP) often rely on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-12 Kianusch Vahid Yousefnia , Christoph Metzl , Tobias Bölle

In recent years, probabilistic forecasts techniques were proposed in research as well as in applications to integrate volatile renewable energy resources into the electrical grid. These techniques allow decision makers to take the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Jens Schreiber , Bernhard Sick

Different machine learning (ML) models are trained on SCADA and meteorological data collected at an onshore wind farm and then assessed in terms of fidelity and accuracy for predictions of wind speed, turbulence intensity, and power capture…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-12-06 C. Moss , R. Maulik , G. V. Iungo

Hurricanes have caused power outages and blackouts, affecting millions of customers and inducing severe social and economic impacts. The impacts of hurricane-caused blackouts may worsen due to increased heat extremes and possibly increased…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-09 Kairui Feng , Ouyang Min , Ning Lin

The objective of this study is to examine spatial patterns of impacts and recovery of communities based on variances in credit card transactions. Such variances could capture the collective effects of household impacts, disrupted accesses,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Faxi Yuan , Amir Esmalian , Bora Oztekin , Ali Mostafavi

Non-neural Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) models are often used to predict system failures in the context of industrial maintenance. However, only a few researches jointly assess the effect of varying the amount of past data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Nicolò Oreste Pinciroli Vago , Francesca Forbicini , Piero Fraternali

We are building a hurricane number prediction scheme based on first predicting main development region sea surface temperature (SST), then predicting the number of hurricanes in the Atlantic basin given the SST prediction, and finally…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Stephen Jewson , Roman Binter , Shree Khare , Kechi Nzerem , Adam O'Shay
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