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We propose a novel Skew Gradient Embedding (SGE) framework for systematically reformulating thermodynamically consistent partial differential equation (PDE) models-capturing both reversible and irreversible processes-as generalized gradient…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Xuelong Gu , Qi Wang

Global Climate Models are key tools for predicting the future response of the climate system to a variety of natural and anthropogenic forcings. Here we show how to use statistical mechanics to construct operators able to flexibly predict…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Valerio Lembo , Valerio Lucarini , Francesco Ragone

Additive Manufacturing (AM) is a manufacturing paradigm that builds three-dimensional objects from a computer-aided design model by successively adding material layer by layer. AM has become very popular in the past decade due to its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-12 Arindam Paul , Mojtaba Mozaffar , Zijiang Yang , Wei-keng Liao , Alok Choudhary , Jian Cao , Ankit Agrawal

Global Climate Model (GCM) tuning (calibration) is a tedious and time-consuming process, with high-dimensional input and output fields. Experts typically tune by iteratively running climate simulations with hand-picked values of tuning…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-15 Drew Yarger , Benjamin Wagman , Lyndsay Shand , Kenny Chowdhary

The accurate estimation of Arctic snow depth remains a critical time-varying inverse problem due to the scarcity in associated sea ice parameters. Existing process-based and data-driven models are either highly sensitive to sparse data or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Akila Sampath , Vandana Janeja , Jianwu Wang

Inference-time computation techniques, analogous to human System 2 Thinking, have recently become popular for improving model performances. However, most existing approaches suffer from several limitations: they are modality-specific (e.g.,…

Accurate short-range prediction of extreme air temperature events remains a fundamental challenge in operational climate-risk management. We present Multi-Modal Weather State Transition Model with Anomaly-Driven Recurrent Attention Network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Shaheen Mohammed Saleh Ahmed , Hakan Hakan Guneyli

Soil Organic Carbon (SOC) is a foundation of soil health and global climate resilience, yet its prediction remains difficult because of intricate physical, chemical, and biological processes. In this study, we explore a Scientific Machine…

Data-driven hourly weather forecasting models often face the challenge of error accumulation in long-term predictions. The problem is exacerbated by non-physical temporal discontinuities present in widely-used training datasets such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Shuangshuang He , Yuanting Zhang , Hongli Liang , Qingye Meng , Xingyuan Yuan , Shuo Wang

We assess the value of machine learning as an accelerator for the parameterisation schemes of operational weather forecasting systems, specifically the parameterisation of non-orographic gravity wave drag. Emulators of this scheme can be…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-08-11 Matthew Chantry , Sam Hatfield , Peter Duben , Inna Polichtchouk , Tim Palmer

Understanding the earth's climate system and how it might be changing is a preeminent scientific challenge. Global climate models are used to simulate past, present, and future climates, and experiments are executed continuously on an array…

This work presents a systematic framework for improving the predictions of statistical quantities for turbulent systems, with a focus on correcting climate simulations obtained by coarse-scale models. While high resolution simulations or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-06 Alexis-Tzianni Charalampopoulos , Shixuan Zhang , Bryce Harrop , Lai-yung Ruby Leung , Themistoklis Sapsis

We show that AI foundation models that are pretrained on numerical solutions to a diverse corpus of partial differential equations can be adapted and fine-tuned to obtain skillful predictive weather emulators for the Martian atmosphere. We…

Recently, autoencoders (AEs) have gained interest for creating parametric and invertible projections of multidimensional data. Parametric projections make it possible to embed new, unseen samples without recalculating the entire projection,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Frederik L. Dennig , Daniel A. Keim

A statistical emulator can be used as a surrogate of complex physics-based calculations to drastically reduce the computational cost. Its successful implementation hinges on an accurate representation of the nonlinear response surface with…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-01-31 Xinyi Fang , Mengyang Gu , Jianzhong Wu

Machine learning weather models trained on observed atmospheric conditions can outperform conventional physics-based models at short- to medium-range (1-14 day) forecast timescales. Here we take the machine learning weather model ACE2,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-01 Chris Kent , Adam A. Scaife , Nick J. Dunstone , Doug Smith , Steven C. Hardiman , Tom Dunstan , Oliver Watt-Meyer

Enabling robots to explore and act in unfamiliar environments under ambiguous human instructions by interactively identifying task-relevant objects (e.g., identifying cups or beverages for "I'm thirsty") remains challenging for existing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Hengxuan Xu , Fengbo Lan , Zhixin Zhao , Shengjie Wang , Mengqiao Liu , Jieqian Sun , Yu Cheng , Tao Zhang

We evaluate the climate simulation capabilities of ArchesWeather and ArchesWeatherGen, two machine learning models originally trained for weather forecasting and evaluated up to a 10-day lead time. ArchesWeather is a deterministic model,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-29 Renu Singh , Robert Brunstein , Antonia Jost , Thomas Rackow , Claire Monteleoni , Yana Hasson , Christian Lessig , Guillaume Couairon

Soft actuators offer a safe, adaptable approach to tasks like gentle grasping and dexterous manipulation. Creating accurate models to control such systems however is challenging due to the complex physics of deformable materials. Accurate…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Manu Lahariya , Craig Innes , Chris Develder , Subramanian Ramamoorthy

Accurate reconstruction of global Sea surface temperature (SST), which dominates the air-sea coupling and global climate variability, underpins climate monitoring and prediction. Existing SST reconstruction products primarily provide one…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Haijie Li , Ya Wang , Kai Yang , Gang Huang , Xiangao Xia , Ziming Chen , Weichen Tao , Chenglin Lyu , Lin Chen , Miao Zhang , Kaiming Hu , Hainan Gong , Disong Fu , Lin Wang
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