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Neural networks have revolutionized many empirical fields, yet their application to financial time series forecasting remains controversial. In this study, we demonstrate that the conventional practice of estimating models locally in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-21 Chen Liu , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Robert Kohn

Consistent alpha generation, i.e., maintaining an edge over the market, underpins the ability of asset traders to reliably generate profits. Technical indicators and trading strategies are commonly used tools to determine when to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Yapeng Jasper Hu , Ralph van Gurp , Ashay Somai , Hugo Kooijman , Jan S. Rellermeyer

Pricing assets has attracted significant attention from the financial technology community. We observe that the existing solutions overlook the cross-sectional effects and not fully leveraged the heterogeneous data sets, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Qiong Wu , Christopher G. Brinton , Zheng Zhang , Andrea Pizzoferrato , Zhenming Liu , Mihai Cucuringu

The financial market is a mission-critical playground for AI agents due to its temporal dynamics and low signal-to-noise ratio. Building an effective algorithmic trading system may require a professional team to develop and test over the…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Jifeng Li , Arnav Grover , Abraham Alpuerto , Yupeng Cao , Xiao-Yang Liu

Generating asset-specific trading signals based on the financial conditions of the assets is one of the challenging problems in automated trading. Various asset trading rules are proposed experimentally based on different technical analysis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Mehran Taghian , Ahmad Asadi , Reza Safabakhsh

Factor analysis is a statistical technique employed to evaluate how observed variables correlate through common factors and unique variables. While it is often used to analyze price movement in the unstable stock market, it does not always…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-13 Angela Gu , Patrick Zeng

The marvel of markets lies in the fact that dispersed information is instantaneously processed and used to adjust the price of goods, services and assets. Financial markets are particularly efficient when it comes to processing information;…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-19 Stefan Feuerriegel , Helmut Prendinger

Market events such as order placement and order cancellation are examples of the complex and substantial flow of data that surrounds a modern financial engineer. New mathematical techniques, developed to describe the interactions of complex…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-16 Lajos Gergely Gyurkó , Terry Lyons , Mark Kontkowski , Jonathan Field

Quantitative trading strategies rely on accurately ranking stocks to identify profitable investments. Effective portfolio management requires models that can reliably order future stock returns. Transformer models are promising for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Jan Kwiatkowski , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Financial networks help firms manage risk but also enable financial shocks to spread. Despite their importance, existing models of financial networks have several limitations. Prior works often consider a static network with a simple…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Akhil Jalan , Deepayan Chakrabarti , Purnamrita Sarkar

This study proposes a behaviorally-informed multi-factor stock selection framework that integrates short-cycle technical alpha signals with deep learning. We design a dual-task multilayer perceptron (MLP) that jointly predicts five-day…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-21 Yuqi Luan

Prediction of stock price movements presents a formidable challenge in financial analytics due to the inherent volatility, non-stationarity, and nonlinear characteristics of market data. This paper introduces SPH-Net (Stock Price Prediction…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Yiyang Wu , Hanyu Ma , Muxin Ge , Xiaoli Ma , Yadi Liu , Ye Aung Moe , Zeyu Han , Weizheng Xie

We carry out a large-scale empirical data analysis to examine the efficiency of the so-called pairs trading. On the basis of relevant three thresholds, namely, starting, profit-taking, and stop-loss for the `first-passage process' of the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-20 Mitsuaki Murota , Jun-ichi Inoue

Decision analytics commonly focuses on the text mining of financial news sources in order to provide managerial decision support and to predict stock market movements. Existing predictive frameworks almost exclusively apply traditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-05 Stefan Feuerriegel , Ralph Fehrer

Maintaining financial system stability is critical to economic development, and early identification of risks and opportunities is essential. The financial industry contains a wide variety of data, such as financial statements, customer…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Hongyin Zhu

We adopt deep learning models to directly optimise the portfolio Sharpe ratio. The framework we present circumvents the requirements for forecasting expected returns and allows us to directly optimise portfolio weights by updating model…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-26 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

We propose a unified multi-tasking framework to represent the complex and uncertain causal process of financial market dynamics, and then to predict the movement of any type of index with an application on the monthly direction of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-29 Djoumbissie David Romain

Agencies such as Standard & Poor's and Moody's provide bank credit ratings that influence economic stability and decision-making by stakeholders. Accurate and timely predictions support informed decision-making, regulatory actions, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Junyi Liu , Stanley Kok

Trading volume movement prediction is the key in a variety of financial applications. Despite its importance, there is few research on this topic because of its requirement for comprehensive understanding of information from different…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-26 Liang Zhao , Wei Li , Ruihan Bao , Keiko Harimoto , YunfangWu , Xu Sun

We study trade-based manipulation of stock prices from the perspective of complex trading networks constructed by using detailed information of trades. A stock trading network consists of nodes and directed links, where every trader is a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-09 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wen-Jie Xie , Xiong Xiong , Wei Zhang , Yong-Jie Zhang , W. -X. Zhou
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