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Spreading processes have been largely studied in the literature, both analytically and by means of large-scale numerical simulations. These processes mainly include the propagation of diseases, rumors and information on top of a given…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-10 Guilherme Ferraz de Arruda , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Yamir Moreno

We consider the optimization problem of seeding a spreading process on a temporal network so that the expected size of the resulting outbreak is maximized. We frame the problem for a spreading process following the rules of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-20 Sirag Erkol , Dario Mazzilli , Filippo Radicchi

The rapid transmission of the highly contagious novel coronavirus has been represented through several data-guided approaches across targeted geographies, in an attempt to understand when the pandemic will be under control and imposed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 Joydeep Munshi , Indranil Roy , Ganesh Balasubramanian

Deep neural networks have shown promising results for various clinical prediction tasks. However, training deep networks such as those based on Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) requires large labeled data, significant hyper-parameter tuning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Priyanka Gupta , Pankaj Malhotra , Jyoti Narwariya , Lovekesh Vig , Gautam Shroff

The frequent emergence of diseases with the potential to become threats at local and global scales, such as influenza A(H1N1), SARS, MERS, and recently COVID-19 disease, makes it crucial to keep designing models of disease propagation and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-27 I. A. Perez , M. A. Di Muro , C. E. La Rocca , L. A. Braunstein

Models of misfolded proteins (MP) aim at discovering the bio-mechanical propagation properties of neurological diseases (ND) by identifying plausible associated dynamical systems. Solving these systems along the full disease trajectory is…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-01-31 Sara Garbarino , Marco Lorenzi

Recent years saw an increased interest in modeling and understanding the mechanisms of opinion and innovation spread through human networks. Using analysis of real-world social data, researchers are able to gain a better understanding of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-03-29 Ajay Saini , Natasha Markuzon

Purpose: We propose a novel method for continual learning based on the increasing depth of neural networks. This work explores whether extending neural network depth may be beneficial in a life-long learning setting. Methods: We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Jędrzej Kozal , Michał Woźniak

The epidemiology has recently witnessed great advances based on computational models. Its scope and impact are getting wider thanks to the new data sources feeding analytical frameworks and models. Besides traditional variables considered…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-11-13 David Pastor-Escuredo

In this work, we aim to formalize a novel scientific machine learning framework to reconstruct the hidden dynamics of the transmission rate, whose inaccurate extrapolation can significantly impair the quality of the epidemic forecasts, by…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-16 Giovanni Ziarelli , Stefano Pagani , Nicola Parolini , Francesco Regazzoni , Marco Verani

The application of machine learning (ML) techniques span a vast spectrum ranging from speech, face and character recognition, medical diagnosis, anomaly detection in data to the general classification, prediction, and regression problems.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Richa Tripathi , Amit Reza , Dinesh Garg

The recent outbreak of COVID-19 has affected millions of individuals around the world and has posed a significant challenge to global healthcare. From the early days of the pandemic, it became clear that it is highly contagious and that…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-04-13 George Panagopoulos , Giannis Nikolentzos , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Agent-based simulators (ABS) are a popular epidemiological modelling tool to study the impact of various non-pharmaceutical interventions in managing an epidemic in a city (or a region). They provide the flexibility to accurately model a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-13 Daksh Mittal , Sandeep Juneja

The importance of spatial networks in the spread of an epidemic is an essential aspect in modeling the dynamics of an infectious disease. Additionally, any realistic data-driven model must take into account the large uncertainty in the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-17 Giulia Bertaglia , Lorenzo Pareschi

Epidemics are often modelled using non-linear dynamical systems observed through partial and noisy data. In this paper, we consider stochastic extensions in order to capture unknown influences (changing behaviors, public interventions,…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-06 Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Marc Baguelin

In this paper, we develop a method to estimate the infection-rate of a disease, over a region, as a field that varies in space and time. To do so, we use time-series of case-counts of symptomatic patients as observed in the areal units that…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-19 Cosmin Safta , Wyatt Bridgman , Jaideep Ray

Early, reliable detection of disease outbreaks is a critical problem today. This paper reports an investigation of the use of causal Bayesian networks to model spatio-temporal patterns of a non-contagious disease (respiratory anthrax…

Applications · Statistics 2012-07-19 Gregory F. Cooper , Denver Dash , John Levander , Weng-Keen Wong , William Hogan , Michael Wagner

Epidemic models often reflect characteristic features of infectious spreading processes by coupled non-linear differential equations considering different states of health (such as Susceptible, Infected, or Recovered). This compartmental…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-01 Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Dirk Helbing

The ability to predict the future trajectory of a patient is a key step toward the development of therapeutics for complex diseases such as Alzheimer's disease (AD). However, most machine learning approaches developed for prediction of…

Infectious diseases that incorporate pre-symptomatic transmission are challenging to monitor, model, predict and contain. We address this scenario by studying a variant of a stochastic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered model on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad
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