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Conventionally, Earth system (e.g., weather and climate) forecasting relies on numerical simulation with complex physical models and are hence both expensive in computation and demanding on domain expertise. With the explosive growth of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Zhihan Gao , Xingjian Shi , Hao Wang , Yi Zhu , Yuyang Wang , Mu Li , Dit-Yan Yeung

Bases have become an integral part of modern deep learning-based models for time series forecasting due to their ability to act as feature extractors or future references. To be effective, a basis must be tailored to the specific set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-19 Zelin Ni , Hang Yu , Shizhan Liu , Jianguo Li , Weiyao Lin

The quadratic complexity of dot-product attention introduced in Transformer remains a fundamental bottleneck impeding the progress of foundation models toward unbounded context lengths. Addressing this challenge, we introduce the Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Yifan Zhang

Periodicity is a fundamental characteristic of time series data and has long played a central role in forecasting. Recent deep learning methods strengthen the exploitation of periodicity by treating patches as basic tokens, thereby…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Yiming Niu , Jinliang Deng , Yongxin Tong

Various deep learning models, especially some latest Transformer-based approaches, have greatly improved the state-of-art performance for long-term time series forecasting.However, those transformer-based models suffer a severe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-27 Tian Zhou , Jianqing Zhu , Xue Wang , Ziqing Ma , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

Time series forecasts are often influenced by exogenous contextual features in addition to their corresponding history. For example, in financial settings, it is hard to accurately predict a stock price without considering public sentiments…

Recent years have witnessed a trend of applying context frames to boost the performance of object detection as video object detection. Existing methods usually aggregate features at one stroke to enhance the feature. These methods, however,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Han Wang , Jun Tang , Xiaodong Liu , Shanyan Guan , Rong Xie , Li Song

The temporal complexity of electronic health record (EHR) data presents significant challenges for predicting clinical outcomes using machine learning. This paper proposes ChronoFormer, an innovative transformer based architecture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Yuanyun Zhang , Shi Li

While generative modeling on time series facilitates more capable and flexible probabilistic forecasting, existing generative time series models do not address the multi-dimensional properties of time series data well. The prevalent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Haoran Zhang , Haixuan Liu , Yong Liu , Yunzhong Qiu , Yuxuan Wang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Large tensor (multi-dimensional array) data are now routinely collected in a wide range of applications, due to modern data collection capabilities. Often such observations are taken over time, forming tensor time series. In this paper we…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Rong Chen , Dan Yang , Cun-hui Zhang

Ensemble modeling has been widely used to solve complex problems as it helps to improve overall performance and generalization. In this paper, we propose a novel TemporalAugmenter approach based on ensemble modeling for augmenting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Nelly Elsayed , Constantinos L. Zekios , Navid Asadizanjani , Zag ElSayed

We introduce a temporal feature encoding architecture called Time Series Representation Model (TSRM) for multivariate time series forecasting and imputation. The architecture is structured around CNN-based representation layers, each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Robert Leppich , Michael Stenger , Daniel Grillmeyer , Vanessa Borst , Samuel Kounev

Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting involves modeling temporal dependencies within historical records. Transformers have demonstrated remarkable performance in MTS forecasting due to their capability to capture long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Yifan Zhang , Rui Wu , Sergiu M. Dascalu , Frederick C. Harris

Regression analysis is a key area of interest in the field of data analysis and machine learning which is devoted to exploring the dependencies between variables, often using vectors. The emergence of high dimensional data in technologies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-23 Jiani Liu , Ce Zhu , Zhen Long , Yipeng Liu

For supervised speech enhancement, contextual information is important for accurate spectral mapping. However, commonly used deep neural networks (DNNs) are limited in capturing temporal contexts. To leverage long-term contexts for tracking…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-13 Xinmeng Xu , Jianjun Hao

Transformer-based models have emerged as powerful tools for multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). However, existing Transformer models often fall short of capturing both intricate dependencies across variate and temporal dimensions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Juncheng Liu , Chenghao Liu , Gerald Woo , Yiwei Wang , Bryan Hooi , Caiming Xiong , Doyen Sahoo

Transformers for time series forecasting mainly model time series from limited or fixed scales, making it challenging to capture different characteristics spanning various scales. We propose Pathformer, a multi-scale Transformer with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Peng Chen , Yingying Zhang , Yunyao Cheng , Yang Shu , Yihang Wang , Qingsong Wen , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

Hourly consumption from multiple providers displays pronounced intra-day, intra-week, and annual seasonalities, as well as strong cross-sectional correlations. We introduce a novel approach for forecasting high-dimensional U.S. electricity…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-15 Mattia Banin , Matteo Barigozzi , Luca Trapin

This study presents a groundbreaking model for forecasting long-term financial time series, termed the Enhanced LFTSformer. The model distinguishes itself through several significant innovations: (1) VMD-MIC+FE Feature Engineering: The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-19 Jianan Zhang , Hongyi Duan

In machine learning, effective modeling requires a holistic consideration of how to encode inputs, make predictions (i.e., decoding), and train the model. However, in time-series forecasting, prior work has predominantly focused on encoder…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Jaebin Lee , Hankook Lee