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The error estimation capability of machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) based on probabilistic learning methods such as Gaussian process regression (GPR) is currently under-exploited, because of the tendancy of the predicted…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-06-20 Albert P. Bartók , James. R. Kermode

Reliable uncertainty measures are required when using data based machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) for atomistic simulations. In this work, we propose for sparse Gaussian Process Regression type MLIP a stochastic uncertainty…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-12-31 Mads-Peter Verner Christiansen , Nikolaj Rønne , Bjørk Hammer

Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials (MLIPs) achieve near ab initio accuracy at a fraction of the cost of quantum-mechanical simulations, yet they remain prone to silent failures on out-of-distribution configurations, making principled…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Olga Zaghen , Maksim Zhdanov , Dario Coscia , David R. Wessels , Erik J. Bekkers

Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) enable atomistic simulations with near first-principles accuracy at substantially reduced computational cost, making them powerful tools for large-scale materials modeling. The accuracy of…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-08-11 Yonatan Kurniawan , Mingjian Wen , Ellad B. Tadmor , Mark K. Transtrum

Efficiently creating a concise but comprehensive data set for training machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs) is an under-explored problem. Active learning, which uses biased or unbiased molecular dynamics (MD) to generate candidate…

Universal machine learning interatomic potentials (uMLIPs) represent arguably the most successful application of machine learning to materials science, demonstrating remarkable performance across diverse applications. However, critical…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-08-26 Antoine Loew , Jonathan Schmidt , Silvana Botti , Miguel A. L. Marques

Machine-learning (ML) interatomic potentials (IPs) trained on first-principles datasets are becoming increasingly popular since they promise to treat larger system sizes and longer time scales, compared to the {\em ab initio} techniques…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-09-04 Shuaihua Lu , Luca M. Ghiringhelli , Christian Carbogno , Jinlan Wang , Matthias Scheffler

Reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for developing machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs) in predictive atomistic simulations. Conformal prediction (CP) is a statistical framework that constructs prediction…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-10-02 Cheuk Hin Ho , Christoph Ortner , Yangshuai Wang

Although Gaussian processes (GPs) with deep kernels have been successfully used for meta-learning in regression tasks, its uncertainty estimation performance can be poor. We propose a meta-learning method for calibrating deep kernel GPs for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-14 Tomoharu Iwata , Atsutoshi Kumagai

Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) are promising surrogates for quantum mechanics evaluations in ab-initio molecular dynamics simulations due to their ability to reproduce the energy and force landscape within chemical accuracy…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-08-31 Emil Annevelink , Venkatasubramanian Viswanathan

Computational models providing accurate estimates of their uncertainty are crucial for risk management associated with decision making in healthcare contexts. This is especially true since many state-of-the-art systems are trained using the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Hongshu Liu , Nabeel Seedat , Julia Ive

We assess the accuracy of six universal machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs) for predicting the temperature and pressure response of materials by molecular dynamics simulations. Accuracy is evaluated across 13 diverse materials…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-12-01 Konstantin Stracke , Connor W. Edwards , Jack D. Evans

Machine learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs) have emerged as powerful tools for molecular dynamics (MD) simulations with their competitive accuracy and computational efficiency. However, MLIPs are often observed to exhibit un-physical…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-02-24 Qianyu Zheng , Victor Fung

The rapid development of pretrained Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials (MLIPs) that cover a wide range of molecular species has made it challenging to select the best model for a given application. We benchmark 15 pretrained MLIPs,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Peter Eastman , Evan Pretti , Thomas E. Markland

Machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs) and force fields (i.e. interaction laws for atoms and molecules) are typically trained on limited data-sets that cover only a very small section of the full space of possible input structures.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Christoph Ortner , Yangshuai Wang

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a popular regression method, which unlike most Machine Learning techniques, provides estimates of uncertainty for its predictions. These uncertainty estimates however, are based on the assumption that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Harris Papadopoulos

Universal machine learned interatomic potentials (uMLIPs) embody a growing area of interest due to their transferability across the periodic table, displaying an error of about 0.6 kcal/mol against the Matbench Discovery test set. However,…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-03-12 Nicolas Wong , Julia H. Yang

Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials (MLIPs) are becoming a central tool in simulation-based chemistry. However, like most deep learning models, MLIPs struggle to make accurate predictions on out-of-distribution data or when trained in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Dario Coscia , Pim de Haan , Max Welling

Rigorous statistical methods, including parameter estimation with accompanying uncertainties, underpin the validity of scientific discovery, especially in the natural sciences. With increasingly complex data models such as deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Aurora Grefsrud , Nello Blaser , Trygve Buanes

Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) have been widely used to facilitate large-scale molecular simulations with accuracy comparable to ab initio methods. In practice, MLIP-based molecular simulations often encounter the issue of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-04-17 Han Xu , Taoyong Cui , Chenyu Tang , Jinzhe Ma , Dongzhan Zhou , Yuqiang Li , Xiang Gao , Xingao Gong , Wanli Ouyang , Shufei Zhang , Mao Su
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