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Understanding political phenomena requires measuring the political preferences of society. We introduce a model based on mixtures of spatial voting models that infers the underlying distribution of political preferences of voters with only…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-10-27 Alison Nahm , Alex Pentland , Peter Krafft

The present work analyses a particular scenario of consensus formation, where the individuals navigate across an underlying network defining the topology of the walks. The consensus, associated to a given opinion coded as a simple messages,…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2018-01-17 Andrés Chacoma , Germán Mato , Marcelo N. Kuperman

We study a model of consensus decision making, in which a finite group of Bayesian agents has to choose between one of two courses of action. Each member of the group has a private and independent signal at his or her disposal, giving some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Elchanan Mossel , Omer Tamuz

In recent years online social networks have become increasingly prominent in political campaigns and, concurrently, several countries have experienced shock election outcomes. This paper proposes a model that links these two phenomena. In…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-11-03 Edoardo Gallo , Alastair Langtry

Attitudes can have a profound impact on socially relevant behaviours, such as voting. However, this effect is not uniform across situations or individuals, and it is at present difficult to predict whether attitudes will predict behaviour…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-09-07 Jonas Dalege , Denny Borsboom , Frenk van Harreveld , Lourens J. Waldorp , Han L. J. van der Maas

People often stick to their existing beliefs, ignoring contradicting evidence or only interacting with those who reinforce their views. Social media platforms often facilitate such tendencies of homophily and echo-chambers as they promote…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Adiba Mahbub Proma , Neeley Pate , Raiyan Abdul Baten , Sifeng Chen , James Druckman , Gourab Ghoshal , Ehsan Hoque

Crowdsourcing can identify high-quality solutions to problems; however, individual decisions are constrained by cognitive biases. We investigate some of these biases in an experimental model of a question-answering system. In both natural…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-10-02 Keith Burghardt , Tad Hogg , Kristina Lerman

Echo chambers, i.e., situations where one is exposed only to opinions that agree with their own, are an increasing concern for the political discourse in many democratic countries. This paper studies the phenomenon of political echo…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-02-20 Kiran Garimella , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales , Aristides Gionis , Michael Mathioudakis

In many cases, recommendations are consumed by groups of users rather than individuals. In this paper, we present a system which recommends social events to groups. The system helps groups to organize a joint activity and collectively…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2014-03-26 Stratis Ioannidis , S. Muthukrishnan , Jinyun Yan

We consider synchronous iterative voting, where voters are given the opportunity to strategically choose their ballots depending on the outcome deduced from the previous collective choices.We propose two settings for synchronous iterative…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Benoît Kloeckner

We propose a computational framework for modeling opinion dynamics in electoral competitions that combines two realistic features: voter memory and exogenous shocks. The population is represented by a fully-connected network of agents, each…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-05 Jaime L. C. da C. Filho , Nuno Crokidakis

We consider a discrete opinion formation problem in a setting where agents are influenced by both information diffused by their social relations and from recommendations received directly from the social media manager. We study how the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-04-28 Vincenzo Auletta , Antonio Coppola , Diodato Ferraioli

We introduce the threshold $q$-voter opinion dynamics where an agent, facing a binary choice, can change its mind when at least $q_0$ amongst $q$ neighbors share the opposite opinion. Otherwise, the agent can still change its mind with a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-07-11 Allan R. Vieira , Celia Anteneodo

Decades of research suggest that information exchange in groups and organizations can reliably improve judgment accuracy in tasks such as financial forecasting, market research, and medical decision-making. However, we show that improving…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-26 Joshua Becker , Douglas Guilbeault , Ned Smith

The study of opinions $-$ e.g., their formation and change, and their effects on our society $-$ by means of theoretical and numerical models has been one of the main goals of sociophysics until now, but it is one of the defining topics…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-03 Francesca Giardini , Daniele Vilone , Rosaria Conte

The focus of this work is on designing influencing strategies to shape the collective opinion of a network of individuals. We consider a variant of the voter model where opinions evolve in one of two ways. In the absence of external…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-02-04 Anmol Gupta , Sharayu Moharir , Neeraja Sahasrabudhe

We survey the design of elections that are resilient to attempted interference by third parties. For example, suppose votes have been cast in an election between two candidates, and then each vote is randomly changed with a small…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-13 Steven Heilman

Are there voting methods which (i) give everyone, including minorities, an equal share of effective power even if voters act strategically, (ii) promote consensus rather than polarization and inequality, and (iii) do not favour the status…

General Economics · Economics 2020-06-12 Jobst Heitzig , Forest W. Simmons

Many democratic countries use district-based elections where there is a "seat" for each district in the governing body. In each district, the party whose candidate gets the maximum number of votes wins the corresponding seat. The result of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-23 Adway Mitra

The formation of agents' opinions in a social system is the result of an intricate equilibrium among several driving forces. On the one hand, the social pressure exerted by peers favours the emergence of local consensus. On the other hand,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-18 Federico Battiston , Andrea Cairoli , Vincenzo Nicosia , Adrian Baule , Vito Latora