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This chapter surveys univariate and multivariate methods for infectious disease outbreak detection. The setting considered is a prospective one: data arrives sequentially as part of the surveillance systems maintained by public health…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-27 Benjamin Allévius , Michael Höhle

Mathematical modeling is one of the key factors of the effective control of newly found infectious diseases, such as COVID-19. Our knowledge about the parameters and the course of the infection is highly limited in the beginning of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-13 Péter Boldog , Norbert Bogya , Zsolt Vizi

Data mining and machine learning hold great potential to enable health systems to systematically use data and analytics to identify inefficiencies and best practices that improve care and reduce costs. Waveform data offers particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-17 Michael Albada

Agriculture plays an important role in the food and economy of Bangladesh. The rapid growth of population over the years also has increased the demand for food production. One of the major reasons behind low crop production is numerous…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Hasin Rehana , Muhammad Ibrahim , Md. Haider Ali

To better predict the dynamics of epidemics such as COVID-19, it is important not only to investigate the network of local and long-range contagious contacts but also to understand the temporal dynamics of infectiousness and detectable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Miguel A. Cajahuanca Ricaldi , Yaroslav Ispolatov

Infectious disease modeling and forecasting have played a key role in helping assess and respond to epidemics and pandemics. Recent work has leveraged data on disease peak infection and peak hospital incidence to fit compartmental models…

Mathematical modeling of disease outbreaks can infer the future trajectory of an epidemic, which can inform policy decisions. Another task is inferring the origin of a disease, which is relatively difficult with current mathematical models.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-08-31 Mehrad Ansari , David Soriano-Paños , Gourab Ghoshal , Andrew D. White

Early detection of patients vulnerable to infections acquired in the hospital environment is a challenge in current health systems given the impact that such infections have on patient mortality and healthcare costs. This work is focused on…

The COVID-19 pandemic has led to significant changes in how people are currently living their lives. To determine how to best reduce the effects of the pandemic and start reopening societies, governments have drawn insights from…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-08 Heather Z. Brooks , Unchitta Kanjanasaratool , Yacoub H. Kureh , Mason A. Porter

Infectious disease remains, despite centuries of work to control and mitigate its effects, a major problem facing humanity. This paper reviews the mathematical modelling of infectious disease epidemics on networks, starting from the…

Popular Physics · Physics 2015-06-03 Thomas House

We study the problem of estimating the origin of an epidemic outbreak -- given a contact network and a snapshot of epidemic spread at a certain time, determine the infection source. Finding the source is important in different contexts of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-20 Andrey Y. Lokhov , Marc Mézard , Hiroki Ohta , Lenka Zdeborová

Supervised machine learning models and public surveillance data has been employed for infectious disease forecasting in many settings. These models leverage various data sources capturing drivers of disease spread, such as climate…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-20 Luiza Lober , Kirstin O. Roster , Francisco A. Rodrigues

Deep learning (DL) along with never-ending advancements in computational processing and cloud technologies have bestowed us powerful analyzing tools and techniques in the past decade and enabled us to use and apply them in various fields of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Farzan Shenavarmasouleh , Farid Ghareh Mohammadi , Khaled M. Rasheed , Hamid R. Arabnia

Objectives: Our research adopts computational techniques to analyze disease outbreaks weekly over a large geographic area while maintaining local-level analysis by incorporating relevant high-spatial resolution cultural and environmental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Scott Pezanowski , Etien Luc Koua , Joseph C Okeibunor , Abdou Salam Gueye

During an infectious disease outbreak, biases in the data and complexities of the underlying dynamics pose significant challenges in mathematically modelling the outbreak and designing policy. Motivated by the ongoing response to COVID-19,…

Disease forecasting models typically rely on a single data stream, making models brittle when histories are short or noisy. Recent top-performing models have shown that synthesizing multiple reporting systems for the same disease improves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Lauren J Beesley , Alexander C Murph , Dave Osthus , Lauren A Castro

Infectious diseases are a significant public health concern globally, and extracting relevant information from scientific literature can facilitate the development of effective prevention and treatment strategies. However, the large amount…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Shaina Raza , Syed Raza Bashir

Early detection of preventable diseases is important for better disease management, improved inter-ventions, and more efficient health-care resource allocation. Various machine learning approacheshave been developed to utilize information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-16 Jingshu Liu , Zachariah Zhang , Narges Razavian

Early outbreak data analysis is critical for informing about their potential impact and interventions. However, data obtained early in outbreaks are often sensitive and subject to strict privacy restrictions. Thus, federated analysis, which…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-27 Simon Busch-Moreno , Moritz U. G. Kraemer

Influenza-like illness (ILI) places a heavy social and economic burden on our society. Traditionally, ILI surveillance data is updated weekly and provided at a spatially coarse resolution. Producing timely and reliable high-resolution…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-02-13 Lijing Wang , Jiangzhuo Chen , Madhav Marathe
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