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Various probabilistic time series forecasting models have sprung up and shown remarkably good performance. However, the choice of model highly relies on the characteristics of the input time series and the fixed distribution that the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-01 Yunyi Zhou , Zhixuan Chu , Yijia Ruan , Ge Jin , Yuchen Huang , Sheng Li

The problem of simultaneous estimation of order restricted location parameters $\theta_1$ and $\theta_2$ ($-\infty<\theta_1\leq \theta_2<\infty$) of a bivariate location symmetric distribution, under a general loss function, is being…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-26 Naresh Garg , Neeraj Misra

Non-Gaussian and multimodal distributions are an important part of many recent robust sensor fusion algorithms. In difference to robust cost functions, they are probabilistically founded and have good convergence properties. Since their…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Tim Pfeifer , Peter Protzel

Learning to predict properties of large graphs is challenging because each prediction requires the knowledge of an entire graph, while the amount of memory available during training is bounded. Here we propose Graph Segment Training (GST),…

A new unimodal distribution family indexed by the mode and three other parameters is derived from a mixture of a Gumbel distribution for the maximum and a Gumbel distribution for the minimum. Properties of the proposed distribution are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Haiming Zhou

We introduce a general, flexible, parametric survival modelling framework which encompasses key shapes of hazard function (constant, increasing, decreasing, up-then-down, down-then-up), various common survival distributions (log-logistic,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-11 Kevin Burke , M. C. Jones , Angela Noufaily

In this paper, we introduce the \textbf{G}eneralized \textbf{L}inear \textbf{S}pectral \textbf{S}tatistics (GLSS) of a high-dimensional sample covariance matrix $\bm{S}_n$, denoted as $\operatorname{tr}f(\bm{S}_n)\bm{B}_n$, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Yanlin Hu , Qing Yang , Xiao Han

A central problem in computational statistics is to convert a procedure for sampling combinatorial from an objects into a procedure for counting those objects, and vice versa. Weconsider sampling problems coming from *Gibbs distributions*,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 David G. Harris , Vladimir Kolmogorov

We propose novel two-channel filter banks for signals on graphs. Our designs can be applied to arbitrary graphs, given a positive semi definite variation operator, while using arbitrary vertex partitions for downsampling. The proposed…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-26 Eduardo Pavez , Benjamin Girault , Antonio Ortega , Philip A. Chou

Stable distributions are a celebrated class of probability laws used in various fields. The $\alpha$-stable process, and its exponentially tempered counterpart, the Classical Tempered Stable (CTS) process, are also prominent examples of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Taher Jalal

We go through the many considerations involved in fitting a model to data, using as an example the fit of a straight line to a set of points in a two-dimensional plane. Standard weighted least-squares fitting is only appropriate when there…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2010-08-30 David W. Hogg , Jo Bovy , Dustin Lang

A generalized Gaussian process model (GGPM) is a unifying framework that encompasses many existing Gaussian process (GP) models, such as GP regression, classification, and counting. In the GGPM framework, the observation likelihood of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-28 Lifeng Shang , Antoni B. Chan

This paper tackles the problem of missing data imputation for noisy and non-Gaussian data. A classical imputation method, the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm for Gaussian mixture models, has shown interesting properties when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-23 Florian Mouret , Alexandre Hippert-Ferrer , Frédéric Pascal , Jean-Yves Tourneret

We present two new combinatorial tools for the design of parameterized algorithms. The first is a simple linear time randomized algorithm that given as input a $d$-degenerate graph $G$ and an integer $k$, outputs an independent set $Y$,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-05-04 Daniel Lokshtanov , Fahad Panolan , Saket Saurabh , Roohani Sharma , Meirav Zehavi

Nonuniformly sampled signals are prevalent in real-world applications. However, estimating their power spectra from finite samples poses a significant challenge. The optimal solution-Bronez Generalized Prolate Spheroidal Sequence (GPSS) by…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-24 Jie Cui , Benjamin H. Brinkmann , Gregory A. Worrell

Forecasting cryptocurrency prices is hindered by extreme volatility and a methodological dilemma between information-scarce univariate models and noise-prone full-multivariate models. This paper investigates a partial-multivariate approach…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-05 Andrzej Tokajuk , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Graphical Transformation Models (GTMs) are introduced as a novel approach to effectively model multivariate data with intricate marginals and complex dependency structures semiparametrically, while maintaining interpretability through the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Matthias Herp , Johannes Brachem , Michael Altenbuchinger , Thomas Kneib

This paper considers a distributed adaptive optimization problem, where all agents only have access to their local cost functions with a common unknown parameter, whereas they mean to collaboratively estimate the true parameter and find the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Yaqun Yang , Jinlong Lei , Guanghui Wen , Yiguang Hong

Recent Tabular Foundation Models (TFMs) have demonstrated state-of-the-art predictive performance, often surpassing Gradient-Boosted Decision Trees (GBDTs). However, the trustworthiness of these models, particularly their uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 José Lucas De Melo Costa , Fabrice Popineau , Arpad Rimmel , Bich-Liên Doan

The sub-Gaussian stable distribution is a heavy-tailed elliptically contoured law which has interesting applications in signal processing and financial mathematics. This work addresses the problem of feasible estimation of distributions. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Taras Bodnar , Dmitry Otryakhin , Erik Thorsen