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The recent trend towards Personalized Federated Learning (PFL) has garnered significant attention as it allows for the training of models that are tailored to each client while maintaining data privacy. However, current PFL techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Yue Wu , Shuaicheng Zhang , Wenchao Yu , Yanchi Liu , Quanquan Gu , Dawei Zhou , Haifeng Chen , Wei Cheng

Graph Neural Networks deliver strong classification results but often suffer from poor calibration performance, leading to overconfidence or underconfidence. This is particularly problematic in high stakes applications where accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Dingyi Zhuang , Chonghe Jiang , Yunhan Zheng , Shenhao Wang , Jinhua Zhao

This article studies the behavior of regularized Tyler estimators (RTEs) of scatter matrices. The key advantages of these estimators are twofold. First, they guarantee by construction a good conditioning of the estimate and second, being a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-04-20 Abla Kammoun , Romain Couillet , Frederic Pascal , Mohamed-Slim Alouini

Since the turn of the century, there has been increased interest in the application of heavy-tailed distributions, particularly stable distributions, to problems in physics and finance. Although, the tails of stable distributions provide a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Lev B. Klebanov , Lenka Slámová

In this paper, we generalize the recently studied Stochastic Matching problem to more accurately model a significant medical process, kidney exchange, and several other applications. Up until now the Stochastic Matching problem that has…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Alireza Farhadi , Jacob Gilbert , MohammadTaghi Hajiaghayi

In this paper, we present an algorithm for the fitting of a location-scale variant of the canonical fundamental skew t (CFUST) distribution, a superclass of the restricted and unrestricted skew t-distributions. In recent years, a few…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-03 Sharon X. Lee , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

This paper illustrates a procedure for fitting financial data with $\alpha$-stable distributions. After using all the available methods to evaluate the distribution parameters, one can qualitatively select the best estimate and run some…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Enrico Scalas , Kyungsik Kim

This study evaluates deep neural networks for forecasting probability distributions of financial returns. 1D convolutional neural networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) architectures are used to forecast parameters of three…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Jakub Michańków

Let $f(y|\theta), \; \theta \in \Omega$ be a parametric family, $\eta(\theta)$ a given function, and $G$ an unknown mixing distribution. It is desired to estimate $E_G (\eta(\theta))\equiv \eta_G$ based on independent observations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-29 Eitan Greenshtein , Ya'acov Ritov

The multivariate generalized Gaussian distribution (MGGD), also known as the multivariate exponential power (MEP) distribution, is widely used in signal and image processing. However, estimating MGGD parameters, which is required in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-13 Nora Ouzir , Frédéric Pascal , Jean-Christophe Pesquet

This paper proposes a semiparametric stochastic volatility (SV) model that relaxes the restrictive Gaussian assumption in both the return and volatility error terms, allowing them to follow flexible, nonparametric distributions with…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-03 Yudong Feng , Ashis Gangopadhyay

In this paper, we introduce a new four-parameter generalized version of the Gompertz model which is called Beta-Gompertz (BG) distribution. It includes some well-known lifetime distributions such as beta-exponential and generalized Gompertz…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-04 Ali Akbar Jafari , Saeid Tahmasebi , Morad Alizadeh

In this paper the Gaussian quasi maximum likelihood estimator (GQMLE) is generalized by applying a transform to the probability distribution of the data. The proposed estimator, called measure-transformed GQMLE (MT-GQMLE), minimizes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-19 Koby Todros , Alfred O. Hero

In the study of heavy tail data, several models have been introduced. If the interest is in the tail of the distribution, block maxima or excess over thresholds are the typical approaches, wasting relevant information in the bulk of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

Stable distribution is one of the attractive models that well describes fat-tail behaviors and scaling phenomena in various scientific fields. The approach based upon the method of moments yields a simple procedure for estimating stable law…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-24 Shinji Kakinaka , Ken Umeno

Overcoming the challenge of limited data availability within materials science is crucial for the broad-based applicability of machine learning within materials science. One pathway to overcome this limited data availability is to use the…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-12-24 Reshma Devi , Keith T. Butler , Gopalakrishnan Sai Gautam

Following Boukai (2021) we present the Generalized Gamma (GG) distribution as a possible RND for modeling European options prices under Heston's (1993) stochastic volatility (SV) model. This distribution is seen as especially useful in…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-24 Ben Boukai

We develop a GMM approach for estimation of log-normal stochastic volatility models driven by a fractional Brownian motion with unrestricted Hurst exponent. We show that a parameter estimator based on the integrated variance is consistent…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-16 Anine E. Bolko , Kim Christensen , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Bezirgen Veliyev

The hardcore model on a graph $G$ with parameter $\lambda>0$ is a probability measure on the collection of all independent sets of $G$, that assigns to each independent set $I$ a probability proportional to $\lambda^{|I|}$. In this paper we…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-25 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Kavita Ramanan

Fitting a theoretical model to experimental data in a Bayesian manner using Markov chain Monte Carlo typically requires one to evaluate the model thousands (or millions) of times. When the model is a slow-to-compute physics simulation,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-25 Steven Stetzler , Michael Grosskopf , Earl Lawrence