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This work aims to analyse the predictability of price movements of cryptocurrencies on both hourly and daily data observed from January 2017 to January 2021, using deep learning algorithms. For our experiments, we used three sets of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-18 Marco Ortu , Nicola Uras , Claudio Conversano , Giuseppe Destefanis , Silvia Bartolucci

Though machine learning has been applied to the foreign exchange market for algorithmic trading for quiet some time now, and neural networks(NN) have been shown to yield positive results, in most modern approaches the NN systems are…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2012-01-31 Gene I. Sher

This paper explores the novel deep learning Transformers architectures for high-frequency Bitcoin-USDT log-return forecasting and compares them to the traditional Long Short-Term Memory models. A hybrid Transformer model, called…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-28 Fazl Barez , Paul Bilokon , Arthur Gervais , Nikita Lisitsyn

International trade policies have recently garnered attention for limiting cross-border exchange of essential goods (e.g. steel, aluminum, soybeans, and beef). Since trade critically affects employment and wages, predicting future patterns…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-09 Feras Batarseh , Munisamy Gopinath , Ganesh Nalluru , Jayson Beckman

Against the backdrop of increasingly severe global environmental changes, accurately predicting and meeting renewable energy demands has become a key challenge for sustainable business development. Traditional energy demand forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Te Li , Mengze Zhang , Yan Zhou

Large language models (LLMs) play a vital role in almost every domain in today's organizations. In the context of this work, we highlight the use of LLMs for sentiment analysis (SA) and explainability. Specifically, we contribute a novel…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Lior Limonad , Fabiana Fournier , Juan Manuel Vera Díaz , Inna Skarbovsky , Shlomit Gur , Raquel Lazcano

With the volatile and complex nature of financial data influenced by external factors, forecasting the stock market is challenging. Traditional models such as ARIMA and GARCH perform well with linear data but struggle with non-linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-30 Prashant Pilla , Raji Mekonen

Machine learning algorithms can now outperform classic economic models in predicting quantities ranging from bargaining outcomes, to choice under uncertainty, to an individual's future jobs and wages. Yet this predictive accuracy comes at a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-27 Annie Liang

Accurate stock market predictions following earnings reports are crucial for investors. Traditional methods, particularly classical machine learning models, struggle with these predictions because they cannot effectively process and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-13 Haowei Ni , Shuchen Meng , Xupeng Chen , Ziqing Zhao , Andi Chen , Panfeng Li , Shiyao Zhang , Qifu Yin , Yuanqing Wang , Yuxi Chan

Deep learning is an effective approach to solving image recognition problems. People draw intuitive conclusions from trading charts; this study uses the characteristics of deep learning to train computers in imitating this kind of intuition…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-01-10 Yun-Cheng Tsai , Jun-Hao Chen , Jun-Jie Wang

Multiple Kernel Learning (MKL) is used to replicate the signal combination process that trading rules embody when they aggregate multiple sources of financial information when predicting an asset's price movements. A set of financially…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-30 Tristan Fletcher , Zakria Hussain , John Shawe-Taylor

We present a deep transformation model for probabilistic regression. Deep learning is known for outstandingly accurate predictions on complex data but in regression tasks, it is predominantly used to just predict a single number. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-02 Beate Sick , Torsten Hothorn , Oliver Dürr

The article is concerned with the problem of multi-step financial time series forecasting of Foreign Exchange (FX) rates. To address this problem, we introduce a regression network termed RegPred Net. The exchange rate to forecast is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-12 Linwei Li , Paul-Amaury Matt , Christian Heumann

The foreign exchange market has taken an important role in the global financial market. While foreign exchange trading brings high-yield opportunities to investors, it also brings certain risks. Since the establishment of the foreign…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-09 Mimansa Rana , Nanxiang Mao , Ming Ao , Xiaohui Wu , Poning Liang , Matloob Khushi

Deep Learning and transfer learning models are being used to generate time series forecasts; however, there is scarce evidence about their performance prediction that it is more evident for monthly time series. The purpose of this paper is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Martín Solís , Luis-Alexander Calvo-Valverde

Prediction of stock prices has been an important area of research for a long time. While supporters of the efficient market hypothesis believe that it is impossible to predict stock prices accurately, there are formal propositions…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-31 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen , Abhishek Dutta

The application of deep learning models for stock price forecasting in emerging markets remains underexplored despite their potential to capture complex temporal dependencies. This study develops and evaluates a Long Short-Term Memory…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-19 Ahad Yaqoob , Syed M. Abdullah

Energy is a critical driver of modern economic systems. Accurate energy price forecasting plays an important role in supporting decision-making at various levels, from operational purchasing decisions at individual business organizations to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Alexandru-Victor Andrei , Georg Velev , Filip-Mihai Toma , Daniel Traian Pele , Stefan Lessmann

The stock market's ascent typically mirrors the flourishing state of the economy, whereas its decline is often an indicator of an economic downturn. Therefore, for a long time, significant correlation elements for predicting trends in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Wenjun Gu , Yihao Zhong , Shizun Li , Changsong Wei , Liting Dong , Zhuoyue Wang , Chao Yan

Statistical analysis of network data has attracted considerable attention in recent years, due to the rapid advancement of well-trained network models and the accessibility of large public network datasets. In this article, we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Yong He , Kangxiang Qin , Haoran Tang