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This paper introduces a multi-timescale stochastic programming framework designed to address decision-making challenges in power systems, particularly those with high renewable energy penetration. The framework models interactions across…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Yihang Zhang , Suvrajeet Sen

We present a general framework for classifying partially observed dynamical systems based on the idea of learning in the model space. In contrast to the existing approaches using model point estimates to represent individual data items, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-19 Yuan Shen , Peter Tino , Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova

Data generated from dynamical systems with unknown dynamics enable the learning of state observers that are: robust to modeling error, computationally tractable to design, and capable of operating with guaranteed performance. In this paper,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-28 Ankush Chakrabarty , Mouhacine Benosman

Understanding how transient dynamics unfold in response to localized inputs is central to predicting and controlling signal propagation in network systems, including neural processing, epidemic intervention, and power-grid resilience.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-23 Xiaoge Bao , Wei P. Dai , Jan Nagler , Wei Lin

We develop sampling algorithms to fit Bayesian hierarchical models, the computational complexity of which scales linearly with the number of observations and the number of parameters in the model. We focus on crossed random effect and…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-03 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Giacomo Zanella

Degradation data are essential for determining the reliability of high-end products and systems, especially when covering multiple degradation characteristics (DCs). Modern degradation studies not only measure these characteristics but also…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-09 Zhengzhi Lin , Xiao Liu , Yisha Xiang , Yili Hong

While perception tasks such as visual object recognition and text understanding play an important role in human intelligence, the subsequent tasks that involve inference, reasoning and planning require an even higher level of intelligence.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-06 Hao Wang , Dit-Yan Yeung

Machine Learning is becoming more prevalent in science and engineering, but many approaches do not provide meaningful uncertainty estimates and predictions may also violate known physical knowledge. We propose a Bayesian framework to embed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Matthew Marsh , Benoît Chachuat , Antonio del Rio Chanona

Understanding how the collective activity of neural populations relates to computation and ultimately behavior is a key goal in neuroscience. To this end, statistical methods which describe high-dimensional neural time series in terms of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Amber Hu , David Zoltowski , Aditya Nair , David Anderson , Lea Duncker , Scott Linderman

We introduce a new framework for studying meta-learning methods using PAC-Bayesian theory. Its main advantage over previous work is that it allows for more flexibility in how the transfer of knowledge between tasks is realized. For previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Hossein Zakerinia , Amin Behjati , Christoph H. Lampert

We focus on improving the accuracy of an approximate model of a multiscale dynamical system that uses a set of parameter-dependent terms to account for the effects of unresolved or neglected dynamics on resolved scales. We start by…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-06-26 Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Chiyu Jiang , Daniel Livescu

Despite enormous progress in object detection and classification, the problem of incorporating expected contextual relationships among object instances into modern recognition systems remains a key challenge. In this work we propose…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Ehsan Jahangiri , Erdem Yoruk , Rene Vidal , Laurent Younes , Donald Geman

Computer simulations have become an important tool across the biomedical sciences and beyond. For many important problems several different models or hypotheses exist and choosing which one best describes reality or observed data is not…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-01-20 Tina Toni , Michael P. H. Stumpf

The process of transforming observed data into predictive mathematical models of the physical world has always been paramount in science and engineering. Although data is currently being collected at an ever-increasing pace, devising…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-08 Maziar Raissi , Paris Perdikaris , George Em Karniadakis

This paper introduces a convex optimization framework for identifying switched network systems, in which both the node dynamics and the underlying graph topology switch between a finite number of configurations. Building on our recent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Kaito Iwasaki , Anthony Bloch , Maani Ghaffari

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

The vast majority of the literature on learning dynamical systems or stochastic processes from time series has focused on stable or ergodic systems, for both Bayesian and frequentist inference procedures. However, most real-world systems…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-02 Zachary P Adams , Sayan Mukherjee

Given (small amounts of) time-series' data from a high-dimensional, fine-grained, multiscale dynamical system, we propose a generative framework for learning an effective, lower-dimensional, coarse-grained dynamical model that is predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Sebastian Kaltenbach , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

In this work, a data-driven modeling framework of switched dynamical systems under time-dependent switching is proposed. The learning technique utilized to model system dynamics is Extreme Learning Machine (ELM). First, a method is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-27 Weiming Xiang

Bayesian experimental design (BED) provides a principled framework for optimizing data collection by choosing experiments that are maximally informative about unknown parameters. However, existing methods cannot deal with the joint…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Sahel Iqbal , Simo Särkkä , Dominik Baumann