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The goal of regression analysis is to predict the value of a numeric outcome variable y given a vector of joint values of other (predictor) variables x. Usually a particular x-vector does not specify a repeatable value for y, but rather a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-29 Jerome H. Friedman

Several new methods have been proposed for performing valid inference after model selection. An older method is sampling splitting: use part of the data for model selection and part for inference. In this paper we revisit sample splitting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman , Max G'Sell , Jing Lei

A new way to design parameter estimators with enhanced performance is proposed in the paper. The procedure consists of two stages, first, the generation of new regression forms via the application of a dynamic operator to the original…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Aranovskiy Stanislav , Bobtsov Alexey , Ortega Romeo , Pyrkin Anton

We study regression adjustment with general function class approximations for estimating the average treatment effect in the design-based setting. Standard regression adjustment involves bias due to sample re-use, and this bias leads to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-17 Fangzhou Su , Wenlong Mou , Peng Ding , Martin J. Wainwright

We study transfer learning for a linear regression task using several least-squares pretrained models that can be overparameterized. We formulate the target learning task as optimization that minimizes squared errors on the target dataset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Daniel Boharon , Yehuda Dar

Learning processes by exploiting restricted domain knowledge is an important task across a plethora of scientific areas, with more and more hybrid training methods additively combining data-driven and model-based approaches. Although the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-17 Yann Claes , Vân Anh Huynh-Thu , Pierre Geurts

This work presents a new sufficient condition for synthesizing nonlinear controllers that yield bounded closed-loop tracking error transients despite the presence of unmatched uncertainties that are concurrently being learned online. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-23 Samuel G. Gessow , Brett T. Lopez

We present an iterative framework to improve the amortized approximations of posterior distributions in the context of Bayesian inverse problems, which is inspired by loop-unrolled gradient descent methods and is theoretically grounded in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Rafael Orozco , Ali Siahkoohi , Mathias Louboutin , Felix J. Herrmann

The real-life data have a complex and non-linear structure due to their nature. These non-linearities and the large number of features can usually cause problems such as the empty-space phenomenon and the well-known curse of dimensionality.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Kadir Özçoban , Murat Manguoğlu , Emrullah Fatih Yetkin

Conformalized quantile regression is a procedure that inherits the advantages of conformal prediction and quantile regression. That is, we use quantile regression to estimate the true conditional quantile and then apply a conformal step on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-02 Martim Sousa , Ana Maria Tomé , José Moreira

Semisupervised methods inevitably invoke some assumption that links the marginal distribution of the features to the regression function of the label. Most commonly, the cluster or manifold assumptions are used which imply that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-02 Martin Azizyan , Aarti Singh , Larry Wasserman

Hyperparameter optimization is very frequently employed in machine learning. However, an optimization of a large space of parameters could result in overfitting of models. In recent studies on solubility prediction the authors collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Igor V. Tetko , Ruud van Deursen , Guillaume Godin

Ridge regression is an indispensable tool in big data analysis. Yet its inherent bias poses a significant and longstanding challenge, compromising both statistical efficiency and scalability across various applications. To tackle this…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-25 Zhaoxing Gao , Ruey S. Tsay

We present an information-theoretic framework for understanding overfitting and underfitting in machine learning and prove the formal undecidability of determining whether an arbitrary classification algorithm will overfit a dataset.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Daniel Bashir , George D. Montanez , Sonia Sehra , Pedro Sandoval Segura , Julius Lauw

In-sample overfitting is a drawback of any backtest-based investment strategy. It is thus of paramount importance to have an understanding of why and how the in-sample overfitting occurs. In this article we propose a simple framework that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-06 Adam Rej , Philip Seager , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

The success of large-scale models in recent years has increased the importance of statistical models with numerous parameters. Several studies have analyzed over-parameterized linear models with high-dimensional data, which may not be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-14 Shogo Nakakita , Masaaki Imaizumi

Deep semi-supervised learning has been widely implemented in the real-world due to the rapid development of deep learning. Recently, attention has shifted to the approaches such as Mean-Teacher to penalize the inconsistency between two…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-30 Sanyou Wu , Xingdong Feng , Fan Zhou

In certain applications involving the solution of a Bayesian inverse problem, it may not be possible or desirable to evaluate the full posterior, e.g. due to the high computational cost of doing so. This problem motivates the use of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Han Cheng Lie , T. J. Sullivan , Aretha Teckentrup

Regression branch of Machine Learning purely focuses on prediction of continuous values. The supervised learning branch has many regression based methods with parametric and non-parametric learning models. In this paper we aim to target a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Abhishek Gupta , Raunak Joshi , Nandan Kanvinde , Pinky Gerela , Ronald Melwin Laban

Preprocessing data is an important step before any data analysis. In this paper, we focus on one particular aspect, namely scaling or normalization. We analyze various scaling methods in common use and study their effects on different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-05 Ting Li , Bingyi Jing , Ningchen Ying , Xianshi Yu
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