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Starting from one-point tail bounds, we establish an upper tail large deviation principle for the directed landscape at the metric level. Metrics of finite rate are in one-to-one correspondence with measures supported on a set of countably…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Sayan Das , Duncan Dauvergne , Bálint Virág

A large deviations principle is established for the joint law of the empirical measure and the flow measure of a renewal Markov process on a finite graph. We do not assume any bound on the arrival times, allowing heavy tailed distributions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-18 Mauro Mariani , Lorenzo Zambotti

We prove a large deviations principle for the empirical law of the block sizes of a uniformly distributed non-crossing partition. As an application we obtain a variational formula for the maximum of the support of a compactly supported…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-04 Janosch Ortmann

We show that high-accuracy guarantees for log-concave sampling -- that is, iteration and query complexities which scale as $\mathrm{poly}\log(1/\delta)$, where $\delta$ is the desired target accuracy -- are achievable using stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Fan Chen , Sinho Chewi , Constantinos Daskalakis , Alexander Rakhlin

Both parametric distribution functions appearing in extreme value theory - the generalized extreme value distribution and the generalized Pareto distribution - have log-concave densities if the extreme value index gamma is in [-1,0].…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-17 Samuel Müller , Kaspar Rufibach

The study of tail behaviour of SGD-induced processes has been attracting a lot of interest, due to offering strong guarantees with respect to individual runs of an algorithm. While many works provide high-probability guarantees, quantifying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Aleksandar Armacki , Dragana Bajović , Dušan Jakovetić , Soummya Kar , Ali H. Sayed

In this paper, we study large time large deviations for the height function $\mathfrak{h}(x,t)$ of the $q$-deformed polynuclear growth introduced in ABW22 [arXiv:2108.06018]. We show that the upper-tail deviations have speed $t$ and derive…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Sayan Das , Yuchen Liao , Matteo Mucciconi

We prove a Freidlin-Wentzell large deviation principle for general stochastic evolution equations with small perturbation multiplicative noises. In particular, our general result can be used to deal with a large class of quasi linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-14 Jiagang Ren , Xicheng Zhang

We study the last passage time in geometric last passage percolation (LPP). As the system size increases, we derive precise large deviation probabilities -- up to and including the constant terms -- for both the lower and upper tails. A key…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Sung-Soo Byun , Christophe Charlier , Philippe Moreillon , Nick Simm

Building on work in \cite{AB24} on the Riemann zeta function at height $T$ off the critical line, we prove an unconditional lower bound on the critical line for real large deviations of the order $V\sim\alpha\log\log T$ for any $\alpha>0.$…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Nathan Creighton

We extend classical results by A. V. Nagaev [Izv. Akad. Nauk UzSSR Ser. Fiz.--Mat. Nauk 6 (1969) 17--22, Theory Probab. Appl. 14 (1969) 51--64, 193--208] on large deviations for sums of i.i.d. regularly varying random variables to partial…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Henrik Hult , Filip Lindskog , Thomas Mikosch , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We compute analytically the probability density function (pdf) of the largest eigenvalue $\lambda_{\max}$ in rotationally invariant Cauchy ensembles of $N\times N$ matrices. We consider unitary ($\beta = 2$), orthogonal ($\beta =1$) and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-01-29 Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr , Dario Villamaina , Pierpaolo Vivo

We investigate and solve the weak noise theory for the semi-discrete O'Connell-Yor directed polymer. In the large deviation regime, the most probable evolution of the partition function obeys a classical non-linear system which is a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-04 Alexandre Krajenbrink , Pierre Le Doussal

Isoperimetric profile describes the minimal boundary size of a set with a prescribed volume. Itai Benjamini conjectured that the isoperimetric profile of the giant component in supercritical percolation experiences an averaging effect and…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-27 Christian Hirsch , Kyeongsik Nam

We provide large deviations estimates for the upper tail of the number of triangles in scale-free inhomogeneous random graphs where the degrees have power law tails with index $-\alpha, \alpha \in (1,2)$. We show that upper tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Clara Stegehuis , Bert Zwart

We prove a large deviations principle for the probabilistic Schwarzian Field Theory at low temperatures. We demonstrate that the good rate function is equal to the action of the Schwarzian Field Theory, and we find its minimisers. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Ilya Losev

We prove existence of the large deviation principle, with a proper convex rate function, for the distribution of the renormalized distance from the origin of a random walk on a free product of finitely generated groups. As a consequence, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Emilio Corso

We study the probability distribution function $P(\lambda)$ of the largest eigenvalue $\lambda_{\rm max}$ of $N \times N$ random matrices of the form $H + V$, where $H$ belongs to the GOE/GUE ensemble and $V$ is a full rank deterministic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-14 Pierre Le Doussal

We consider two Ito equations that evolve on different time scales. The equations are fully coupled in the sense that all coefficients may depend on both the "slow" and the "fast" processes and the diffusion terms may be correlated. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

We establish Tracy-Widom asymptotics for the partition function of a random polymer model with gamma-distributed weights recently introduced by Sepp\"al\"ainen. We show that the partition function of this random polymer can be represented…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Neil O'Connell , Janosch Ortmann
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