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In this paper we study precise large deviations for the partial sums of a stationary sequence with a subexponential marginal distribution. Our main focus is on distributions which either have a regularly varying or a lognormal-type tail. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Thomas Mikosch , Igor Rodionov

We study deviation of U-statistics when samples have heavy-tailed distribution so the kernel of the U-statistic does not have bounded exponential moments at any positive point. We obtain an exponential upper bound for the tail of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-30 Milad Bakhshizadeh

We investigate the upper tail distribution of the partition function of the directed polymer in a random environment on $\mathbb Z^d$ in the weak disorder phase. We show that the distribution of the infinite volume partition function…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Stefan Junk , Hubert Lacoin

We establish sharp tail asymptotics for component-wise extreme values of bivariate Gaussian random vectors with arbitrary correlation between the components. We consider two scaling regimes for the tail event in which we demonstrate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Remco van der Hofstad , Harsha Honnappa

Consider standard first-passage percolation on $\mathbb Z^d$. We study the lower-tail large deviations of the rescaled random metric $\widehat{\mathbf T}_n$ restricted to a box. If all exponential moments are finite, we prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Julien Verges

We prove a large deviation principle for the largest eigenvalue of Wigner matrices without Gaussian tails, namely such that the distribution tails $\mathbb{P}( |X_{1,1}|>t)$ and $\mathbb{P}(|X_{1,2}|>t)$ behave like $e^{-bt^{\alpha}}$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Fanny Augeri

Following the recent investigations of Baik and Suidan in \cite{baik2005gcl} and Bodineau and Martin in \cite{bodineau2005upl}, we prove large deviation properties for a last-passage percolation model in $\mathbb{Z}^{2}_{+}$ whose paths are…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Jean-Paul Ibrahim

We analyze the statistics of work generated by a gradient flow to stretch a nonlinear polymer. We obtain the Large Deviation Function (LDF) of the work in the full range of appropriate parameters by combining analytical and numerical tools.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-18 Marija Vucelja , Konstantin S. Turitsyn , Michael Chertkov

In this paper, we obtain optimal uniform lower tail estimates for the probability distribution of the properly scaled length of the longest up/right path of the last passage site percolation model considered by Johansson in [12]. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jinho Baik , Percy Deift , Ken McLaughlin , Peter Miller , Xin Zhou

We consider the exactly solvable model of exponential directed last passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ in the large deviation regime. Conditional on the upper tail large deviation event $\mathcal{U}_{\delta}:=\{T_{n}\geq (4+\delta)n\}$…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-26 Riddhipratim Basu , Shirshendu Ganguly

We consider last-passage percolation models in two dimensions, in which the underlying weight distribution has a heavy tail of index alpha<2. We prove scaling laws and asymptotic distributions, both for the passage times and for the shape…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ben Hambly , James B. Martin

Consider the Hopf--Cole solution $ h(t,x) $ of the KPZ equation with narrow wedge initial condition. Regarding $ t\to\infty $ as a scaling parameter, we provide the first rigorous proof of the Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for the lower…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Li-Cheng Tsai

We investigate a Coulomb gas in a potential satisfying a weaker growth assumption than usual and establish a large deviation principle for its empirical measure. As a consequence the empirical measure is seen to converge towards a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-29 Adrien Hardy

The Tracy-Widom beta distribution is the large dimensional limit of the top eigenvalue of beta random matrix ensembles. We use the stochastic Airy operator representation to show that as a tends to infinity the tail of the Tracy Widom…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-27 Laure Dumaz , Bálint Virág

This article discusses modelling of the tail of a multivariate distribution function by means of a large deviation principle (LDP), and its application to the estimation of the probability of a multivariate extreme event from a sample of n…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-23 Cees de Valk

The Galton--Watson process is the simplest example of a branching process. The relationship between the offspring distribution, and, when the extinction occurs almost surely, the distribution of the total progeny is well known. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

We consider the discrete directed polymer model with i.i.d. environment and we study the fluctuations of the tail $n^{(d-2)/4}(W_\infty - W_n)$ of the normalized partition function. It was proven by Comets and Liu, that for sufficiently…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-12 Clément Cosco , Shuta Nakajima

Using loop equations, we compute the large deviation function of the maximum eigenvalue to the right of the spectrum in the Gaussian beta matrix ensembles, to all orders in 1/N. We then give a physical derivation of the all order asymptotic…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-08-22 Gaëtan Borot , Céline Nadal

We establish a large-deviations principle for the largest eigenvalue of a generalized sample covariance matrix, meaning a matrix proportional to $Z^T \Gamma Z$, where $Z$ has i.i.d. real or complex entries and $\Gamma$ is not necessarily…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Jonathan Husson , Benjamin McKenna

We establish the large deviation probabilities for the height of random recursive trees, revealing polynomial upper-tail decay and stretched-exponential lower-tail decay. Remarkably, the lower tail features an atypical prefactor that grows…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Xinxin Chen , Heng Ma