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Long-term urban crowd flow prediction suffers significantly from cumulative sampling errors, due to increased sequence lengths and sampling intervals, which inspired us to leverage Neural Controlled Differential Equations (NCDEs) to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Yuting Liu , Qiang Zhou , Hanzhe Li , Chenqi Gong , Jingjing Gu

Modeling spreading processes in complex random networks plays an essential role in understanding and prediction of many real phenomena like epidemics or rumor spreading. The dynamics of such systems may be represented algorithmically by…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-11-20 S. V. Ivanov , A. V. Boukhanovsky , P. M. A. Sloot

The intersection of machine learning and dynamical systems has generated considerable interest recently. Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) represent a rich overlap between these fields. In this paper, we develop a continuous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Maria Oprea , Mark Walth , Robert Stephany , Gabriella Torres Nothaft , Arnaldo Rodriguez-Gonzalez , William Clark

Neural ordinary differential equations (Neural ODEs) are an effective framework for learning dynamical systems from irregularly sampled time series data. These models provide a continuous-time latent representation of the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Edward De Brouwer , Rahul G. Krishnan

Inspired by the ubiquitous use of differential equations to model continuous dynamics across diverse scientific and engineering domains, we propose a novel and intuitive approach to continuous sequence modeling. Our method interprets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Macheng Shen , Chen Cheng

Forecasting time series and time-dependent data is a common problem in many applications. One typical example is solving ordinary differential equation (ODE) systems $\dot{x}=F(x)$. Oftentimes the right hand side function $F(x)$ is not…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-10-14 Artem Chashchin , Mikhail Botchev , Ivan Oseledets , George Ovchinnikov

We study the ability of neural networks to calculate feedback control signals that steer trajectories of continuous time non-linear dynamical systems on graphs, which we represent with neural ordinary differential equations (neural ODEs).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Thomas Asikis , Lucas Böttcher , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

The ability to predict the size of information cascades in online social networks is crucial for various applications, including decision-making and viral marketing. However, traditional methods either rely on complicated time-varying…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Wu Leilei , Yi Lingling , Ren Xiao-Long , {Lü} Linyuan

Neural networks have recently been used to analyze diverse physical systems and to identify the underlying dynamics. While existing methods achieve impressive results, they are limited by their strong demand for training data and their weak…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Florian Hofherr , Lukas Koestler , Florian Bernard , Daniel Cremers

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is a challenging task because of the complexity of real-world human social behaviors and uncertainty of the future motion. For the first issue, existing methods adopt fully connected topology for modeling…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-25 Lidan Zhang , Qi She , Ping Guo

Prediction of popularity has profound impact for social media, since it offers opportunities to reveal individual preference and public attention from evolutionary social systems. Previous research, although achieves promising results,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-14 Bo Wu , Wen-Huang Cheng , Yongdong Zhang , Qiushi Huang , Jintao Li , Tao Mei

Human trajectory data is crucial in urban planning, traffic engineering, and public health. However, directly using real-world trajectory data often faces challenges such as privacy concerns, data acquisition costs, and data quality. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Qingyue Long , Can Rong , Tong Li , Yong Li

The Path-dependent Neural Jump ODE (PD-NJ-ODE) is a model for online prediction of generic (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic processes with irregular (in time) and potentially incomplete (with respect to coordinates) observations. It is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-29 Florian Krach , Josef Teichmann

Information diffusion occurs on microblogging platforms like Twitter as retweet cascades. When a tweet is posted, it may be retweeted and henceforth further retweeted, and the retweeting process continues iteratively and indefinitely. A…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-20 Feng Chen , Wai Hong Tan

Neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs) have been attracting increasing attention in various research domains recently. There have been some works studying optimization issues and approximation capabilities of neural ODEs, but their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-04 Hanshu Yan , Jiawei Du , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Jiashi Feng

In this paper, we study the problem of using representation learning to assist information diffusion prediction on graphs. In particular, we aim at estimating the probability of an inactive node to be activated next in a cascade. Despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-01 Jia Wang , Vincent W. Zheng , Zemin Liu , Kevin Chen-Chuan Chang

Neural ODE Processes approach the problem of meta-learning for dynamics using a latent variable model, which permits a flexible aggregation of contextual information. This flexibility is inherited from the Neural Process framework and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Ben Day , Alexander Norcliffe , Jacob Moss , Pietro Liò

Model reduction for fluid flow simulation continues to be of great interest across a number of scientific and engineering fields. In a previous work [arXiv:2104.13962], we explored the use of Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODE) as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-07 Sourav Dutta , Peter Rivera-Casillas , Orie M. Cecil , Matthew W. Farthing , Emma Perracchione , Mario Putti

Online social networks (OSNs) are emerging as the most popular mainstream platform for content cascade diffusion. In order to provide satisfactory quality of experience (QoE) for users in OSNs, much research dedicates to proactive content…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Qiong Wu , Muhong Wu , Xu Chen , Zhi Zhou , Kaiwen He , Liang Chen

Prediction tasks over nodes and edges in networks require careful effort in engineering features used by learning algorithms. Recent research in the broader field of representation learning has led to significant progress in automating…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-07-05 Aditya Grover , Jure Leskovec