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We develop Probabilistic Targeted Factor Analysis (PTFA), a likelihood-based framework for constructing latent factors that are explicitly targeted to variables of economic interest. PTFA provides a probabilistic foundation for Partial…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-12 Miguel C. Herculano , Santiago Montoya-Blandón

Inference is an integral part of probabilistic topic models, but is often non-trivial to derive an efficient algorithm for a specific model. It is even much more challenging when we want to find a fast inference algorithm which always…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-16 Khoat Than , Tu Bao Ho

This study explores the temporal dynamics of language processing by examining the alignment between word representations from a pre-trained transformer-based language model, and EEG data. Using a Temporal Response Function (TRF) model, we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-01 Davide Turco , Conor Houghton

Spoken communication occurs in a "noisy channel" characterized by high levels of environmental noise, variability within and between speakers, and lexical and syntactic ambiguity. Given these properties of the received linguistic input,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Stephan C. Meylan , Sathvik Nair , Thomas L. Griffiths

We present a general framework, the coupled compound Poisson factorization (CCPF), to capture the missing-data mechanism in extremely sparse data sets by coupling a hierarchical Poisson factorization with an arbitrary data-generating model.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-10 Mehmet E. Basbug , Barbara E. Engelhardt

This study analyzes political interactions in the European Parliament (EP) by considering how the political agenda of the plenary sessions has evolved over time and the manner in which Members of the European Parliament (MEPs) have reacted…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2015-07-08 Derek Greene , James P. Cross

The word-stock of a language is a complex dynamical system in which words can be created, evolve, and become extinct. Even more dynamic are the short-term fluctuations in word usage by individuals in a population. Building on the recent…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-04-09 Eduardo G. Altmann , Zakary L. Whichard , Adilson E. Motter

We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

The rate of occurrence of words is not uniform but varies from document to document. Despite this observation, parameters for conventional n-gram language models are usually derived using the assumption of a constant word rate. In this…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Yoshihiko Gotoh , Steve Renals

In this paper, we propose a method to generate personalized filled pauses (FPs) with group-wise prediction models. Compared with fluent text generation, disfluent text generation has not been widely explored. To generate more human-like…

Sound · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Yuta Matsunaga , Takaaki Saeki , Shinnosuke Takamichi , Hiroshi Saruwatari

While tabular machine learning has achieved remarkable success, temporal distribution shifts pose significant challenges in real-world deployment, as the relationships between features and labels continuously evolve. Static models assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Hao-Run Cai , Han-Jia Ye

The changes in user preferences can originate from substantial reasons, like personality shift, or transient and circumstantial ones, like seasonal changes in item popularities. Disregarding these temporal drifts in modelling user…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-03-01 F. Zafari , I. Moser , T. Baarslag

Many real-world systems modeled using partial differential equations (PDEs) involve unknown parameters that must be estimated from limited, noisy system observations. While typically assumed to be constants, some of these unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Andrea Arnold

We extend opinion dynamics on discourse sheaves to incorporate "directional stubbornness": agents may hold fixed positions in specified directions of their opinion stalk while remaining flexible in others. This converts the equilibrium…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Vicente Bosca , Robert Ghrist

Time-varying parameter (TVP) models often assume that the TVPs evolve according to a random walk. This assumption, however, might be questionable since it implies that coefficients change smoothly and in an unbounded manner. In this paper,…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-11-05 Niko Hauzenberger

We present a new topic model that generates documents by sampling a topic for one whole sentence at a time, and generating the words in the sentence using an RNN decoder that is conditioned on the topic of the sentence. We argue that this…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-08-03 Ramesh Nallapati , Igor Melnyk , Abhishek Kumar , Bowen Zhou

Social media platforms facilitate mankind a data-driven world by enabling billions of people to share their thoughts and activities ubiquitously. This huge collection of data, if analysed properly, can provide useful insights into people's…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Thirunavukarasu Balasubramaniam , Richi Nayak , Md Abul Bashar

This article proposes a new approach to modeling high-dimensional time series by treating a $p$-dimensional time series as a nonsingular linear transformation of certain common factors and idiosyncratic components. Unlike the approximate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-15 Zhaoxing Gao , Ruey S. Tsay

Tensor decomposition is a fundamental tool for analyzing multi-dimensional data by learning low-rank factors to represent high-order interactions. While recent works on temporal tensor decomposition have made significant progress by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Panqi Chen , Lei Cheng , Jianlong Li , Weichang Li , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian , Shikai Fang

Converting input symbols to output audio in TTS requires modelling the durations of speech sounds. Leading non-autoregressive (NAR) TTS models treat duration modelling as a regression problem. The same utterance is then spoken with…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-11 Shivam Mehta , Harm Lameris , Rajiv Punmiya , Jonas Beskow , Éva Székely , Gustav Eje Henter
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