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We propose a general method to carry out a valid Bayesian analysis of a finite-dimensional `targeted' parameter in the presence of a finite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We apply our methods to causal inference based on estimating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens

The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-14 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

Bias estimation or sensor registration is an essential step in ensuring the accuracy of global tracks in multisensor-multitarget tracking. Most previously proposed algorithms for bias estimation rely on local measurements in centralized…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-23 Ehsan Taghavi , R. Tharmarasa , T. Kirubarajan , Yaakov Bar-Shalom , Mike McDonald

Rapid developments in streaming data technologies have enabled real-time monitoring of human activity that can deliver high-resolution data on health variables over trajectories or paths carved out by subjects as they conduct their daily…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-11 Tomoya Wakayama , Sudipto Banerjee

This thesis focuses on the detection of extrasolar planets via the transit method, and more specifically addresses issues relevant to the preparation of upcoming space missions such as CoRoT, Kepler, Eddington, aiming to detect terrestrial…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Suzanne Aigrain

Improved communication systems, shrinking battery sizes and the price drop of tracking devices have led to an increasing availability of trajectory tracking data. These data are often analyzed to understand animal behavior. In this work, we…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-12 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Clara Grazian , Sara Mancinelli , Enrico Bibbona

The standard approach when studying atmospheric circulation regimes and their dynamics is to use a hard regime assignment, where each atmospheric state is assigned to the regime it is closest to in distance. However, this may not always be…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-15 Swinda K. J. Falkena , Jana de Wiljes , Antje Weisheimer , Theodore G. Shepherd

Forecast combination methods have traditionally emphasized symmetric loss functions, particularly squared error loss, with equally weighted combinations often justified as a robust approach under such criteria. However, these justifications…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Henry D. van Eijk , Sujit K. Ghosh

Multiobject tracking (MOT) is an important task in applications including autonomous driving, ocean sciences, and aerospace surveillance. Traditional MOT methods are model-based and combine sequential Bayesian estimation with data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Shaoxiu Wei , Mingchao Liang , Florian Meyer

We propose a combined method for the collaborative transportation of a suspended payload by a team of rotorcraft. A recent distance-based formation-motion control algorithm based on assigning distance disagreements among robots generates…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-02-04 Hector Garcia de Marina , Ewoud Smeur

Robots rely on motion planning to navigate safely and efficiently while performing various tasks. In this paper, we investigate motion planning through Bayesian inference, where motion plans are inferred based on planning objectives and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Ali Vaziri , Iman Askari , Huazhen Fang

Using an asymmetric Laplace distribution, which provides a mechanism for Bayesian inference of quantile regression models, we develop a fully Bayesian approach to fitting single-index models in conditional quantile regression. In this work,…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-19 Yuao Hua , Robert B. Gramacy , Heng Lian

The spacecraft attitude tracking problem is addressed with actuator faults and uncertainties among inertias, external disturbances, and, in particular, state estimates. A continuous sliding mode attitude controller is designed using…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-22 Haichao Gui

Object tracking is one of the fundamental problems in visual recognition tasks and has achieved significant improvements in recent years. The achievements often come with the price of enormous hardware consumption and expensive labor effort…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-06 Yan Shen , Zhanghexuan Ji , Chunwei Ma , Mingchen Gao

In statistical applications, it is common to encounter parameters supported on a varying or unknown dimensional space. Examples include the fused lasso regression, the matrix recovery under an unknown low rank, etc. Despite the ease of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-04 Maoran Xu , Hua Zhou , Yujie Hu , Leo L. Duan

When tracking maneuvering targets, model-driven approaches encounter difficulties in comprehensively delineating complex real-world scenarios and are prone to model mismatch when the targets maneuver. Meanwhile, contemporary data-driven…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-21 Shuyang Zhang , Chang Gao , Qingfu Zhang , Tianyi Jia , Hongwei Liu

We present a Bayesian inference methodology for the estimation of orbital parameters on single-line spectroscopic binaries with astrometric data, based on the No-U-Turn sampler Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. Our approach is designed to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-27 Miguel Videla , Rene A. Mendez , Ruben M. Claveria , Jorge F. Silva , Marcos E. Orchard

Sampling from the posterior is a key technical problem in Bayesian statistics. Rigorous guarantees are difficult to obtain for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms of common use. In this paper, we study an alternative class of algorithms…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-26 Andrea Montanari , Yuchen Wu

Bayesian filtering deals with computing the posterior distribution of the state of a stochastic dynamic system given noisy observations. In this paper, motivated by applications in counter-adversarial systems, we consider the following…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-28 Robert Mattila , Cristian R. Rojas , Vikram Krishnamurthy , Bo Wahlberg

Bayesian inference on non-Gaussian data is often non-analytic and requires computationally expensive approximations such as sampling or variational inference. We propose an approximate inference framework primarily designed to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Marius Hobbhahn , Philipp Hennig
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