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This study addresses an important gap in time series outlier detection by proposing a novel problem setting: long-term outlier prediction. Conventional methods primarily focus on immediate detection by identifying deviations from normal…

Many traditional methods for identifying changepoints can struggle in the presence of outliers, or when the noise is heavy-tailed. Often they will infer additional changepoints in order to fit the outliers. To overcome this problem, data…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-12 Paul Fearnhead , Guillem Rigaill

Many reinforcement learning (RL) environments consist of independent entities that interact sparsely. In such environments, RL agents have only limited influence over other entities in any particular situation. Our idea in this work is that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Maximilian Seitzer , Bernhard Schölkopf , Georg Martius

Influence functions (IFs) elucidate how training data changes model behavior. However, the increasing size and non-convexity in large-scale models make IFs inaccurate. We suspect that the fragility comes from the first-order approximation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Hyeonsu Lyu , Jonggyu Jang , Sehyun Ryu , Hyun Jong Yang

Outlier, or anomaly, detection is essential for optimal performance of machine learning methods and statistical predictive models. It is not just a technical step in a data cleaning process but a key topic in many fields such as fraudulent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-19 O. Ramos Terrades , A. Berenguel , D. Gil

Outlier detection identifies data points that significantly deviate from the majority of the data distribution. Explaining outliers is crucial for understanding the underlying factors that contribute to their detection, validating their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Tommaso Amico , Pernille Matthews , Lena Krieger , Arthur Zimek , Ira Assent

Functional data covers a wide range of data types. They all have in common that the observed objects are functions of of a univariate argument (e.g. time or wavelength) or a multivariate argument (say, a spatial position). These functions…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-13 Peter J. Rousseeuw , Jakob Raymaekers , Mia Hubert

Latent factor models (LFMs) such as matrix factorization achieve the state-of-the-art performance among various Collaborative Filtering (CF) approaches for recommendation. Despite the high recommendation accuracy of LFMs, a critical issue…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-10 Weiyu Cheng , Yanyan Shen , Yanmin Zhu , Linpeng Huang

This paper discusses identification, estimation, and inference on dynamic local average treatment effects (LATEs) in instrumental variables (IVs) settings. First, we show that compliers--observations whose treatment status is affected by…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-17 Alessandro Casini , Adam McCloskey , Luca Rolla , Raimondo Pala

This paper provides a simple solution for reliably solving image classification tasks tied to spatial locations of salient objects in the scene. Unlike conventional image classification approaches that are designed to be invariant to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Akshay Rangesh , Mohan M. Trivedi

How can we explain the influence of training data on black-box models? Influence functions (IFs) offer a post-hoc solution by utilizing gradients and Hessians. However, computing the Hessian for an entire dataset is resource-intensive,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Jungyeon Koh , Hyeonsu Lyu , Jonggyu Jang , Hyun Jong Yang

The Local Interstellar Medium (LISM) is a unique environment that presents an opportunity to study general interstellar phenomena in great detail and in three dimensions. In particular, high resolution optical and ultraviolet spectroscopy…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Seth Redfield

The ability to collect and store ever more massive databases has been accompanied by the need to process them efficiently. In many cases, most observations have the same behavior, while a probable small proportion of these observations are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Myrto Limnios , Nathan Noiry , Stéphan Clémençon

Many machine learning classification systems lack competency awareness. Specifically, many systems lack the ability to identify when outliers (e.g., samples that are distinct from and not represented in the training data distribution) are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Matthew Cook , Alina Zare , Paul Gader

Feature and Interaction Importance (FII) methods are essential in supervised learning for assessing the relevance of input variables and their interactions in complex prediction models. In many domains, such as personalized medicine, local…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-15 Kata Vuk , Nicolas Alexander Ihlo , Merle Behr

The LISA Pathfinder (LPF) mission succeeded outstandingly in demonstrating key technological aspects of future space-borne gravitational-wave detectors, such as the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). Specifically, LPF demonstrated…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-03-02 Quentin Baghi , Natalia Korsakova , Jacob Slutsky , Eleonora Castelli , Nikolaos Karnesis , Jean-Baptiste Bayle

A binary compact object early in its inspiral phase will be picked up by its nearly monochromatic gravitational radiation by LISA. But even this innocuous appearing candidate poses interesting detection challenges. The data that will be…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-10 Aaron Rogan , Sukanta Bose

A core data-centric learning challenge is the identification of training samples that are detrimental to model performance. Influence functions serve as a prominent tool for this task and offer a robust framework for assessing training data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Anshuman Chhabra , Bo Li , Jian Chen , Prasant Mohapatra , Hongfu Liu

Infectious disease models can be of great use for understanding the underlying mechanisms that influence the spread of diseases and predicting future disease progression. Modeling has been increasingly used to evaluate the potential impact…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-20 Md Mahsin , Rob Deardon , Patrick Brown

This manuscript unites causal inference and spatial statistics, presenting novel insights for causal inference in spatial data analysis, and drawing from tools in spatial statistics to estimate causal effects. We introduce spatial causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Georgia Papadogeorgou , Srijata Samanta