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Theory predicts rapid genetic drift during invasions, yet many expanding populations maintain high genetic diversity. We find that genetic drift is dramatically suppressed when dispersal rates increase with the population density because…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-29 Gabriel Birzu , Sakib Matin , Oskar Hallatschek , Kirill S. Korolev

The scaling relations between city attributes and population are emergent and ubiquitous aspects of urban growth. Quantifying these relations and understanding their theoretical foundation, however, is difficult due to the challenge of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-31 Keith Burghardt , Johannes H. Uhl , Kristina Lerman , Stefan Leyk

We consider a multi-type Moran model (in continuous time) with selection and type-dependent mutation. This paper is concerned with the evolution of genealogical information forward in time. For this purpose we define and analytically…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-19 Peter Seidel

We introduce a broad class of spatial models to describe how spatially heterogeneous populations live, die, and reproduce. Individuals are represented by points of a point measure, whose birth and death rates can depend both on spatial…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Alison M. Etheridge , Thomas G. Kurtz , Ian Letter , Peter L. Ralph , Terence Tsui Ho Lung

The gravity model (GM) analogous to Newton's law of universal gravitation has successfully described the flow between different spatial regions, such as human migration, traffic flows, international economic trades, etc. This simple but…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-09-19 Hye Jin Park , Woo Seong Jo , Sang Hoon Lee , Beom Jun Kim

Detailed estimates of migration stocks and flows provides evidence for understanding population dynamics, and the impact of economic and political changes that influence migration. Using data from the 2000 decennial census and 2001-2016…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-06 Nicolas A Menzies

Human settlements on Earth are scattered in a multitude of shapes, sizes and spatial arrangements. These patterns are often not random but a result of complex geographical, cultural, economic and historical processes that have profound…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-03 Emanuele Strano , Filippo Simini , Marco De Nadai , Thomas Esch , Mattia Marconcini

In this paper we consider two continuous-mass population models as analogues of logistic branching random walks, one is supported on a finite trait space and the other one is supported on an infinite trait space. For the first model with…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Anton Bovier , Shi-Dong Wang

Using complete-count register data spanning three generations, we document spatial patterns in inter- and multi-generational mobility in Sweden. Across municipalities, grandfather-child correlations in education or earnings tend to be…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-18 Martin Nybom , Jan Stuhler

This paper proposes a new measure of relative intergenerational mobility along the educational trait as a proxy of inequality of opportunity. The new measure is more suitable for controlling for the variations in the trait distributions of…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-17 Anna Naszodi , Liliana Cuccu

We study the evolution of the population genealogy in the classic neutral Moran Model of finite size and in discrete time. The stochastic transformations that shape a Moran population can be realized directly on its genealogy and give rise…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-08 Johannes Wirtz , Thomas Wiehe

A key question in evolution is how likely a mutant is to take over. This depends on natural selection and on stochastic fluctuations. Population spatial structure can impact mutant fixation probabilities. We introduce a model for structured…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-23 Loïc Marrec , Irene Lamberti , Anne-Florence Bitbol

Human mobility and activity patterns mediate contagion on many levels, including the spatial spread of infectious diseases, diffusion of rumors, and emergence of consensus. These patterns however are often dominated by specific locations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-05 Duygu Balcan , Alessandro Vespignani

Highly-diverse ecosystems exhibit a broad distribution of population sizes and species turnover, where species at high and low abundances are exchanged over time. We show that these two features generically emerge in the fluctuating phase…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-09 Thibaut Arnoulx de Pirey , Guy Bunin

Most population projection models require age-specific information on net migration totals as a key demographic component of population change. Existing methods for predicting future patterns of net migration by age have proven inadequate.…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-18 Hana Ševčíková , James Raymer , Adrian E. Raftery

When biological populations expand into new territory, the evolutionary outcomes can be strongly influenced by genetic drift, the random fluctuations in allele frequencies. Meanwhile, spatial variability in the environment can also…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-27 Jimmy Gonzalez Nuñez , Jayson Paulose , Wolfram Möbius , Daniel A. Beller

We consider a population model where individuals behave independently from each other and whose genealogy is described by a chronological tree called splitting tree. The individuals have i.i.d. (non-exponential) lifetime durations and give…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Mathieu Richard

The growth of a population divided among spatial sites, with migration between the sites, is sometimes modelled by a product of random matrices, with each diagonal elements representing the growth rate in a given time period, and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-12 David Steinsaltz , Shripad Tuljapurkar

This paper presents a physical perspective on the human migration phenomenon claiming that human social behaviors are somehow but not completely inspired by nature. Human displacement or migration in the world is highly affected by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-19 Mina Ghanbari , Ghader Rezazadeh

Understanding human mobility patterns -- how people move in their everyday lives -- is an interdisciplinary research field. It is a question with roots back to the 19th century that has been dramatically revitalized with the recent increase…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-08 Minjin Lee , Petter Holme