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It is well known that generalized method of moments (GMM) estimators of dynamic panel data regressions can have significant bias when the number of time periods ($T$) is not small compared to the number of cross-sectional units ($n$). The…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-19 Robert F. Phillips

Traffic forecasting is a challenging spatio-temporal modeling task and a critical component of urban transportation management. Current studies mainly focus on deterministic predictions, with limited considerations on the uncertainty and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Weijiang Xiong , Robert Fonod , Nikolas Geroliminis

In this work we propose a generalized additive functional regression model for partially observed functional data. Our approach accommodates functional predictors of varying dimensions without requiring imputation of missing observations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-03 Pavel Hernández-Amaro , Maria Durban , M. Carmen Aguilera-Morillo

In this paper, we present the definitions and some properties of the general fractional integrals (GFIs) and general fractional derivatives (GFDs) of a function f(x) with respect to another function g(x). Examples of special cases of…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Vasily E. Tarasov

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

We propose the novel augmented Gaussian random field (AGRF), which is a universal framework incorporating the data of observable and derivatives of any order. Rigorous theory is established. We prove that under certain conditions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Sheng Zhang , Xiu Yang , Samy Tindel , Guang Lin

This article introduces a novel nonparametric methodology for Generalized Linear Models which combines the strengths of the binary regression and latent variable formulations for categorical data, while overcoming their disadvantages.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 K. P. Chowdhury

We introduce a new family of Generalised Parton Distribution models able to fulfil by construction all the theoretical properties imposed by QCD. These models are built on standard Parton Distribution Functions and extended to off-forward…

We formulate and prove the existence and uniqueness of the generalized Fourier transform associated with the absolutely continuous part of an arbitrary selfadjoint operator on a separable Hilbert space. To this end we develop a novel method…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2011-03-25 Take-Yuki Nagao

A generalized Gaussian process model (GGPM) is a unifying framework that encompasses many existing Gaussian process (GP) models, such as GP regression, classification, and counting. In the GGPM framework, the observation likelihood of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-28 Lifeng Shang , Antoni B. Chan

The operator definition of generalised transverse-momentum-dependent (GTMD) distributions is exploited to compute for the first time the full set of one-loop corrections to the off-forward matching functions. These functions allow one to…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-11-09 Valerio Bertone

This paper generalises dynamic factor models for multidimensional dependent data. In doing so, it develops an interpretable technique to study complex information sources ranging from repeated surveys with a varying number of respondents to…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-31 Matteo Barigozzi , Filippo Pellegrino

Recent works have proposed regression models which are invariant across data collection environments. These estimators often have a causal interpretation under conditions on the environments and type of invariance imposed. One recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-10 James P. Long , Hongxu Zhu , Kim-Anh Do , Min Jin Ha

We propose the Identifiable Variational Dynamic Factor Model (iVDFM), which learns latent factors from multivariate time series with identifiability guarantees. By applying iVAE-style conditioning to the innovation process driving the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Minkey Chang , Jae-Young Kim

We present an innovative approach to dimensional analysis, based on a general representation theorem for complete quantity functions admitting a covariant scalar representation; this theorem is in turn grounded in a purely algebraic theory…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-12-15 Dan Jonsson

Nonlinear systems exist widely in nature, however, how to construct systems with accurate expected non-linearity artificially is still a problem, which greatly limits their experimental study and engineering application. In this paper, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-03-10 Qiangqiang Li , Qingjie Cao

Many real-world problems encountered in several disciplines deal with the modeling of time-series containing different underlying dynamical regimes, for which probabilistic approaches are very often employed. In this paper we describe…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-19 Silvia Chiappa

We introduce a multivariate hidden Markov model to jointly cluster time-series observations with different support, i.e. circular and linear. Relying on the general projected normal distribution, our approach allows for bimodal and/or…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-27 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Antonello Maruotti , Giovanna Jona Lasinio

Gaussian processes provide a compact representation for modeling and estimating an unknown function, that can be updated as new measurements of the function are obtained. This paper extends this powerful framework to the case where the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-30 Jilles van Hulst , Roy van Zuijlen , Duarte Antunes , W. P. M. H. , Heemels

We consider the consistency properties of a regularised estimator for the simultaneous identification of both changepoints and graphical dependency structure in multivariate time-series. Traditionally, estimation of Gaussian Graphical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-18 Alex J. Gibberd , Sandipan Roy
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