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Here we introduce the idea of using rational expectations, a core concept in economics and finance, as a tool to predict the optimal failure time for a wide class of weighted k-out-of-n reliability systems. We illustrate the concept by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-21 Jorgen Vitting Andersen , Roy Cerqueti , Jessica Riccioni

Consider a set of jobs with independent random service times to be scheduled on a single machine. The jobs can be surgeries in an operating room, patients' appointments in outpatient clinics, etc. The challenge is to determine the optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-16 Mehdi Jafarnia-Jahromi , Rahul Jain

We consider the problem of constructing distribution-free prediction intervals for multi-step time series forecasting, with a focus on the temporal dependencies inherent in multi-step forecast errors. We establish that the optimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Xiaoqian Wang , Rob J Hyndman

For several years, the completion time and decoding delay problems in Instantly Decodable Network Coding (IDNC) were considered separately and were thought to completely act against each other. Recently, some works aimed to balance the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-04 Ahmed Douik , Sameh Sorour , Mohamed-Slim Alouini , Tareq Y. Al-Naffour

For optimal stopping problems with time-inconsistent preference, we measure the inherent level of time-inconsistency by taking the time needed to turn the naive strategies into the sophisticated ones. In particular, when in a repeated…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-22 Sang Hu , Zihan Zhou

We derive information-theoretic converses (i.e., lower bounds) for the minimum time required by any algorithm for distributed function computation over a network of point-to-point channels with finite capacity, where each node of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-01-04 Aolin Xu , Maxim Raginsky

Motivated by the increasing importance of providing delay-guaranteed services in general computing and communication systems, and the recent wide adoption of learning and prediction in network control, in this work, we consider a general…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2018-01-08 Kun Chen , Longbo Huang

This study considers the estimation of the complementary cumulative distribution function of the occupation time (i.e., the time spent below a threshold) for a process governed by a stochastic differential equation. The focus is on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Eya Ben Amar , Nadhir Ben Rached , Raul Tempone

This paper investigates the problem of utilizing network topology and partial timestamps to detect the information source in a network. The problem incurs prohibitive cost under canonical maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the source…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-06-02 Xuecheng Liu , Luoyi Fu , Bo Jiang , Xiaojun Lin , Xinbing Wang

We consider discrete optimization problems with interval uncertatinty of objective function coefficients. The interval uncertainty models measurements errors. A pos\-sible optimal solution is a solution that is optimal for some possible…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Alexander Prolubnikov

In this paper, we study network reliability in relation to a periodic time-dependent utility function that reflects the system's functional performance. When an anomaly occurs, the system incurs a loss of utility that depends on the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Ali Maatouk , Fadhel Ayed , Shi Biao , Wenjie Li , Harvey Bao , Enrico Zio

This article develops a method to construct the optimal sequential test for monitoring the changes in the distribution of finite observation sequences with a general dependence structure. This method allows us to prove that different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-01 Dong Han , Fugee Tsung , Jinguo Xian

A novel quickest detection setting is proposed which is a generalization of the well-known Bayesian change-point detection model. Suppose \{(X_i,Y_i)\}_{i\geq 1} is a sequence of pairs of random variables, and that S is a stopping time with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Urs Niesen , Aslan Tchamkerten

We consider the problem of distributed lossy linear function computation in a tree network. We examine two cases: (i) data aggregation (only one sink node computes) and (ii) consensus (all nodes compute the same function). By quantifying…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-01-16 Yaoqing Yang , Pulkit Grover , Soummya Kar

We revisit multi-agent asynchronous online optimization with delays, where only one of the agents becomes active for making the decision at each round, and the corresponding feedback is received by all the agents after unknown delays.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Lingchan Bao , Tong Wei , Yuanyu Wan

In multiobjective optimization, the result of an optimization algorithm is a set of efficient solutions from which the decision maker selects one. It is common that not all the efficient solutions can be computed in a short time and the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Miguel Ángel Domínguez-Ríos , Francisco Chicano , Enrique Alba

We formulate and study a fundamental search and detection problem, Schedule Optimization, motivated by a variety of real-world applications, ranging from monitoring content changes on the web, social networks, and user activities to…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-09-11 Ahmad Mahmoody , Evgenios M. Kornaropoulos , Eli Upfal

Phenomenon of stochastic separability was revealed and used in machine learning to correct errors of Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems and analyze AI instabilities. In high-dimensional datasets under broad assumptions each point can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-04 Bogdan Grechuk , Alexander N. Gorban , Ivan Y. Tyukin

For a sample of Exponentially distributed durations we aim at point estimation and a confidence interval for its parameter. A duration is only observed if it has ended within a certain time interval, determined by a Uniform distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Rafael Weißbach , Dominik Wied

This paper studies a central planner's decision making on behalf of a group of members with diverse discount rates. In the context of optimal stopping, we work with an aggregation preference to incorporate all discount rates via an attitude…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Shuoqing Deng , Xiang Yu , Jiacheng Zhang