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Sequential change-point detection when the distribution parameters are unknown is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. When the post-change parameters are unknown, we consider a set of detection procedures based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-06 Yang Cao , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Huan Xu

Motivated by robotic surveillance applications, this paper studies the novel problem of maximizing the return time entropy of a Markov chain, subject to a graph topology with travel times and stationary distribution. The return time entropy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-29 Xiaoming Duan , Mishel George , Francesco Bullo

Selection of descent direction at a point plays an important role in numerical optimization for minimizing a real valued function. In this article, a descent sequence is generated for the functions with bounded parameters to obtain a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Priyanka Roy , Geetanjali Panda

Virtually all machine learning tasks are characterized using some form of loss function, and "good performance" is typically stated in terms of a sufficiently small average loss, taken over the random draw of test data. While optimizing for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-01 Matthew J. Holland , Kazuki Tanabe

In this work, we propose a hyperparameter optimization method named \emph{HyperTime} to find hyperparameters robust to potential temporal distribution shifts in the unseen test data. Our work is motivated by an important observation that it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Shaokun Zhang , Yiran Wu , Zhonghua Zheng , Qingyun Wu , Chi Wang

In the current competitive world, industrial companies seek to manufacture products of higher quality which can be achieved by increasing reliability, maintainability and thus the availability of products. On the other hand, improvement in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-01-31 Golriz Amooee , Behrouz Minaei-Bidgoli , Malihe Bagheri-Dehnavi

We are interested in the optimal filter in a continuous time setting. We want to show that the optimal filter is stable with respect to its initial condition. We reduce the problem to a discrete time setting and apply truncation techniques…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-29 van Bien Bui , Sylvain Rubenthaler

Inverse optimal control (IOC) aims to estimate the underlying cost that governs the observed behavior of an expert system. However, in practical scenarios, the collected data is often corrupted by noise, which poses significant challenges…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Ziliang Wang , Axel Ringh , Han Zhang

We present a novel particle filtering framework for continuous-time dynamical systems with continuous-time measurements. Our approach is based on the duality between estimation and optimal control, which allows reformulating the estimation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-08 Qinsheng Zhang , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Yongxin Chen

Selective Prediction is the task of rejecting inputs a model would predict incorrectly on. This involves a trade-off between input space coverage (how many data points are accepted) and model utility (how good is the performance on accepted…

In the first part of this paper we introduced an algorithm that uses reachable set approximation to approximate the minimum time function of linear control problems. To illustrate the error estimates and to demonstrate differences to other…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-01 Robert Baier , Thuy Thi Thien Le

We present a general prediction scheme of failure times based on updating continuously with time the probability for failure of the global system, conditioned on the information revealed on the pre-existing idiosyncratic realization of the…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-11-11 D. Sornette , J. V. Andersen

The Switch Point Algorithm is a new approach for solving optimal control problems whose solutions are either singular or bang-bang or both singular and bang-bang, and which possess a finite number of jump discontinuities in an optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-20 Mahya Aghaee , William W. Hager

Alignment-based conformance checking is the state-of-the-art approach for comparing observed process executions with normative process models. The standard exact solution relies on an A*-based heuristic search, which can exhibit exponential…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Izack Cohen

We develop methods for forming prediction sets in an online setting where the data generating distribution is allowed to vary over time in an unknown fashion. Our framework builds on ideas from conformal inference to provide a general…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-10 Isaac Gibbs , Emmanuel Candès

Efficient sampling and remote estimation are critical for a plethora of wireless-empowered applications in the Internet of Things and cyber-physical systems. Motivated by such applications, this work proposes decentralized policies for the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-09 Xingran Chen , Xinyu Liao , Shirin Saeedi Bidokhti

We present a highly compact run-time monitoring approach for deep computer vision networks that extracts selected knowledge from only a few (down to merely two) hidden layers, yet can efficiently detect silent data corruption originating…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-03 Florian Geissler , Syed Qutub , Michael Paulitsch , Karthik Pattabiraman

We consider discrete-time dynamics, for cascading failure in DC networks, whose map is composition of failure rule with control actions. Supply-demand at the nodes is monotonically non-increasing under admissible control. Under the failure…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-03-21 Qin Ba , Ketan Savla

The change point is a moment of an abrupt alteration in the data distribution. Current methods for change point detection are based on recurrent neural methods suitable for sequential data. However, recent works show that transformers based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-19 Anna Dmitrienko , Evgenia Romanenkova , Alexey Zaytsev

A novel procedure is presented for the objective comparison and evaluation of a bank's decision rules in optimising the timing of loan recovery. This procedure is based on finding a delinquency threshold at which the financial loss of a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-25 Arno Botha , Conrad Beyers , Pieter de Villiers
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