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Predictive models are often introduced to decision-making tasks under the rationale that they improve performance over an existing decision-making policy. However, it is challenging to compare predictive performance against an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Luke Guerdan , Amanda Coston , Kenneth Holstein , Zhiwei Steven Wu

The likelihood function plays a pivotal role in statistical inference; it is adaptable to a wide range of models and the resultant estimators are known to have good properties. However, these results hinge on correct specification of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

In modern engineering, computer simulations are a popular tool to analyse, design, and optimize systems. Furthermore, concepts of uncertainty and the related reliability analysis and robust design are of increasing importance. Hence, an…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-12 R. Schöbi , B. Sudret

We present a general theory of series-parallel mental architectures with selectively influenced stochastically non-independent components. A mental architecture is a hypothetical network of processes aimed at performing a task, of which we…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-22 Ru Zhang , Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov

Neural network models of language have long been used as a tool for developing hypotheses about conceptual representation in the mind and brain. For many years, such use involved extracting vector-space representations of words and using…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Siddharth Suresh , Kushin Mukherjee , Xizheng Yu , Wei-Chun Huang , Lisa Padua , Timothy T Rogers

Clinical prediction models are developed widely across medical disciplines. When predictors in such models are highly collinear, unexpected or spurious predictor-outcome associations may occur, thereby potentially reducing face-validity and…

While action anticipation has garnered a lot of research interest recently, most of the works focus on anticipating future action directly through observed visual cues only. In this work, we take a step back to analyze how the human…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Akash Gupta , Jingen Liu , Liefeng Bo , Amit K. Roy-Chowdhury , Tao Mei

In this report, we provide a comparative analysis of different techniques for user intent classification towards the task of app recommendation. We analyse the performance of different models and architectures for multi-label classification…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-06-21 Arjun Bhardwaj , Alexander Rudnicky

Recently, significant improvements have been achieved in various natural language processing tasks using neural sequence-to-sequence models. While aiming for the best generation quality is important, ultimately it is also necessary to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-10-07 Jan Niehues , Ngoc-Quan Pham

Designing neural network architectures is a task that lies somewhere between science and art. For a given task, some architectures are eventually preferred over others, based on a mix of intuition, experience, experimentation and luck. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-13 Jonathan Donier

Accurate prediction of users' responses to items is one of the main aims of many computational advising applications. Examples include recommending movies, news articles, songs, jobs, clothes, books and so forth. Accurate prediction of…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-20 Baode Gao , Guangpeng Zhan , Hanzhang Wang , Yiming Wang , Shengxin Zhu

We propose a computational framework to quantify (measure) and to optimize the reliability of complex systems. The approach uses a graph representation of the system that is subject to random failures of its components (nodes and edges).…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-25 Joshua L. Pulsipher , Victor M. Zavala

Log-symmetric regression models are particularly useful when the response variable is continuous, strictly positive and asymmetric. In this paper, we proposed a class of log-symmetric regression models in the context of correlated errors.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-22 Helton Saulo , Roberto Vila

Cluster-weighted modeling (CWM) is a mixture approach for modeling the joint probability of a response variable and a set of explanatory variables. The parameters are estimated by means of the expectation-maximization algorithm according to…

Computation · Statistics 2013-08-09 Salvatore Ingrassia , Simona C. Minotti

Decision theory has become widely accepted in the AI community as a useful framework for planning and decision making. Applying the framework typically requires elicitation of some form of probability and utility information. While much…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Vu A. Ha , Peter Haddawy

This paper describes an architecture that combines the complementary strengths of declarative programming and probabilistic graphical models to enable robots to represent, reason with, and learn from, qualitative and quantitative…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-05-06 Shiqi Zhang , Mohan Sridharan , Michael Gelfond , Jeremy Wyatt

Many machine learning models have important structural tuning parameters that cannot be directly estimated from the data. The common tactic for setting these parameters is to use resampling methods, such as cross--validation or the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-28 Max Kuhn

Qualitative relationships illustrate how changing one property (e.g., moving velocity) affects another (e.g., kinetic energy) and constitutes a considerable portion of textual knowledge. Current approaches use either semantic parsers to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-06-07 Mucheng Ren , Heyan Huang , Yang Gao

Discrete-choice models are used in economics, marketing and revenue management to predict customer purchase probabilities, say as a function of prices and other features of the offered assortment. While they have been shown to be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-11 Hanzhao Wang , Zhongze Cai , Xiaocheng Li , Kalyan Talluri

This paper compares six different parameter estimation methods for shared frailty models via a series of simulation studies. A shared frailty model is a survival model that incorporates a random effect term, where the frailties are common…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Tingxuan Wu , Cindy Feng , Longhai Li