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Earthquake forecasting and prediction have long and in some cases sordid histories but recent work has rekindled interest based on advances in early warning, hazard assessment for induced seismicity and successful prediction of laboratory…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-10-13 Laura Laurenti , Elisa Tinti , Fabio Galasso , Luca Franco , Chris Marone

Analysis of ion-kinetic instabilities in solar wind plasmas is crucial for understanding energetics and dynamics throughout the heliosphere, as evident from spacecraft observations of complex ion velocity distribution functions (VDFs) and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-05-27 Viacheslav M Sadykov , Leon Ofman , Scott A Boardsen , Yogesh , Parisa Mostafavi , Lan K Jian , Kristopher Klein , Mihailo Martinović

Earthquake catalog declustering is the procedure of separating event clusters from background seismicity, which is an important task in statistical seismology, earthquake forecasting, and probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. Several…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-04-14 Robert Shcherbakov , Sidhanth Kothari

The San Andreas Fault system, known for its frequent seismic activity, provides an extensive dataset for earthquake studies. The region's well-instrumented seismic networks have been crucial in advancing research on earthquake statistics,…

Sub-seasonal climate forecasting (SSF) focuses on predicting key climate variables such as temperature and precipitation in the 2-week to 2-month time scales. Skillful SSF would have immense societal value, in areas such as agricultural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Sijie He , Xinyan Li , Timothy DelSole , Pradeep Ravikumar , Arindam Banerjee

Determining earthquake hypocenters and focal mechanisms requires precisely measured P-wave arrival times and first-motion polarities. Automated algorithms for estimating these quantities have been less accurate than estimates by human…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-08-15 Zachary E. Ross , Men-Andrin Meier , Egill Hauksson

In areas with limited station coverage, earthquake depth constraints are much less accurate than their latitude and longitude. Traditional travel-time-based location methods struggle to constrain depths due to imperfect station distribution…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-01-13 Wenda Li , Miao Zhang

Machine learning is becoming increasingly important in scientific and technological progress, due to its ability to create models that describe complex data and generalize well. The wealth of publicly-available seismic data nowadays…

Seismic phase picking, which aims to determine the arrival time of P- and S-waves according to seismic waveforms, is fundamental to earthquake monitoring. Generally, manual phase picking is trustworthy, but with the increasing number of…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-22 Yuchen Wang , Ruihuan Wang

The San Fernando Valley, part of the Los Angeles metropolitan area, is a seismically active urban environment. Large-magnitude earthquakes, such as the 1994 Mw 6.7 Northridge event that occurred on a blind fault beneath the valley, caused…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-05-07 Joses Omojola , Patricia Persaud

The classification of seismic events has been crucial for monitoring underground nuclear explosions and unnatural seismic events as well as natural earthquakes. This research is an attempt to apply different machine learning (ML) algorithms…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-11 Alemayehu Belay Kassa , Mulugeta Tuji Dugda

Tropical cyclones (TCs) rank among the most costly natural disasters in the United States, and accurate forecasts of track and intensity are critical for emergency response. Intensity guidance has improved steadily but slowly, as processes…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-08 Trey McNeely , Ann B. Lee , Kimberly M. Wood , Dorit Hammerling

Without rigorous attention to the completeness of earthquake catalogs, claims of new discoveries or forecasting skills cannot be deemed credible. Therefore, estimating the completeness magnitude (Mc) is a critical step. Among various…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-09-12 Xinyi Wang , Jiawei Li , Ao Feng , Didier Sornette

Natural disasters, such as hurricanes and typhoons, pose significant challenges to public safety and infrastructure. While government agencies rely on multi million dollar UAV systems for storm data collection and disaster response, smaller…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Ahmed A. Elgohary , Benjamin Gwinnell , Josh Augustine

Forecasting fault failure is a fundamental but elusive goal in earthquake science. Here we show that by listening to the acoustic signal emitted by a laboratory fault, machine learning can predict the time remaining before it fails with…

Seismic waves generated by earthquakes consist of multiple phases that carry critical information about Earth's internal structure as they propagate through heterogeneous media. These phases provide constraints from different regions of the…

Reliable earthquake forecasting methods have long been sought after, and so the rise of modern data science techniques raises a new question: does deep learning have the potential to learn this pattern? In this study, we leverage the large…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-06 Jonas Koehler , Wei Li , Johannes Faber , Georg Ruempker , Nishtha Srivastava

We introduce the Anisotropic Clustering of Location Uncertainty Distributions (ACLUD) method to reconstruct active fault networks on the basis of both earthquake locations and their estimated individual uncertainties. After a massive search…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Yaming Wang , Guy Ouillon , Jochen Woessner , Didier Sornette , Stephan Husen

In this paper, a new earthquake location method based on the waveform inversion is proposed. As is known to all, the waveform misfit function is very sensitive to the phase shift between the synthetic waveform signal and the real waveform…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-10-25 Hao Wu , Jing Chen , Xueyuan Huang , Dinghui Yang

Accurate prediction of structural failure modes under seismic excitations is essential for seismic risk and resilience assessment. Traditional simulation-based approaches often result in imbalanced datasets dominated by non-failure or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Jungho Kim , Taeyong Kim