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In many scientific problems such as video surveillance, modern genomics, and finance, data are often collected from diverse measurements across time that exhibit time-dependent heterogeneous properties. Thus, it is important to not only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-10 Lin Qiu , Vernon M. Chinchilli , Lin Lin

We propose the Identifiable Variational Dynamic Factor Model (iVDFM), which learns latent factors from multivariate time series with identifiability guarantees. By applying iVAE-style conditioning to the innovation process driving the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Minkey Chang , Jae-Young Kim

Identifying a linear system model from data has wide applications in control theory. The existing work on finite sample analysis for linear system identification typically uses data from a single system trajectory under i.i.d random inputs,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Lei Xin , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

This paper studies the causal representation learning problem when the latent causal variables are observed indirectly through an unknown linear transformation. The objectives are: (i) recovering the unknown linear transformation (up to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Burak Varici , Emre Acarturk , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Abhishek Kumar , Ali Tajer

Deep latent variable models have achieved significant empirical successes in model-based reinforcement learning (RL) due to their expressiveness in modeling complex transition dynamics. On the other hand, it remains unclear theoretically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Tongzheng Ren , Chenjun Xiao , Tianjun Zhang , Na Li , Zhaoran Wang , Sujay Sanghavi , Dale Schuurmans , Bo Dai

In causal models, a given mechanism is assumed to be invariant to changes of other mechanisms. While this principle has been utilized for inference in settings where the causal variables are observed, theoretical insights when the variables…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-07 Simon Bing , Jonas Wahl , Urmi Ninad , Jakob Runge

Exogenous heterogeneity, for example, in the form of instrumental variables can help us learn a system's underlying causal structure and predict the outcome of unseen intervention experiments. In this paper, we consider linear models in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-21 Niklas Pfister , Jonas Peters

This work primarily focuses on an operator inference methodology aimed at constructing low-dimensional dynamical models based on a priori hypotheses about their structure, often informed by established physics or expert insights. Stability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Igor Pontes Duff , Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

Predictive linear and nonlinear models based on kernel machines or deep neural networks have been used to discover dependencies among time series. This paper proposes an efficient nonlinear modeling approach for multiple time series, with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Kevin Roy , Luis Miguel Lopez-Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

The estimation of static parameters in dynamical systems and control theory has been extensively studied, with significant progress made in estimating varying parameters in specific system types. Suppose, in the general case, we have data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-10 Jamiree Harrison , Enoch Yeung

Interpretable rationales for model predictions play a critical role in practical applications. In this study, we develop models possessing interpretable inference process for structured prediction. Specifically, we present a method of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-05-01 Hiroki Ouchi , Jun Suzuki , Sosuke Kobayashi , Sho Yokoi , Tatsuki Kuribayashi , Ryuto Konno , Kentaro Inui

Model-based reinforcement learning methods typically learn models for high-dimensional state spaces by aiming to reconstruct and predict the original observations. However, drawing inspiration from model-free reinforcement learning, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-10 Aaron Havens , Yi Ouyang , Prabhat Nagarajan , Yasuhiro Fujita

Disentangled Representation Learning aims to improve the explainability of deep learning methods by training a data encoder that identifies semantically meaningful latent variables in the data generation process. Nevertheless, there is no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Ruoyu Wang , Lina Yao

This paper focuses on the identification of graphical autoregressive models with dynamical latent variables. The dynamical structure of latent variables is described by a matrix polynomial transfer function. Taking account of the sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-24 Junyao You , Chengpu Yu

Biological systems commonly exhibit complex spatiotemporal patterns whose underlying generative mechanisms pose a significant analytical challenge. Traditional approaches to spatiodynamic inference rely on dimensionality reduction through…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-01 Jun Won Park , Kangyu Zhao , Sanket Rane

This paper addresses the data-driven identification of latent dynamical representations of partially-observed systems, i.e., dynamical systems for which some components are never observed, with an emphasis on forecasting applications,…

Data-driven, model-free analytics are natural choices for discovery and forecasting of complex, nonlinear systems. Methods that operate in the system state-space require either an explicit multidimensional state-space, or, one approximated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-15 Joseph Park , Gerald M Pao , Erik Stabenau , George Sugihara , Thomas Lorimer

Physically-inspired latent force models offer an interpretable alternative to purely data driven tools for inference in dynamical systems. They carry the structure of differential equations and the flexibility of Gaussian processes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Jacob D. Moss , Felix L. Opolka , Bianca Dumitrascu , Pietro Lió

We consider the problem of parameter estimation using weakly supervised datasets, where a training sample consists of the input and a partially specified annotation, which we refer to as the output. The missing information in the annotation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 M. Pawan Kumar , Ben Packer , Daphne Koller

In this paper we present a fully Bayesian latent variable model which exploits conditional nonlinear(in)-dependence structures to learn an efficient latent representation. The latent space is factorized to represent shared and private…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Andreas Damianou , Carl Ek , Michalis Titsias , Neil Lawrence
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