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Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

Time series prediction with missing values is an important problem of time series analysis since complete data is usually hard to obtain in many real-world applications. To model the generation of time series, autoregressive (AR) model is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-28 Xi Chen , Hongzhi Wang , Yanjie Wei , Jianzhong Li , Hong Gao

Increased use of sensor signals from wearable devices as rich sources of physiological data has sparked growing interest in developing health monitoring systems to identify changes in an individual's health profile. Indeed, machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Magda Amiridi , Gregory Darnell , Sean Jewell

The probability prediction of multivariate time series is a notoriously challenging but practical task. On the one hand, the challenge is how to effectively capture the cross-series correlations between interacting time series, to achieve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-24 Shibo Feng , Chunyan Miao , Ke Xu , Jiaxiang Wu , Pengcheng Wu , Yang Zhang , Peilin Zhao

The effectiveness of univariate forecasting models is often hampered by conditions that cause them stress. A model is considered to be under stress if it shows a negative behaviour, such as higher-than-usual errors or increased uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Ricardo Inácio , Vitor Cerqueira , Marília Barandas , Carlos Soares

This paper addresses the problem of estimating multiplicative fault signals in linear time-invariant systems by processing its input and output variables, as well as designing an input signal to maximize the accuracy of such estimates. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Gabriel de Albuquerque Gleizer , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Tamas Keviczky

In the field of emotion recognition and Human-Machine Interaction (HMI), personalised approaches have exhibited their efficacy in capturing individual-specific characteristics and enhancing affective prediction accuracy. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Munachiso Nwadike , Jialin Li , Hanan Salam

With promising empirical performance across a wide range of applications, synthetic data augmentation appears a viable solution to data scarcity and the demands of increasingly data-intensive models. Its effectiveness lies in expanding the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Zixuan Wu , So Won Jeong , Yating Liu , Yeo Jin Jung , Claire Donnat

Data augmentation is important for improving machine learning model performance when faced with limited real-world data. In time series forecasting (TSF), where accurate predictions are crucial in fields like finance, healthcare, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Dona Arabi , Jafar Bakhshaliyev , Ayse Coskuner , Kiran Madhusudhanan , Kami Serdar Uckardes

Forecasting time series data is a critical area of research with applications spanning from stock prices to early epidemic prediction. While numerous statistical and machine learning methods have been proposed, real-life prediction problems…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-05 Madhurima Panja , Tanujit Chakraborty , Uttam Kumar , Abdenour Hadid

Motivated by electricity consumption metering, we extend existing nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) algorithms to use linear measurements as observations, instead of matrix entries. The objective is to estimate multiple time series at…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-06 Jiali Mei , Yohann De Castro , Yannig Goude , Georges Hébrail

Pretrained large language models (LLMs) are currently state-of-the-art for solving the vast majority of natural language processing tasks. While many real-world applications still require fine-tuning to reach satisfactory levels of…

In this work, we integrate the predictive capabilities of compartmental disease dynamics models with machine learning ability to analyze complex, high-dimensional data and uncover patterns that conventional models may overlook.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Muhammad Awais , Abu Safyan Ali , Giacomo Dimarco , Federica Ferrarese , Lorenzo Pareschi

Data augmentation, by the introduction of auxiliary variables, has become an ubiquitous technique to improve convergence properties, simplify the implementation or reduce the computational time of inference methods such as Markov chain…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-30 Maxime Vono , Nicolas Dobigeon , Pierre Chainais

Data augmentation is an area of research which has seen active development in many machine learning fields, such as in image-based learning models, reinforcement learning for self driving vehicles, and general noise injection for point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-01 Prasad Cheema , Mahito Sugiyama

A Poisson autoregressive (PAR) model accounting for discreteness and autocorrelation of count time series data is typically estimated in the state-space modelling framework through extended Kalman filter. However, because of the complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Paolo Victor T. Redondo , Joseph Ryan G. Lansangan , Erniel B. Barrios

This paper considers the problem of data generation for MPC policy approximation. Learning an approximate MPC policy from expert demonstrations requires a large data set consisting of optimal state-action pairs, sampled across the feasible…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-22 Dinesh Krishnamoorthy

In clinical trials, mixed effects models for repeated measures (MMRM) and pattern mixture models (PMM) are often used to analyze longitudinal continuous outcomes. We describe a simple missing data imputation algorithm for the MMRM that can…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-13 Yongqiang Tang

Real-world time series data that commonly reflect sequential human behavior are often uniquely irregularly sampled and sparse, with highly nonuniform sampling over time and entities. Yet, commonly-used pretraining and augmentation methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Nicasia Beebe-Wang , Sayna Ebrahimi , Jinsung Yoon , Sercan O. Arik , Tomas Pfister

Metaheuristic algorithms are widely used for solving complex optimization problems, yet their effectiveness is often constrained by fixed structures and the need for extensive tuning. The Polymorphic Metaheuristic Framework (PMF) addresses…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Faramarz Safi Esfahani , Ghassan Beydoun , Morteza Saberi , Brad McCusker , Biswajeet Pradhan