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This study presents a comprehensive Bayesian analysis of hotel booking cancellations using PyMC, comparing three model specifications of increasing complexity. We investigate how lead time, special requests, and parking requirements affect…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-02 Yingdong Yang

In this work, we study the use of logistic regression in manufacturing failures detection. As a data set for the analysis, we used the data from Kaggle competition Bosch Production Line Performance. We considered the use of machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-31 B. Pavlyshenko

Like many chronic diseases, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is managed over time at regular clinic visits. At each visit, patient features are assessed, treatments are prescribed, and a subsequent visit is scheduled. There is a need for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-31 Arman Oganisian , Joseph Hogan , Edwin Sang , Allison DeLong , Ben Mosong , Hamish Fraser , Ann Mwangi

In events that are composed by many activities, there is a problem that involves retrieve and management the information of visitors that are visiting the activities. This management is crucial to find some activities that are drawing…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-03-01 Henrique X. Goulart , Guilherme A. Wachs-Lopes

Nowadays, search ranking and recommendation systems rely on a lot of data to train machine learning models such as Learning-to-Rank (LTR) models to rank results for a given query, and implicit user feedbacks (e.g. click data) have become…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-03-02 Yinxiao Li

Online travel agencies (OTA's) advertise their website offers on meta-search bidding engines. The problem of predicting the number of clicks a hotel would receive for a given bid amount is an important step in the management of an OTA's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-27 Çağatay Demirel , A. Aylin Tokuç , Ahmet Tezcan Tekin

Demand estimation plays an important role in dynamic pricing where the optimal price can be obtained via maximizing the revenue based on the demand curve. In online hotel booking platform, the demand or occupancy of rooms varies across…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-12 Fanwei Zhu , Wendong Xiao , Yao Yu , Ziyi Wang , Zulong Chen , Quan Lu , Zemin Liu , Minghui Wu , Shenghua Ni

One of the service providers in the financial service sector, who provide premium service to the customers, wanted to harness the power of data analytics as data mining can uncover valuable insights for better decision making. Therefore,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-20 MA Nang Laik

Model uncertainty is a central challenge in statistical models for binary outcomes such as logistic regression, arising when it is unclear which predictors should be included in the model. Many methods have been proposed to address this…

The Big Data analytics are a logical analysis of very large scale datasets. The data analysis enhances an organization and improve the decision making process. In this article, we present Airline Delay Analysis and Prediction to analyze…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Ripon Patgiri , Sajid Hussain , Aditya Nongmeikapam

Demand forecasting is extremely important in revenue management. After all, it is one of the inputs to an optimisation method which aim is to maximize revenue. Most, if not all, forecasting methods use historical data to forecast the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Daniel Hopman , Ger Koole , Rob van der Mei

Travel behavior prediction is a core problem in transportation demand management and is traditionally addressed using numerical models calibrated on observed data. With recent advances in large language models (LLMs), new opportunities have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Baichuan Mo , Hanyong Xu , Ruoyun Ma , Jung-Hoon Cho , Dingyi Zhuang , Xiaotong Guo , Jinhua Zhao

Predicting if passengers in a connecting flight will lose their connection is paramount for airline profitability. We present novel machine learning-based decision support models for the different stages of connection flight management,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-04 Marta Guimaraes , Claudia Soares , Rodrigo Ventura

Two ideas taken from Bayesian optimization and classifier systems are presented for personnel scheduling based on choosing a suitable scheduling rule from a set for each persons assignment. Unlike our previous work of using genetic…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2010-07-05 Jingpeng Li , Uwe Aickelin

Occupancy models are typically used to determine the probability of a species being present at a given site while accounting for imperfect detection. The survey data underlying these models often include information on several predictors…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-09 Daniel Taylor-Rodriguez , Andrew Womack , Claudio Fuentes , Nikolay Bliznyuk

In the design of clinical trials, it is essential to assess the design operating characteristics (e.g., power and the type I error rate). Common practice for the evaluation of operating characteristics in Bayesian clinical trials relies on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Luke Hagar , Shirin Golchi

Accurate travel products price forecasting is a highly desired feature that allows customers to take informed decisions about purchases, and companies to build and offer attractive tour packages. Thanks to machine learning (ML), it is now…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-10 Rosa Candela , Pietro Michiardi , Maurizio Filippone , Maria A. Zuluaga

We propose a general-purpose approach for improving the ability of large language models (LLMs) to intelligently and adaptively gather information from a user or other external source using the framework of sequential Bayesian experimental…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Deepro Choudhury , Sinead Williamson , Adam Goliński , Ning Miao , Freddie Bickford Smith , Michael Kirchhof , Yizhe Zhang , Tom Rainforth

Despite an extensive literature has been devoted to mine and model mobility features, forecasting where, when and whom people will encounter/colocate still deserve further research efforts. Forecasting people's encounter and colocation…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-10-07 Karim Karamat Jahromi , Matteo Zignani , Sabrina Gaito , Gian Paolo Rossi

Modern Internet services, such as those at Google, Yahoo!, and Amazon, handle billions of requests per day on clusters of thousands of computers. Because these services operate under strict performance requirements, a statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-04-18 Charles Sutton , Michael I. Jordan
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