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Regional rainfall-runoff modeling is an old but still mostly out-standing problem in Hydrological Sciences. The problem currently is that traditional hydrological models degrade significantly in performance when calibrated for multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Frederik Kratzert , Daniel Klotz , Guy Shalev , Günter Klambauer , Sepp Hochreiter , Grey Nearing

Long Short-Term Memory Networks (LSTMs) have been applied to daily discharge prediction with remarkable success. Many practical scenarios, however, require predictions at more granular timescales. For instance, accurate prediction of short…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Martin Gauch , Frederik Kratzert , Daniel Klotz , Grey Nearing , Jimmy Lin , Sepp Hochreiter

Despite the huge success of Long Short-Term Memory networks, their applications in environmental sciences are scarce. We argue that one reason is the difficulty to interpret the internals of trained networks. In this study, we look at the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-13 Frederik Kratzert , Mathew Herrnegger , Daniel Klotz , Sepp Hochreiter , Günter Klambauer

Accurate and efficient models for rainfall runoff (RR) simulations are crucial for flood risk management. Most rainfall models in use today are process-driven; i.e. they solve either simplified empirical formulas or some variation of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-15 Wei Li , Amin Kiaghadi , Clint N. Dawson

Robust hydrological simulation is key for sustainable development, water management strategies, and climate change adaptation. In recent years, deep learning methods have been demonstrated to outperform mechanistic models at the task of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 James Tlhomole , Edoardo Borgomeo , Karthikeyan Matheswaran , Mariangel Garcia Andarcia

Streamflow forecasting is key to effectively managing water resources and preparing for the occurrence of natural calamities being exacerbated by climate change. Here we use the concept of fast and slow flow components to create a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Miguel Paredes Quiñones , Maciel Zortea , Leonardo S. A. Martins

Stream-flow forecasting for small rivers has always been of great importance, yet comparatively challenging due to the special features of rivers with smaller volume. Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods have been employed in this area for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-17 Youchuan Hu , Le Yan , Tingting Hang , Jun Feng

Time series prediction can be generalized as a process that extracts useful information from historical records and then determines future values. Learning long-range dependencies that are embedded in time series is often an obstacle for…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-10-25 Yuxiu Hua , Zhifeng Zhao , Rongpeng Li , Xianfu Chen , Zhiming Liu , Honggang Zhang

Effective water resource management requires information on water availability, both in terms of quality and quantity, spatially and temporally. In this paper, we study the methodology behind Transfer Learning (TL) through fine-tuning and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Roland Oruche , Lisa Egede , Tracy Baker , Fearghal O'Donncha

Climate change affects occurrences of floods and droughts worldwide. However, predicting climate impacts over individual watersheds is difficult, primarily because accurate hydrological forecasts require models that are calibrated to past…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Frederik Kratzert , Daniel Klotz , Johannes Brandstetter , Pieter-Jan Hoedt , Grey Nearing , Sepp Hochreiter

Predictions of hydrologic variables across the entire water cycle have significant value for water resource management as well as downstream applications such as ecosystem and water quality modeling. Recently, purely data-driven deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Dapeng Feng , Jiangtao Liu , Kathryn Lawson , Chaopeng Shen

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network models have become the cornerstone for sequential data modeling in numerous applications, ranging from natural language processing to time series forecasting. Despite their success, the problem…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Fahad Mostafa

Accurate electrical load forecasting is of great importance for the efficient operation and control of modern power systems. In this work, a hybrid long short-term memory (LSTM)-based model with online correction is developed for day-ahead…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-07 Nan Lu , Quan Ouyang , Yang Li , Changfu Zou

State-of-the-art forecasting methods using Recurrent Neural Net- works (RNN) based on Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) cells have shown exceptional performance targeting short-horizon forecasts, e.g given a set of predictor features, forecast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-19 Aya Abdelsalam Ismail , Timothy Wood , Héctor Corrada Bravo

A reliable forecast of inflows to the reservoir is a key factor in the optimal operation of reservoirs. Real-time operation of the reservoir based on forecasts of inflows can lead to substantial economic gains. However, the forecast of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Asha Devi Singh , Anurag Singh

We introduce a data-driven forecasting method for high-dimensional chaotic systems using long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks. The proposed LSTM neural networks perform inference of high-dimensional dynamical systems in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-20 Pantelis R. Vlachas , Wonmin Byeon , Zhong Y. Wan , Themistoklis P. Sapsis , Petros Koumoutsakos

Accurately forecasting long-term atmospheric variables remains a defining challenge in meteorological science due to the chaotic nature of atmospheric systems. Temperature data represents a complex superposition of deterministic cyclical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Shreyas Rajeev , Karthik Mudenahalli Ashoka , Amit Mallappa Tiparaddi

Hybrid methods have been shown to outperform pure statistical and pure deep learning methods at forecasting tasks and quantifying the associated uncertainty with those forecasts (prediction intervals). One example is Exponential Smoothing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-17 Thabang Mathonsi , Terence L. van Zyl

Most electricity systems worldwide are deploying advanced metering infrastructures to collect relevant operational data. In particular, smart meters allow tracking electricity load consumption at a very disaggregated level and at high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-09 Andrés M. Alonso , F. Javier Nogales , Carlos Ruiz

Precisely forecasting wind speed is essential for wind power producers and grid operators. However, this task is challenging due to the stochasticity of wind speed. To accurately predict short-term wind speed under uncertainties, this paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-27 Sisheng Liang , Long Nguyen , Fang Jin
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