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Recently artificial neural networks (ANNs) have seen success in volatility prediction, but the literature is divided on where an ANN should be used rather than the common GARCH model. The purpose of this study is to compare the volatility…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-19 Curtis Nybo

In an environment of increasingly volatile financial markets, the accurate estimation of risk remains a major challenge. Traditional econometric models, such as GARCH and its variants, are based on assumptions that are often too rigid to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Fredy Pokou , Jules Sadefo Kamdem , François Benhmad

Stock trading has always been a key economic indicator in modern society and a primary source of profit for financial giants such as investment banks, quantitative trading firms, and hedge funds. Discovering the underlying patterns within…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Fang Liu , Shaobo Guo , Qianwen Xing , Xinye Sha , Ying Chen , Yuhui Jin , Qi Zheng , Chang Yu

Time series forecasting has seen many methods attempted over the past few decades, including traditional technical analysis, algorithmic statistical models, and more recent machine learning and artificial intelligence approaches. Recently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Harshal Patel , Bharath Kumar Bolla , Sabeesh E , Dinesh Reddy

With the volatile and complex nature of financial data influenced by external factors, forecasting the stock market is challenging. Traditional models such as ARIMA and GARCH perform well with linear data but struggle with non-linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-30 Prashant Pilla , Raji Mekonen

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan

Volatility, as a measure of uncertainty, plays a crucial role in numerous financial activities such as risk management. The Econometrics and Machine Learning communities have developed two distinct approaches for financial volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Pengfei Zhao , Haoren Zhu , Wilfred Siu Hung NG , Dik Lun Lee

Volatility, which indicates the dispersion of returns, is a crucial measure of risk and is hence used extensively for pricing and discriminating between different financial investments. As a result, accurate volatility prediction receives…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-02 Zeda Xu , John Liechty , Sebastian Benthall , Nicholas Skar-Gislinge , Christopher McComb

This report presents a comprehensive evaluation of three Value-at-Risk (VaR) modeling approaches: Historical Simulation (HS), GARCH with Normal approximation (GARCH-N), and GARCH with Filtered Historical Simulation (FHS), using both…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-06 Xin Tian

Financial markets are highly complex and volatile; thus, learning about such markets for the sake of making predictions is vital to make early alerts about crashes and subsequent recoveries. People have been using learning tools from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Kelum Gajamannage , Yonggi Park

This study analyzes the transmission of market uncertainty on key European financial markets and the cryptocurrency market over an extended period, encompassing the pre, during, and post-pandemic periods. Daily financial market indices and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-26 Apostolos Ampountolas

This thesis serves three primary purposes, first of which is to forecast two stocks, i.e. Goldman Sachs (GS) and General Electric (GE). In order to forecast stock prices, we used a long short-term memory (LSTM) model in which we inputted…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-01 Hamed Vaheb

This paper applies a recurrent neural network (RNN) method to forecast cotton and oil prices. We show how these new tools from machine learning, particularly Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) models, complement traditional methods. Our results…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Racine Ly , Fousseini Traore , Khadim Dia

A comparative analysis of deep learning models and traditional statistical methods for stock price prediction uses data from the Nigerian stock exchange. Historical data, including daily prices and trading volumes, are employed to implement…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-11 Opeyemi Sheu Alamu , Md Kamrul Siam

Volatility clustering is a crucial property that has a substantial impact on stock market patterns. Nonetheless, developing robust models for accurately predicting future stock price volatility is a difficult research topic. For predicting…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-20 Ananda Chatterjee , Hrisav Bhowmick , Jaydip Sen

The prediction of stock price movement direction is significant in financial circles and academic. Stock price contains complex, incomplete, and fuzzy information which makes it an extremely difficult task to predict its development trend.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-09 Ashish Kumar , Abeer Alsadoon , P. W. C. Prasad , Salma Abdullah , Tarik A. Rashid , Duong Thu Hang Pham , Tran Quoc Vinh Nguyen

Predicting a fast and accurate model for stock price forecasting is been a challenging task and this is an active area of research where it is yet to be found which is the best way to forecast the stock price. Machine learning, deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Himanshu Gupta , Aditya Jaiswal

Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) have been employed for a range of modelling and prediction tasks using financial data. However, evidence on their predictive performance, especially for time-series data, has been mixed. Whereas some…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-17 Philipp Ratz

In this paper, researchers estimated the stock price of activated companies in Tehran (Iran) stock exchange. It is used Linear Regression and Artificial Neural Network methods and compared these two methods. In Artificial Neural Network, of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2010-03-16 Reza Gharoie Ahangar , Mahmood Yahyazadehfar , Hassan Pournaghshband

This work aims to implement Long Short-Term Memory mixture density networks (LSTM-MDNs) for Value-at-Risk forecasting and compare their performance with established models (historical simulation, CMM, and GARCH) using a defined backtesting…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-03 Nico Herrig
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