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Recommendation models trained on the user feedback collected from deployed recommendation systems are commonly biased. User feedback is considerably affected by the exposure mechanism, as users only provide feedback on the items exposed to…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Hangtong Xu , Yuanbo Xu , Yongjian Yang , Fuzhen Zhuang , Hui Xiong

To estimate the dynamic effects of an absorbing treatment, researchers often use two-way fixed effects regressions that include leads and lags of the treatment. We show that in settings with variation in treatment timing across units, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-24 Liyang Sun , Sarah Abraham

Active learning is a powerful tool when labelling data is expensive, but it introduces a bias because the training data no longer follows the population distribution. We formalize this bias and investigate the situations in which it can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-01 Sebastian Farquhar , Yarin Gal , Tom Rainforth

Delays and stochasticity have both served as crucially valuable ingredients in mathematical descriptions of control, physical, and biological systems. In this work, we investigate how explicitly dynamical stochasticity in delays modulates…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-10 Bhargav R. Karamched , Christopher E. Miles

Bayesian model averaging has become a widely used approach to accounting for uncertainty about the structural form of the model generating the data. When data arrive sequentially and the generating model can change over time, Dynamic Model…

Computation · Statistics 2014-10-30 Luca Onorante , Adrian E. Raftery

eCommerce transaction frauds keep changing rapidly. This is the major issue that prevents eCommerce merchants having a robust machine learning model for fraudulent transactions detection. The root cause of this problem is that rapid…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-11 Huiying Mao , Yung-wen Liu , Yuting Jia , Jay Nanduri

Using a stochastic nonlinear phase oscillator model, we study the effect of event-triggered feedback on the statistics of interevent intervals. Events are associated with the entering of a new cycle. The feedback is modeled by an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-18 Justus A. Kromer , Benjamin Lindner , Lutz Schimansky-Geier

Dynamic input-output models are standard tools for understanding inter-industry dependencies and how economies respond to shocks like disasters and pandemics. However, traditional approaches often assume fixed prices, limiting their ability…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-16 Jan Hurt , Stefan Thurner , Peter Klimek

Machine learning systems often acquire biases by leveraging undesired features in the data, impacting accuracy variably across different sub-populations. Current understanding of bias formation mostly focuses on the initial and final stages…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Anchit Jain , Rozhin Nobahari , Aristide Baratin , Stefano Sarao Mannelli

Nonseparable panel models are important in a variety of economic settings, including discrete choice. This paper gives identification and estimation results for nonseparable models under time homogeneity conditions that are like "time is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-08 Victor Chernozhukov , Ivan Fernandez-Val , Jinyong Hahn , Whitney Newey

This paper extends the literature on the theoretical properties of synthetic controls to the case of non-linear generative models, showing that the synthetic control estimator is generally biased in such settings. I derive a lower bound for…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-23 Oscar Engelbrektson

Estimation and inference in dynamic discrete choice models often relies on approximation to lower the computational burden of dynamic programming. Unfortunately, the use of approximation can impart substantial bias in estimation and results…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-23 Ben Deaner

We study noise sensitivity of the consensus opinion of the voter model on finite graphs, with respect to noise affecting the initial opinions and noise affecting the dynamics. We prove that the final opinion is stable with respect to small…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-11 Gideon Amir , Omer Angel , Rangel Baldasso , Ron Peretz

One of the most popular methods of controlling dynamical systems is feedback. It can be used without acquiring detailed knowledge of the underlying system. In this work, we study the stability of fractional-order linear difference equations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Divya D. Joshi , Sachin Bhalekar , Prashant M. Gade

Action recognition models rely excessively on static cues rather than dynamic human motion, which is known as static bias. This bias leads to poor performance in real-world applications and zero-shot action recognition. In this paper, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Masato Kobayashi , Ning Ding , Toru Tamaki

Power system dynamic state estimation (DSE) remains an active research area. This is driven by the absence of accurate models, the increasing availability of fast-sampled, time-synchronized measurements, and the advances in the capability,…

This paper proposes a variational Bayes algorithm for computationally efficient posterior and predictive inference in time-varying parameter (TVP) models. Within this context we specify a new dynamic variable/model selection strategy for…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Gary Koop , Dimitris Korobilis

This paper develops a Mean Group Instrumental Variables (MGIV) estimator for spatial dynamic panel data models with interactive effects, under large N and T asymptotics. Unlike existing approaches that typically impose slope-parameter…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-31 Jia Chen , Guowei Cui , Vasilis Sarafidis , Takashi Yamagata

Recent FDA guidance on adaptive clinical trial designs defines bias as "a systematic tendency for the estimate of treatment effect to deviate from its true value", and states that it is desirable to obtain and report estimates of treatment…

Dynamic vision sensor event cameras produce a variable data rate stream of brightness change events. Event production at the pixel level is controlled by threshold, bandwidth, and refractory period bias current parameter settings. Biases…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Tobi Delbruck , Rui Graca , Marcin Paluch