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As autonomous driving technology progresses, the need for precise trajectory prediction models becomes paramount. This paper introduces an innovative model that infuses cognitive insights into trajectory prediction, focusing on perceived…

Learning dynamical systems from sparse observations is critical in numerous fields, including biology, finance, and physics. Even if tackling such problems is standard in general information fusion, it remains challenging for contemporary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Ella Tamir , Arno Solin

Accurate prediction of human or vehicle trajectories with good diversity that captures their stochastic nature is an essential task for many applications. However, many trajectory prediction models produce unreasonable trajectory samples…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Qingze , Liu , Danrui Li , Samuel S. Sohn , Sejong Yoon , Mubbasir Kapadia , Vladimir Pavlovic

Autonomous systems, like vehicles or robots, require reliable, accurate, fast, resource-efficient, scalable, and low-latency trajectory predictions to get initial knowledge about future locations and movements of surrounding objects for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Manuel Hetzel , Hannes Reichert , Konrad Doll , Bernhard Sick

Accurate motion prediction of surrounding traffic participants is crucial for the safe and efficient operation of automated vehicles in dynamic environments. Marginal prediction models commonly forecast each agent's future trajectories…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Fabian Konstantinidis , Ariel Dallari Guerreiro , Raphael Trumpp , Moritz Sackmann , Ulrich Hofmann , Marco Caccamo , Christoph Stiller

Predicting the motion of a driver's vehicle is crucial for advanced driving systems, enabling detection of potential risks towards shared control between the driver and automation systems. In this paper, we propose a variational neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Xin Huang , Stephen McGill , Brian C. Williams , Luke Fletcher , Guy Rosman

Traffic simulators are widely used to study the operational efficiency of road infrastructure, but their rule-based approach limits their ability to mimic real-world driving behavior. Traffic intersections are critical components of the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Yash Ranjan , Rahul Sengupta , Anand Rangarajan , Sanjay Ranka

Sampling-based motion planning techniques have emerged as an efficient algorithmic paradigm for solving complex motion planning problems. These approaches use a set of probing samples to construct an implicit graph representation of the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-10-10 Brian Ichter , Edward Schmerling , Tsang-Wei Edward Lee , Aleksandra Faust

Trajectory prediction and planning are essential for autonomous vehicles to navigate safely and efficiently in dynamic environments. Traditional approaches often treat them separately, limiting the ability for interactive planning. While…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Anjian Li , Sangjae Bae , David Isele , Ryne Beeson , Faizan M. Tariq

Accurate trajectory prediction of vehicles is essential for reliable autonomous driving. To maintain consistent performance as a vehicle driving around different cities, it is crucial to adapt to changing traffic circumstances and achieve…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Peng Bao , Zonghai Chen , Jikai Wang , Deyun Dai , Hao Zhao

Accurate trajectory prediction of vehicles at roundabouts is critical for reducing traffic accidents, yet it remains highly challenging due to their circular road geometry, continuous merging and yielding interactions, and absence of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Xiaotong Zhou , Zhenhui Yuan , Yi Han , Tianhua Xu , Laurence T. Yang

We present analysis techniques for large trajectory data sets that aim to provide a semantic understanding of trajectories reaching beyond them being point sequences in time and space. The presented techniques use a driving preference model…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-11-12 Florian Barth , Stefan Funke , Tobias Skovgaard Jepsen , Claudius Proissl

Developing autonomous vehicles (AVs) helps improve the road safety and traffic efficiency of intelligent transportation systems (ITS). Accurately predicting the trajectories of traffic participants is essential to the decision-making and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-22 Yunlong Lin , Zirui Li , Cheng Gong , Chao Lu , Xinwei Wang , Jianwei Gong

Trajectory prediction is a fundamental problem and challenge for autonomous vehicles. Early works mainly focused on designing complicated architectures for deep-learning-based prediction models in normal-illumination environments, which…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Hailong Gong , Zirui Li , Chao Lu , Guodong Du , Jianwei Gong

Automated Vehicle (AV) validation based on simulated testing requires unbiased evaluation and high efficiency. One effective solution is to increase the exposure to risky rare events while reweighting the probability measure. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Yichun Ye , He Zhang , Ye Tian , Jian Sun , Karl Meinke

In normal on-road situations, autonomous vehicles will be expected to have smooth trajectories with relatively little demand on the vehicle dynamics to ensure passenger comfort and driving safety. However, the occurrence of unexpected…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-06-26 Florent Altché , Philip Polack , Arnaud de La Fortelle

Solving decision problems in complex, stochastic environments is often achieved by estimating the expected outcome of decisions via Monte Carlo sampling. However, sampling may overlook rare, but important events, which can severely impact…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-16 Lachlan Gibson , Marcus Hoerger , Dirk Kroese

By framing reinforcement learning as a sequence modeling problem, recent work has enabled the use of generative models, such as diffusion models, for planning. While these models are effective in predicting long-horizon state trajectories…

This study addresses the challenge of estimating traffic states for road links. We propose an innovative approach that leverages partial trajectory data captured by camera-equipped probe vehicles traveling in the opposite lane. The…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-02 Tanay Rastogi , Michele D. Simoni , Anders Karlström

We consider the problem of trajectory planning in an environment comprised of a set of obstacles with uncertain locations. While previous approaches model the uncertainties with a prescribed Gaussian distribution, we consider the realistic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Vasileios Lefkopoulos , Maryam Kamgarpour