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In this paper, I try to tame "Basu's elephants" (data with extreme selection on observables). I propose new practical large-sample and finite-sample methods for estimating and inferring heterogeneous causal effects (under unconfoundedness)…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-20 Ganesh Karapakula

The error threshold of a one-parameter family of quantum channels is defined as the largest noise level such that the quantum capacity of the channel remains positive. This in turn guarantees the existence of a quantum error correction code…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-10-29 Johannes Bausch , Felix Leditzky

In oncology, conduct well-powered time-to-event randomized clinical trials may be challenging due to limited patietns number. Many designs for single-arm trials (SATs) have recently emerged as an alternative to overcome this issue. They…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-10 Chloé Szurewsky , Guosheng Yin , Gwénaël Le Teuff

Despite their success, modern language models are fragile. Even small changes in their training pipeline can lead to unexpected results. We study this phenomenon by examining the robustness of ALBERT (arXiv:1909.11942) in combination with…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-11-19 Urja Khurana , Eric Nalisnick , Antske Fokkens

While the inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) is a commonly used approach for treatment comparisons in observational data, the resulting estimates may be subject to bias and excessively large variance when there is lack of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Zhiqiang Cao , Lama Ghazi , Claudia Mastrogiacomo , Laura Forastiere , F. Perry Wilson , Fan Li

We propose an optimal sequential methodology for obtaining confidence intervals for a binomial proportion $\theta$. Assuming that an i.i.d. random sequence of Benoulli($\theta$) trials is observed sequentially, we are interested in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-21 Tony Yaacoub , George V. Moustakides , Yajun Mei

Identifying the relevant variables for a classification model with correct confidence levels is a central but difficult task in high-dimension. Despite the core role of sparse logistic regression in statistics and machine learning, it still…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-31 Binh T. Nguyen , Bertrand Thirion , Sylvain Arlot

Random constraint satisfaction problems (CSPs) such as random $3$-SAT are conjectured to be computationally intractable. The average case hardness of random $3$-SAT and other CSPs has broad and far-reaching implications on problems in…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2019-11-11 Jonah Brown-Cohen , Prasad Raghavendra

Under interpolation-type assumptions such as the strong growth condition, stochastic optimization methods can attain convergence rates comparable to full-batch methods, but their performance, particularly for SGD, remains highly sensitive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Aike Yang , Hao Wang

This paper provides a statistical analysis of high-dimensional batch Reinforcement Learning (RL) using sparse linear function approximation. When there is a large number of candidate features, our result sheds light on the fact that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Botao Hao , Yaqi Duan , Tor Lattimore , Csaba Szepesvári , Mengdi Wang

When modifying existing policies in high-risk settings, it is often necessary to ensure with high certainty that the newly proposed policy improves upon a baseline, such as the status quo. In this work, we consider the problem of safe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Brian M Cho , Ana-Roxana Pop , Kyra Gan , Sam Corbett-Davies , Israel Nir , Ariel Evnine , Nathan Kallus

In multiple testing scenarios, typically the sign of a parameter is inferred when its estimate exceeds some significance threshold in absolute value. Typically, the significance threshold is chosen to control the experimentwise type I error…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-03 Chaoyu Yu , Peter D. Hoff

We introduce sequential analysis in quantum information processing, by focusing on the fundamental task of quantum hypothesis testing. In particular our goal is to discriminate between two arbitrary quantum states with a prescribed error…

A default assumption in many machine learning scenarios is that the training and test samples are drawn from the same probability distribution. However, such an assumption is often violated in the real world due to non-stationarity of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Tianyi Zhang , Ikko Yamane , Nan Lu , Masashi Sugiyama

This study develops a higher-order asymptotic framework for test-time adaptation (TTA) of Batch Normalization (BN) statistics under distribution shift by integrating classical Edgeworth expansion and saddlepoint approximation techniques…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-23 Masanari Kimura

Control rate regression is a diffuse approach to account for heterogeneity among studies in meta-analysis by including information about the outcome risk of patients in the control condition. Correcting for the presence of measurement error…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-29 Annamaria Guolo

In this paper, we deal with problems of testing hypotheses in the framework of sequential statistical analysis. The main concern is the optimal design and performance evaluation of sampling plans in the Kiefer-Weiss problems. For the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-05 Andrey Novikov Fahil Farkhshatov

In the binary hypothesis testing problem, it is well known that sequentiality in taking samples eradicates the trade-off between two error exponents, yet implementing the optimal test requires the knowledge of the underlying distributions,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Ching-Fang Li , I-Hsiang Wang

In this work, we revisit the problem of active sequential prediction-powered mean estimation, where at each round one must decide the query probability of the ground-truth label upon observing the covariates of a sample. Furthermore, if the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Maria-Eleni Sfyraki , Jun-Kun Wang

Phase retrieval (PR) is a popular research topic in signal processing and machine learning. However, its performance degrades significantly when the measurements are corrupted by noise or outliers. To address this limitation, we propose a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Jun Fan , Ailing Yan , Xianchao Xiu , Wanquan Liu
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