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Probabilistic forecasting is crucial for real-world spatiotemporal systems, such as climate, energy, and urban environments, where quantifying uncertainty is essential for informed, risk-aware decision-making. While diffusion models have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Zhi Sheng , Yuan Yuan , Yudi Zhang , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

Trajectory prediction is a cornerstone in autonomous driving (AD), playing a critical role in enabling vehicles to navigate safely and efficiently in dynamic environments. To address this task, this paper presents a novel trajectory…

Efficient and accurate incident prediction in spatio-temporal systems is critical to minimize service downtime and optimize performance. This work aims to utilize historic data to predict and diagnose incidents using spatio-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Shreshth Tuli , Matthew R. Wilkinson , Chris Kettell

Stochastic reduced-order models are widely used to represent the effective dynamics of complex systems, but estimating their drift and diffusion coefficients from data remains challenging. Standard approaches often rely on short-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini

We present a stochastic method for reconstructing missing spatial and velocity data along the trajectories of small objects passively advected by turbulent flows with a wide range of temporal or spatial scales, such as small balloons in the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-14 Tianyi Li , Luca Biferale , Fabio Bonaccorso , Michele Buzzicotti , Luca Centurioni

Diffusion models have achieved remarkable progress in high-fidelity image, video, and audio generation, yet inference remains computationally expensive. Nevertheless, current diffusion acceleration methods based on distributed parallelism…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Euisoo Jung , Byunghyun Kim , Hyunjin Kim , Seonghye Cho , Jae-Gil Lee

This paper studies a stochastic model that describes the evolution of vehicle densities in a road network. It is consistent with the class of (deterministic) kinematic wave models, which describe traffic flows on the basis of conservation…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Michel Mandjes , Jaap Storm

We discuss a connection between a generative model, called the diffusion model, and nonequilibrium thermodynamics for the Fokker-Planck equation, called stochastic thermodynamics. Using techniques from stochastic thermodynamics, we derive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-04 Kotaro Ikeda , Tomoya Uda , Daisuke Okanohara , Sosuke Ito

Advancements in mobility services, navigation systems, and smart transportation technologies have made it possible to collect large amounts of path data. Modeling the distribution of this path data, known as the Path Generation (PG)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Dingyuan Shi , Lulu Zhang , Yongxin Tong , Ke Xu

Effective management of environmental resources and agricultural sustainability heavily depends on accurate soil moisture data. However, datasets like the SMAP/Sentinel-1 soil moisture product often contain missing values across their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Kehui Yao , Jingyi Huang , Jun Zhu

Accurate traffic forecasting is a fundamental problem in intelligent transportation systems and learning long-range traffic representations with key information through spatiotemporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) is a basic assumption of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Qinyao Luo , Silu He , Xing Han , Yuhan Wang , Haifeng Li

We propose a quantitative approach for calibrating and validating key features of traffic instabilities based on speed time series obtained from aggregated data of a series of neighboring stationary detectors. We apply the proposed criteria…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-08-11 Martin Treiber , Arne Kesting

Trajectory prediction is a fundamental task in Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) and Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), supporting efficient motion planning and real-time traffic safety management. Diffusion models have recently demonstrated…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Bingzhang Wang , Kehua Chen , Yinhai Wang

This work addresses the task of modeling spatiotemporal traffic patterns directly from overhead imagery, which we refer to as image-driven traffic modeling. We extend this line of work and introduce a multi-modal, multi-task…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Scott Workman , Armin Hadzic

Diffusion models have been widely used in time series and spatio-temporal data, enhancing generative, inferential, and downstream capabilities. These models are applied across diverse fields such as healthcare, recommendation, climate,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Yiyuan Yang , Ming Jin , Haomin Wen , Chaoli Zhang , Yuxuan Liang , Lintao Ma , Yi Wang , Chenghao Liu , Bin Yang , Zenglin Xu , Shirui Pan , Qingsong Wen

Predicting spatio-temporal traffic flow presents significant challenges due to complex interactions between spatial and temporal factors. Existing approaches often address these dimensions in isolation, neglecting their critical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-15 Weilin Ruan , Wenzhuo Wang , Siru Zhong , Wei Chen , Li Liu , Yuxuan Liang

Diffusion models suffer from slow sample generation at inference time. Therefore, developing a principled framework for fast deterministic/stochastic sampling for a broader class of diffusion models is a promising direction. We propose two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-13 Kushagra Pandey , Maja Rudolph , Stephan Mandt

This work presents a diffusion transformer framework for data-driven structural topology optimization that combines the accuracy of physics-based methods with the efficiency of generative deep learning. Conventional approaches such as the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Aaron Lutheran , Srijan Das , Alireza Tabarraei

Inferring a diffusion equation from discretely-observed measurements is a statistical challenge of significant importance in a variety of fields, from single-molecule tracking in biophysical systems to modeling financial instruments.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-12 Yinuo Ren , Yiping Lu , Lexing Ying , Grant M. Rotskoff

The dynamic Schr\"odinger bridge problem provides an appealing setting for solving constrained time-series data generation tasks posed as optimal transport problems. It consists of learning non-linear diffusion processes using efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Ella Tamir , Martin Trapp , Arno Solin