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Due to their flexibility and superior performance, machine learning models frequently complement and outperform traditional statistical survival models. However, their widespread adoption is hindered by a lack of user-friendly tools to…

There has been increased interest in the use of historical data to formulate informative priors in regression models. While many such priors for incorporating historical data have been proposed, adoption is limited due to access to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-26 Ethan M. Alt , Xinxin Chen , Luiz M. Carvalho , Joseph G. Ibrahim

This paper deals with inference and prediction for multiple correlated time series, where one has also the choice of using a candidate pool of contemporaneous predictors for each target series. Starting with a structural model for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-20 S. Rao Jammalamadaka , Jinwen Qiu , Ning Ning

Statistical procedures such as Bayes factor model selection and Bayesian model averaging require the computation of normalizing constants (e.g., marginal likelihoods). These normalizing constants are notoriously difficult to obtain, as they…

Computation · Statistics 2018-09-19 Quentin F. Gronau , Henrik Singmann , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Research in psychology generates interesting data sets and unique statistical modelling tasks. However, these tasks, while important, are often very specific, so appropriate statistical models and methods cannot be found in accessible…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-04 Jure Demšar , Grega Repovš , Erik Štrumbelj

Propensity score weighting is an important tool for comparative effectiveness research.Besides the inverse probability of treatment weights (IPW), recent development has introduced a general class of balancing weights, corresponding to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-05 Tianhui Zhou , Guangyu Tong , Fan Li , Laine E. Thomas , Fan Li

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) are a powerful ensemble learning technique for modeling nonlinear regression functions. Although initially BART was proposed for predicting only continuous and binary response variables, over the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Enakshi Saha

Most estimates for penalised linear regression can be viewed as posterior modes for an appropriate choice of prior distribution. Bayesian shrinkage methods, particularly the horseshoe estimator, have recently attracted a great deal of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-06 Zemei Xu , Daniel F. Schmidt , Enes Makalic , Guoqi Qian , John L. Hopper

Spatio-temporal models are widely used in many research areas from ecology to epidemiology. However, most covariance functions describe spatial relationships based on Euclidean distance only. In this paper, we introduce the R package…

Many economic variables feature changes in their conditional mean and volatility, and Time Varying Vector Autoregressive Models are often used to handle such complexity in the data. Unfortunately, when the number of series grows, they…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-19 G. Cubadda , S. Grassi , B. Guardabascio

The R package BiDAG implements Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for structure learning and sampling of Bayesian networks. The package includes tools to search for a maximum a posteriori (MAP) graph and to sample graphs from the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Polina Suter , Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa , Niko Beerenwinkel

Modern analysis of high energy physics (HEP) data needs advanced statistical tools to separate signal from background. A C++ package has been implemented to provide such tools for the HEP community. The package includes linear and quadratic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 I. Narsky

Probabilistic programming methods have revolutionised Bayesian inference, making it easier than ever for practitioners to perform Markov-chain-Monte-Carlo sampling from non-conjugate posterior distributions. Here we focus on Stan, arguably…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-10 Clemens Pichler , Jack Jewson , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco

The package fnets for the R language implements the suite of methodologies proposed by Barigozzi et al. (2022) for the network estimation and forecasting of high-dimensional time series under a factor-adjusted vector autoregressive model,…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-06 Dom Owens , Haeran Cho , Matteo Barigozzi

The R package stochvol provides a fully Bayesian implementation of heteroskedasticity modeling within the framework of stochastic volatility. It utilizes Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers to conduct inference by obtaining draws from…

Computation · Statistics 2019-07-01 Gregor Kastner

The software package $\texttt{mstate}$, in articulation with the package $\texttt{survival}$, provides not only a well-established multi-state survival analysis framework in R, but also one of the most complete, as it includes point and…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-21 Rui J. Costa , Moritz Gerstung

Spatial statistics is a growing discipline providing important analytical techniques in a wide range of disciplines in the natural and social sciences. In the R package GWmodel, we introduce techniques from a particular branch of spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-18 Isabella Gollini , Binbin Lu , Martin Charlton , Christopher Brunsdon , Paul Harris

Regression analysis is used for prediction and to understand the effect of independent variables on dependent variables. Symbolic regression (SR) automates the search for non-linear regression models, delivering a set of hypotheses that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Fabricio Olivetti de Franca , Gabriel Kronberger

Bayesian hierarchical models are increasing popular in economics. When using hierarchical models, it is useful not only to calculate posterior expectations, but also to measure the robustness of these expectations to reasonable alternative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-24 Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick , Rachael Meager , Jonathan Huggins , Michael Jordan

We combine Bayesian prediction and weighted inference as a unified approach to survey inference. The general principles of Bayesian analysis imply that models for survey outcomes should be conditional on all variables that affect the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Rob Trangucci , Jonah Sol Gabry , Andrew Gelman
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