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Short-term forecasting of residential electricity demand is an important task for utilities. Yet, many small and medium-sized utilities still use simple forecasting approaches such as Synthesized Load Profiles, which treat residential…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Daniel R. Bayer , Felix Haag , Marco Pruckner , Konstantin Hopf

The increasing global demand for clean and environmentally friendly energy resources has caused increased interest in harnessing solar power through photovoltaic (PV) systems for smart grids and homes. However, the inherent unpredictability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Saman Soleymani , Shima Mohammadzadeh

Since the depletion of fossil fuels, the world has started to rely heavily on renewable sources of energy. With every passing year, our dependency on the renewable sources of energy is increasing exponentially. As a result, complex and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Yasir Saleem Afridi , Kashif Ahmad , Laiq Hassan

In this work, we demonstrate the viability of using federated learning to successfully predict energy consumption as well as solar production for all households within a certain network using low-power and low-space consuming embedded…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Meghana Bharadwaj , Sanjana Sarda

Unpredictability of renewable energy sources coupled with the complexity of those methods used for various purposes in this area calls for the development of robust methods such as DL models within the renewable energy domain. Given the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Lutfu Sua , Haibo Wang , Jun Huang

Data-driven pricing strategies are becoming increasingly common, where customers are offered a personalized price based on features that are predictive of their valuation of a product. It is desirable for this pricing policy to be simple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-11 Max Biggs , Wei Sun , Markus Ettl

With the rapid growth of renewable energy, lots of small photovoltaic (PV) prosumers emerge. Due to the uncertainty of solar power generation, there is a need for aggregated prosumers to predict solar power generation and whether solar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Yucun Lu , Ilgiz Murzakhanov , Spyros Chatzivasileiadis

While deep learning gradually penetrates operational planning, its inherent prediction errors may significantly affect electricity prices. This letter examines how prediction errors propagate into electricity prices, revealing notable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Vladimir Dvorkin , Ferdinando Fioretto

There has been a large number of contributions on privacy-preserving smart metering with Differential Privacy, addressing questions from actual enforcement at the smart meter to billing at the energy provider. However, exploitation is…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-07-09 Günther Eibl , Kaibin Bao , Philip-William Grassal , Daniel Bernau , Hartmut Schmeck

Many sectors nowadays require accurate and coherent predictions across their organization to effectively operate. Otherwise, decision-makers would be planning using disparate views of the future, resulting in inconsistent decisions across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-09 Julien Leprince , Waqas Khan , Henrik Madsen , Jan Kloppenborg Møller , Wim Zeiler

Seasonal climate variations affect electricity demand, which in turn affects month-to-month electricity planning and operations. Electricity system planning at the monthly timescale can be improved by adapting climate forecasts to estimate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-12 A. R. de Queiroz , D. Mulcahy , A. Sankarasubramanian , J. P. Deane , G. Mahinthakumar , N. Lu , J. F. DeCarolis

It is crucial today that economies harness renewable energies and integrate them into the existing grid. Conventionally, energy has been generated based on forecasts of peak and low demands. Renewable energy can neither be produced on…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-02 Alexey Györi , Mathis Niederau , Violett Zeller , Volker Stich

Recent advancements in the fields of artificial intelligence and machine learning methods resulted in a significant increase of their popularity in the literature, including electricity price forecasting. Said methods cover a very broad…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-19 Grzegorz Marcjasz , Jesus Lago , Rafał Weron

Many proposed methods for explaining machine learning predictions are in fact challenging to understand for nontechnical consumers. This paper builds upon an alternative consumer-driven approach called TED that asks for explanations to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-17 Michael Hind , Dennis Wei , Yunfeng Zhang

Using Machine Learning systems in the real world can often be problematic, with inexplicable black-box models, the assumed certainty of imperfect measurements, or providing a single classification instead of a probability distribution. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Jonathan S. Kent , David H. Menager

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

Decision tree learning is a widely used approach in machine learning, favoured in applications that require concise and interpretable models. Heuristic methods are traditionally used to quickly produce models with reasonably high accuracy.…

We tackle the problem of building explainable recommendation systems that are based on a per-user decision tree, with decision rules that are based on single attribute values. We build the trees by applying learned regression functions to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-20 Eyal Shulman , Lior Wolf

In classification and forecasting with tabular data, one often utilizes tree-based models. Those can be competitive with deep neural networks on tabular data and, under some conditions, explainable. The explainability depends on the depth…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Jiri Nemecek , Tomas Pevny , Jakub Marecek

Efficient load forecasting is needed to ensure better observability in the distribution networks, whereas such forecasting is made possible by an increasing number of smart meter installations. Because distribution networks include a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Miha Grabner , Yi Wang , Qingsong Wen , Boštjan Blažič , Vitomir Štruc
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