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We give a finite-sample analysis of predictive inference procedures after model selection in regression with random design. The analysis is focused on a statistically challenging scenario where the number of potentially important…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Hannes Leeb

The problem of individualized prediction can be addressed using variants of conformal prediction, obtaining the intervals to which the actual values of the variables of interest belong. Here we present a method based on detecting the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-12 Fernando Delbianco , Fernando Tohmé

The problem of secret-key based authentication under a privacy constraint on the source sequence is considered. The identifier measurements during authentication are assumed to be controllable via a cost-constrained "action" sequence.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-02-27 Onur Günlü , Kittipong Kittichokechai , Rafael F. Schaefer , Giuseppe Caire

Confidence interval procedures used in low dimensional settings are often inappropriate for high dimensional applications. When a large number of parameters are estimated, marginal confidence intervals associated with the most significant…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-24 Jean Morrison , Noah Simon

The Clopper-Pearson confidence interval has ever been documented as an exact approach in some statistics literature. More recently, such approach of interval estimation has been introduced to probabilistic control theory and has been…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-13 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

A pervasive task in the differential privacy literature is to select the $k$ items of "highest quality" out of a set of $d$ items, where the quality of each item depends on a sensitive dataset that must be protected. Variants of this task…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-04-12 Thomas Steinke , Jonathan Ullman

The purpose of this paper is to construct confidence intervals for the regression coefficients in high-dimensional Cox proportional hazards regression models where the number of covariates may be larger than the sample size. Our debiased…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-06 Yi Yu , Jelena Bradic , Richard J. Samworth

In designing an online A/B experiment, it is crucial to select a sample size and duration that ensure the resulting confidence interval (CI) for the treatment effect is the right width to detect an effect of meaningful magnitude with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-07 Harrison H. Li , Chaoyu Yu

Any supervised machine learning analysis is required to provide an estimate of the out-of-sample predictive performance. However, it is imperative to also provide a quantification of the uncertainty of this performance in the form of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Konstantinos Paraschakis , Andrea Castellani , Giorgos Borboudakis , Ioannis Tsamardinos

Inference methods for computing confidence intervals in parametric settings usually rely on consistent estimators of the parameter of interest. However, it may be computationally and/or analytically burdensome to obtain such estimators in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-20 Samuel Orso , Mucyo Karemera , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser , Stéphane Guerrier

Digital privacy has become an essential component of information and communications technology (ICT) systems. There are many existing methods for digital privacy protection, including network security, cryptography, and access control.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-01-21 Hamoud Alhazmi , Ahmed Imran , Mohammad Abu Alsheikh

By employing various empirical estimators for the Mutual Information (MI) measure, we calculate and compare the estimates and their confidence intervals for both normal and non-normal bivariate data samples. We find that certain nonlinear…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Theo Grigorenko , Leo Grigorenko

We study confidence interval construction for linear regression under Huber's contamination model, where an unknown fraction of noise variables is arbitrarily corrupted. While robust point estimation in this setting is well understood,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Dong Xie , Chao Gao , John Lafferty

Auditing mechanisms for differential privacy use probabilistic means to empirically estimate the privacy level of an algorithm. For private machine learning, existing auditing mechanisms are tight: the empirical privacy estimate (nearly)…

Inequalities may appear in many models. They can be as simple as assuming a parameter is nonnegative, possibly a regression coefficient or a treatment effect. This paper focuses on the case that there is only one inequality and proposes a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-17 Gregory Fletcher Cox

In this paper, we derive an explicit formula for constructing the confidence interval of binomial parameter with guaranteed coverage probability. The formula overcomes the limitation of normal approximation which is asymptotic in nature and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-05-12 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

Post-selection inference consists in providing statistical guarantees, based on a data set, that are robust to a prior model selection step on the same data set. In this paper, we address an instance of the post-selection-inference problem,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Dominique Bontemps , François Bachoc , Pierre Neuvial

The simplest and most widely applied method for guaranteeing differential privacy is to add instance-independent noise to a statistic of interest that is scaled to its global sensitivity. However, global sensitivity is a worst-case notion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Mark Bun , Thomas Steinke

Suppose the lifetime of a large sample of batteries in routine use is measured. A confidence interval is computed to 394 plus/minus 1.96 times 4.6 days. The standard interpretation is that if we repeatedly draw samples and compute…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2024-02-16 Dan Hedlin

We design a debiased parametric bootstrap framework for statistical inference from differentially private data. Existing usage of the parametric bootstrap on privatized data ignored or avoided handling possible biases introduced by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Zhanyu Wang , Arin Chang , Jordan Awan