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The problem is in the estimation of the fraction of population with a stigmatizing characteristic. In the paper the nonrandomized response model proposed by Tian, Yu, Tang, and Geng (2007) is considered. The exact confidence interval for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-28 Stanisław Jaworski , Wojciech Zieliński

In some socio-economic surveys, data are collected on sensitive or stigmatizing issues such as tax evasion, criminal conviction, drug use, etc. In such surveys, direct questioning of respondents is not of much use and the randomized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-22 Mausumi Bose

We study the problem of estimating finite sample confidence intervals of the mean of a normal population under the constraint of differential privacy. We consider both the known and unknown variance cases and construct differentially…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Vishesh Karwa , Salil Vadhan

Differential privacy is a restriction on data processing algorithms that provides strong confidentiality guarantees for individual records in the data. However, research on proper statistical inference, that is, research on properly…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Joerg Drechsler , Ira Globus-Harris , Audra McMillan , Jayshree Sarathy , Adam Smith

This paper revisits the simple, but empirically salient, problem of inference on a real-valued parameter that is partially identified through upper and lower bounds with asymptotically normal estimators. A simple confidence interval is…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-01 Jörg Stoye

We consider the problem of constructing honest confidence intervals (CIs) for a scalar parameter of interest, such as the regression discontinuity parameter, in nonparametric regression based on kernel or local polynomial estimators. To…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-08 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár

Confidence interval of mean is often used when quoting statistics. The same rigor is often missing when quoting percentiles and tolerance or percentile intervals. This article derives the expression for confidence in percentiles of a sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-01 Sanjay M. Joshi

We review the methods of constructing confidence intervals that account for a priori information about one-sided constraints on the parameter being estimated. We show that the so-called method of sensitivity limit yields a correct solution…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-20 A. V. Lokhov , F. V. Tkachov

Confidence intervals (CIs) are instrumental in statistical analysis, providing a range estimate of the parameters. In modern statistics, selective inference is common, where only certain parameters are highlighted. However, this selective…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 Tzviel Frostig , Yoav Benjamini , Ruth Heller

In many statistical problems, several estimators are usually available for interval estimation of a parameter of interest, and hence, the selection of an appropriate estimator is important. The criterion for a good estimator is to have a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-10 Richard Minkah , Tertius de Wet

This paper aims to construct a valid and efficient confidence interval for the extrema of parameters under privacy protection. The usual statistical inference on the extrema of parameters often suffers from the selection bias issue, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Xiaowen Fu , Yang Xiang , Xinzhou Guo

Confidence intervals are a fundamental tool for quantifying the uncertainty of parameters of interest. With the increase of data privacy awareness, developing a private version of confidence intervals has gained growing attention from both…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-12 Shurong Lin , Mark Bun , Marco Gaboardi , Eric D. Kolaczyk , Adam Smith

The goal of any estimation study is an interval estimation of a the parameter(s) of interest. These estimations are mostly expressed using empirical confidence intervals that are based on sample point estimates of the corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-03 Ilya Novikov

We study the frequentist properties of confidence intervals computed by the method known to statisticians as the Profile Likelihood. It is seen that the coverage of these intervals is surprisingly good over a wide range of possible…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Wolfgang A. Rolke , Angel M. Lopez , Jan Conrad

Confidence intervals for the population mean of normally distributed data are some of the most standard statistical outputs one might want from a database. In this work we give practical differentially private algorithms for this task. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-09 Wenxin Du , Canyon Foot , Monica Moniot , Andrew Bray , Adam Groce

We consider the problem of interval estimation of the odds ratio. An asymptotic confidence interval is widely applied in medical research. Unfortunately that confidence interval has a poor coverage probability: it is significantly smaller…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-19 Zofia Zielińska-Kolasińska , Wojciech Zieliński

Small sample sizes in clinical studies arises from factors such as reduced costs, limited subject availability, and the rarity of studied conditions. This creates challenges for accurately calculating confidence intervals (CIs) using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Mulan Wu , Mengyu Xu , Dongyun Kim

We consider interval estimation of the difference between two binomial proportions. Several methods of constructing such an interval are known. Unfortunately those confidence intervals have poor coverage probability: it is significantly…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-11 Wojciech Zieliński

We propose and study three confidence intervals (CIs) centered at an estimator that is intentionally biased to reduce mean squared error. The first CI simply uses an unbiased estimator's standard error; compared to centering at the unbiased…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-04 David M. Kaplan , Xin Liu

The process of data mining with differential privacy produces results that are affected by two types of noise: sampling noise due to data collection and privacy noise that is designed to prevent the reconstruction of sensitive information.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-12 Yue Wang , Daniel Kifer , Jaewoo Lee
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