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We propose nonparametric identification and semiparametric estimation of joint potential outcome distributions in the presence of confounding. First, in settings with observed confounding, we derive tighter, covariate-informed bounds on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Jianle Sun , Kun Zhang

This paper develops a new framework for indirect statistical inference with guaranteed necessity and sufficiency, applicable to continuous random variables. We prove that when comparing exponentially transformed order statistics from an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-25 Z Zhang , X Hu , C Lu , T Liu

Stochastic optimisation in Riemannian manifolds, especially the Riemannian stochastic gradient method, has attracted much recent attention. The present work applies stochastic optimisation to the task of recursive estimation of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Jialun Zhou , Salem Said

We prove conditional asymptotic normality of a class of quadratic U-statistics that are dominated by their degenerate second order part and have kernels that change with the number of observations. These statistics arise in the construction…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-09 James Robins , Lingling Li , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen , Aad van der Vaart

This paper obtains asymptotic results for parametric inference using prediction-based estimating functions when the data are high frequency observations of a diffusion process with an infinite time horizon. Specifically, the data are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

The article is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the quadratic covariation of non-synchronously observed It\^o processes in an additive microstructure noise model. In a high-frequency setting, we aim at establishing an asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-22 Markus Bibinger

This paper investigates the nonparametric estimation of the functional coefficients of the FBSDEs with random terminal time, including the local constant and local linear estimators. We provide complete two-dimensional asymptotics in both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Shaolin Ji , Chenyao Yu , Linlin Zhu

We provide an asymptotic expansion of the maximal mean squared error (MSE) of the sample median to be attained on shrinking gross error neighborhoods about an ideal central distribution. More specifically, this expansion comes in powers of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-02 Peter Ruckdeschel

We investigate distributional properties of a class of spectral spatial statistics under irregular sampling of a random field that is defined on $\mathbb{R}^d$, and use this to obtain a test for isotropy. Within this context, edge effects…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Theresa Eckle , Anne van Delft , Holger Dette

When a parameter of interest is defined to be a nondifferentiable transform of a regular parameter, the parameter does not have an influence function, rendering the existing theory of semiparametric efficient estimation inapplicable.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Kyungchul Song

For affine stochastic differential equation with uniformly distributed time delay the local asymptotic properties of the likelihood function are studied. Local asymptotic normality, local asymptotic mixed normality, periodic local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-10 János Marcell Benke , Gyula Pap

M-estimation, aka empirical risk minimization, is at the heart of statistics and machine learning: Classification, regression, location estimation, etc. Asymptotic theory is well understood when the loss satisfies some smoothness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

We study the existence, strong consistency and asymptotic normality of estimators obtained from estimating functions, that are p-dimensional martingale transforms. The problem is motivated by the analysis of evolutionary clustered data,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Laura Dumitrescu , Ioana Schiopu-Kratina

We present a practical framework to prove, in a simple way, two-terms asymptotic expansions for Fourier integrals $$ {\mathcal I}(t) = \int_{\mathbb R}({\rm e}^{it\phi(x)}-1) {\rm d} \mu(x) $$ where $\mu$ is a probability measure on…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Sandro Bettin , Sary Drappeau

The performance of Bayesian detection of Gaussian signals using noisy observations is investigated via the error exponent for the average error probability. Under unknown signal correlation structure or limited processing capability it is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-11-11 Youngchul Sung , Lang Tong , H. Vincent Poor

Indirect inference estimators (i.e., simulation-based minimum distance estimators) in a parametric model that are based on auxiliary non-parametric maximum likelihood density estimators are shown to be asymptotically normal. If the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-24 Florian Gach , Benedikt M. Pötscher

This paper discusses asymptotic distributions of various estimators of the underlying parameters in some regression models with long memory (LM) Gaussian design and nonparametric heteroscedastic LM moving average errors. In the simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Hongwen Guo , Hira L. Koul

Classical Fisher-information asymptotics describe the covariance of regular efficient estimators through the local quadratic approximation of the log-likelihood, and thus capture first-order geometry only. In curved models, including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Malik Amir , Sourangshu Ghosh

The problem of testing the goodness of fit of an absolutely continuous distribution to a set of observations grouped into equal probability intervals, against to a family of sequences of alternatives approaching the hypothesis is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-22 Sherzod M. Mirakhmedov

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang