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Traditional statistical inference in cluster randomized trials typically invokes the asymptotic theory that requires the number of clusters to approach infinity. In this article, we propose an alternative conformal causal inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-03 Bingkai Wang , Fan Li , Mengxin Yu

Understanding causal heterogeneity is essential for scientific discovery in domains such as biology and medicine. However, existing methods lack causal awareness, with insufficient modeling of heterogeneity, confounding, and observational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Wenrui Li , Qinghao Zhang , Xiaowo Wang

This paper presents an approach integrating explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques with adaptive learning to enhance energy consumption prediction models, with a focus on handling data distribution shifts. Leveraging SHAP…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Tobias Clement , Hung Truong Thanh Nguyen , Nils Kemmerzell , Mohamed Abdelaal , Davor Stjelja

Explainable machine learning methods have been accompanied by substantial development. Despite their success, the existing approaches focus more on the general framework with no prior domain expertise. High-stakes financial sectors have…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-13 Dangxing Chen , Jingfeng Chen , Weicheng Ye

Transformer-based models have become state-of-the-art tools in various machine learning tasks, including time series classification, yet their complexity makes understanding their internal decision-making challenging. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Matīss Kalnāre , Sofoklis Kitharidis , Thomas Bäck , Niki van Stein

This work addresses the challenge of providing consistent explanations for predictive models in the presence of model indeterminacy, which arises due to the existence of multiple (nearly) equally well-performing models for a given dataset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Dan Ley , Leonard Tang , Matthew Nazari , Hongjin Lin , Suraj Srinivas , Himabindu Lakkaraju

Matching in causal inference from observational data aims to construct treatment and control groups with similar distributions of covariates, thereby reducing confounding and ensuring an unbiased estimation of treatment effects. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Sahil Shikalgar , Md. Noor-E-Alam

Acquiring and training on large-scale labeled data can be impractical due to cost constraints. Additionally, the use of small training datasets can result in considerable variability in model outcomes, overfitting, and learning of spurious…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Jiashu Tao , Reza Shokri

Automated decision making is used routinely throughout our everyday life. Recommender systems decide which jobs, movies, or other user profiles might be interesting to us. Spell checkers help us to make good use of language. Fraud detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-15 Alexander Jung , Pedro H. J. Nardelli

Image classification models have achieved satisfactory performance on many datasets, sometimes even better than human. However, The model attention is unclear since the lack of interpretability. This paper investigates the fidelity and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-30 Wenjia Xu , Jiuniu Wang , Yang Wang , Guangluan Xu , Wei Dai , Yirong Wu

Reliable and interpretable traffic crash modeling is essential for understanding causality and improving road safety. This study introduces a novel approach to predicting collision types by utilizing a comprehensive dataset fused from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Oscar Lares , Hao Zhen , Jidong J. Yang

Artificial neural networks show promising performance in detecting correlations within data that are associated with specific outcomes. However, the black-box nature of such models can hinder the knowledge advancement in research fields by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-09 Jonas C. Ditz , Bernhard Reuter , Nico Pfeifer

The interpretability of prediction mechanisms with respect to the underlying prediction problem is often unclear. While several studies have focused on developing prediction models with meaningful parameters, the causal relationships…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-05 Patrick Blöbaum , Shohei Shimizu

If a prediction model identifies vulnerable individuals or groups, the use of that model may become an ethical issue. But can we know that this is what a model does? Machine learning fairness as a field is focused on the just treatment of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Inga Strümke , Marija Slavkovik

Being able to interpret, or explain, the predictions made by a machine learning model is of fundamental importance. This is especially true when there is interest in deploying data-driven models to make high-stakes decisions, e.g. in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-01 An-phi Nguyen , María Rodríguez Martínez

Interpretability of deep learning is widely used to evaluate the reliability of medical imaging models and reduce the risks of inaccurate patient recommendations. For models exceeding human performance, e.g. predicting RNA structure from…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-31 Mara Graziani , Niccolò Marini , Nicolas Deutschmann , Nikita Janakarajan , Henning Müller , María Rodríguez Martínez

We introduce an information-theoretic framework that views learning as universal prediction under log loss, characterized through regret bounds. Central to the framework is an effective notion of architecture-based model complexity, defined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Meir Feder , Ruediger Urbanke , Yaniv Fogel

Causal relationships play a pivotal role in research within the field of public administration. Ensuring reliable causal inference requires validating the predictability of these relationships, which is a crucial precondition. However,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Zhanyu Liu , Yang Yu

As post hoc explanation methods are increasingly being leveraged to explain complex models in high-stakes settings, it becomes critical to ensure that the quality of the resulting explanations is consistently high across various population…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Jessica Dai , Sohini Upadhyay , Ulrich Aivodji , Stephen H. Bach , Himabindu Lakkaraju

Machine learning has become a central research area, with increasing attention devoted to explainable clustering, also known as conceptual clustering, which is a knowledge-driven unsupervised learning paradigm that partitions data into…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Motaz Ben Hassine , Saïd Jabbour