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Many real-valued stochastic time-series are locally linear (Gassian), but globally non-linear. For example, the trajectory of a human hand gesture can be viewed as a linear dynamic system driven by a nonlinear dynamic system that represents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Vladimir Pavlovic , Brendan J. Frey , Thomas S. Huang

Many systems are partially stochastic in nature. We have derived data driven approaches for extracting stochastic state machines (Markov models) directly from observed data. This chapter provides an overview of our approach with numerous…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-06-26 Richard R. Brooks , Lu Yu , Yu Fu , Guthrie Cordone , Jon Oakley , Xingsi Zhong

Deep latent variable models learn condensed representations of data that, hopefully, reflect the inner workings of the studied phenomena. Unfortunately, these latent representations are not statistically identifiable, meaning they cannot be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Stas Syrota , Yevgen Zainchkovskyy , Johnny Xi , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Søren Hauberg

We propose to meta-learn causal structures based on how fast a learner adapts to new distributions arising from sparse distributional changes, e.g. due to interventions, actions of agents and other sources of non-stationarities. We show…

I discuss the so-called stochastic individual based model of adaptive dynamics and in particular how different scaling limits can be obtained by taking limits of large populations, small mutation rate, and small effect of single mutations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-06 Anton Bovier

Learning dynamics from dissipative chaotic systems is notoriously difficult due to their inherent instability, as formalized by their positive Lyapunov exponents, which exponentially amplify errors in the learned dynamics. However, many of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Yair Schiff , Zhong Yi Wan , Jeffrey B. Parker , Stephan Hoyer , Volodymyr Kuleshov , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez

Statistical description of stochastic dynamics in highly unstable potentials is strongly affected by properties of divergent trajectories, that quickly leave meta-stable regions of the potential landscape and never return. Using ideas from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-08-22 Artem Ryabov , Viktor Holubec , Ekaterina Berestneva

Dynamical systems theory provides powerful methods to extract effective macroscopic dynamics from complex systems with slow modes and fast modes. Here we derive and theoretically support a macroscopic, spatially discrete, model for a class…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2010-03-12 Wei Wang , A. J. Roberts

We propose a method to sample stationary properties of solutions of stochastic differential equations, which is accurate and efficient if there are rarely visited regions or rare transitions between distinct regions of the state space. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-23 Rüdiger Kürsten , Ulrich Behn

We study the emergence of typicality in classical systems with a large number of binary state variables. We show analytically that for sufficiently large subsets of the complete state space, state functions which can be associated with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-12 Nicolas Nessi

Multiple time scale stochastic dynamical systems are ubiquitous in science and engineering, and the reduction of such systems and their models to only their slow components is often essential for scientific computation and further analysis.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-01-22 Carmeline J. Dsilva , Ronen Talmon , C. William Gear , Ronald R. Coifman , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Hybrid multiscale modelling has emerged as a useful framework for modelling complex biological phenomena. However, when accounting for stochasticity in the internal dynamics of agents, these models frequently become computationally…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-11 Daria Stepanova , Helen M. Byrne , Philip K. Maini , Tomás Alarcón

We introduce a novel approach based on stochastic optimization to find the optimal sampling distribution for the data-driven stability analysis of switched linear systems. Our goal is to address limitations of existing approaches, in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Alexis Vuille , Guillaume O. Berger , Raphaël M. Jungers

Bilinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in many different domains and they can also be used to approximate more general control-affine systems. This motivates the problem of learning bilinear systems from a single trajectory of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Yahya Sattar , Samet Oymak , Necmiye Ozay

Experiments, in particular on biological systems, typically probe lower-dimensional observables which are projections of high-dimensional dynamics. In order to infer consistent models capturing the relevant dynamics of the system, it is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-18 Xizhu Zhao , Dmitrii E. Makarov , Aljaž Godec

Complex Langevin dynamics can be used to perform numerical simulations of theories with a complex action. In order to justify the procedure, it is important to understand the properties of the real and positive distribution, which is…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2013-09-13 Pietro Giudice , Gert Aarts , Erhard Seiler

Stochastic reduced-order models are widely used to represent the effective dynamics of complex systems, but estimating their drift and diffusion coefficients from data remains challenging. Standard approaches often rely on short-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini

A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Rose Baker

Many processes in chemistry and physics take place on timescales that cannot be explored using standard molecular dynamics simulations. This renders the use of enhanced sampling mandatory. Here we introduce an enhanced sampling method that…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-06-12 Jayashrita Debnath , Michele Parrinello

Metastability is a physical phenomenon ubiquitous in first order phase transitions. A fruitful mathematical way to approach this phenomenon is the study of rare transitions Markov chains. For Metropolis chains associated with Statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Emilio Cirillo , Francesca Nardi , Julien Sohier