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Time series forecasting is crucial for many fields, such as disaster warning, weather prediction, and energy consumption. The Transformer-based models are considered to have revolutionized the field of sequence modeling. However, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Junlong Tong , Liping Xie , Wankou Yang , Kanjian Zhang

Conformal prediction offers a practical framework for distribution-free uncertainty quantification, providing finite-sample coverage guarantees under relatively mild assumptions on data exchangeability. However, these assumptions cease to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Derck W. E. Prinzhorn , Thijmen Nijdam , Putri A. van der Linden , Alexander Timans

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative frameworks by progressively adding noise to data through a forward process and then reversing this process to generate realistic samples. While these models have achieved strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Xingzhuo Guo , Yu Zhang , Baixu Chen , Haoran Xu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Generating realistic motions for digital humans is time-consuming for many graphics applications. Data-driven motion synthesis approaches have seen solid progress in recent years through deep generative models. These results offer…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Edmund J. C. Findlay , Haozheng Zhang , Ziyi Chang , Hubert P. H. Shum

Due to the dynamics of underlying physics and external influences, the uncertainty of time series often varies over time. However, existing Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPMs) often fail to capture this non-stationary nature,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Weiwei Ye , Zhuopeng Xu , Ning Gui

The proliferation of mobile devices generates a massive volume of time series across various domains, where effective time series forecasting enables a variety of real-world applications. This study focuses on a new problem of source-free…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Kangjia Yan , Chenxi Liu , Hao Miao , Xinle Wu , Yan Zhao , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

We study the inductive biases of diffusion models with a conditioning-variable, which have seen widespread application as both text-conditioned generative image models and observation-conditioned continuous control policies. We observe that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Daniel Pfrommer , Zehao Dou , Christopher Scarvelis , Max Simchowitz , Ali Jadbabaie

Forecasting complex time series is an important yet challenging problem that involves various industrial applications. Recently, masked time-series modeling has been proposed to effectively model temporal dependencies for forecasting by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Hyunwoo Seo , Chiehyeon Lim

Diffusion models have garnered significant attention since they can effectively learn complex multivariate Gaussian distributions, resulting in diverse, high-quality outcomes. They introduce Gaussian noise into training data and reconstruct…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Vidya Prasad , Chen Zhu-Tian , Anna Vilanova , Hanspeter Pfister , Nicola Pezzotti , Hendrik Strobelt

Diffusion probabilistic models (DPMs) have emerged as a promising technique in generative modeling. The success of DPMs relies on two ingredients: time reversal of diffusion processes and score matching. In view of possibly unguaranteed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Wenpin Tang , Hanyang Zhao

Time series generation focuses on modeling the underlying data distribution and resampling to produce authentic time series data. Key components, such as trend and seasonality, drive temporal fluctuations, yet many existing approaches fail…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Zixuan Ma , Chenfeng Huang

Due to the high complexity and technical requirements of industrial production processes, surface defects will inevitably appear, which seriously affects the quality of products. Although existing lightweight detection networks are highly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Xuyi Yu

Nowadays, denoising diffusion probabilistic models have been adapted for many image segmentation tasks. However, existing end-to-end models have already demonstrated remarkable capabilities. Rather than using denoising diffusion…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Shi Zhenning , Dong Changsheng , Xie Xueshuo , Pan Bin , He Along , Li Tao

Temporal non-stationarity, the phenomenon that time series distributions change over time, poses fundamental challenges to reliable time series forecasting. Intuitively, the complex time series can be decomposed into two factors, \ie…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Mingyuan Xia , Chunxu Zhang , Zijian Zhang , Hao Miao , Qidong Liu , Yuanshao Zhu , Bo Yang

Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPMs) can generate synthetic timeseries data to help improve the performance of a classifier, but their sampling process is computationally expensive. We address this by combining implicit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Heiko Oppel , Andreas Spilz , Michael Munz

We present a conditional diffusion model - ConDiSim, for simulation-based inference of complex systems with intractable likelihoods. ConDiSim leverages denoising diffusion probabilistic models to approximate posterior distributions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Mayank Nautiyal , Andreas Hellander , Prashant Singh

Weather forecasting requires not only accuracy but also the ability to perform probabilistic prediction. However, deterministic weather forecasting methods do not support probabilistic predictions, and conversely, probabilistic models tend…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-06 Donggeun Yoon , Minseok Seo , Doyi Kim , Yeji Choi , Donghyeon Cho

This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Xudong Wang , Lijun Sun

Denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs) are a recent family of generative models that achieve state-of-the-art results. In order to obtain class-conditional generation, it was suggested to guide the diffusion process by gradients…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Bahjat Kawar , Roy Ganz , Michael Elad

The gradual nature of a diffusion process that synthesizes samples in small increments constitutes a key ingredient of Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPM), which have presented unprecedented quality in image synthesis and been…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Zihan Zhang , Richard Liu , Kfir Aberman , Rana Hanocka